Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Monday, November 2, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)
Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca: 5-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Sporting Cristal 5-0 FC Cajamarca. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Sporting Cristal at 90%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.5%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (25%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): correct.
Match analysis
Sporting Cristal and FC Cajamarca met on Monday, November 2, 2026, a Peruvian Liga 1 fixture. Venue: Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima. Before kick-off, our model gave Sporting Cristal a 90% chance of winning, the draw 8% and FC Cajamarca 2%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (16.6%), followed by 3-0 (16.6%) and 4-0 (12.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Sporting Cristal have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 7. FC Cajamarca have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 10. Sporting Cristal therefore arrive in far better shape than FC Cajamarca. On average Sporting Cristal score 2.80 and concede 1.40 goals per game; FC Cajamarca score 0.80 and concede 2.00. In the table, Sporting Cristal sit 2nd with 28 points from 14 games, FC Cajamarca 15th with 11 points from 14. 13 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Sporting Cristal have averaged 1.50 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.60 for FC Cajamarca.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sporting Cristal, 1 for FC Cajamarca and 0 draws. The most recent ended FC Cajamarca 3-1 Sporting Cristal (May 15, 2026). In double chance terms, "Sporting Cristal or draw" stands at 98%, "FC Cajamarca or draw" at 10% and "no draw" at 92%.
In short : Sporting Cristal are tipped by our AI model in this Sporting Cristal v FC Cajamarca (90%). In the table, Sporting Cristal (2nd, 28 pts) host FC Cajamarca (15th, 11 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Sporting Cristal – FC Cajamarca. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (16.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 64% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal 2-0 FC Cajamarca | 16.6% |
| Sporting Cristal 3-0 FC Cajamarca | 16.6% |
| Sporting Cristal 4-0 FC Cajamarca | 12.4% |
| Sporting Cristal 1-0 FC Cajamarca | 11.1% |
| Sporting Cristal 5-0 FC Cajamarca | 7.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 3.00 expected goals for Sporting Cristal and 0.30 for FC Cajamarca, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 64% and "both teams to score" at 25%. Goals look likely in this one. Sporting Cristal keep a clean sheet in 74% of scenarios, FC Cajamarca in 5%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal expected goals | 3.00 |
| FC Cajamarca expected goals | 0.30 |
| Both teams to score | 25% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% |
| Sporting Cristal clean sheet | 74% |
| FC Cajamarca clean sheet | 5% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Sporting Cristal
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Alianza Lima · Peruvian Liga 1 | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cusco · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos · Peruvian Liga 1 | 4-2 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 1, 2026 | ADT · Copa De La Liga | 5-0 | W |
FC Cajamarca
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sport Boys · Peruvian Liga 1 | 2-4 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | UCV Moquegua · Peruvian Liga 1 | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADT · Peruvian Liga 1 | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cusco · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal | 2 | 28 | 14 |
| FC Cajamarca | 15 | 11 | 14 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | FC Cajamarca 3-1 Sporting Cristal | Peruvian Liga 1 |
Out and doubtful
Sporting Cristal
No absences reported.
FC Cajamarca
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Sporting Cristal
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Iberico5/5
- L. Sosa5/5
- M. Castro5/5
- R. Lutiger5/5
- M. Araujo4/5
- M. Hoyos4/5
- A. Alvarez Wallace3/5
- Cristiano3/5
- D. Enriquez3/5
- S. Gonzalez3/5
- Y. Yotun3/5
FC Cajamarca
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Palacios5/5
- J. Medina5/5
- J. Vega5/5
- C. Gomez4/5
- C. Meza4/5
- J. G. Orejuela4/5
- M. Arrasco4/5
- P. Goyoneche4/5
- S. Enciso4/5
- Y. Vilchez4/5
- P. Cejas3/5
Other matches in this competition
- FBC Melgar 1-1 Comerciantes UnidosOct 30, 2026
- Alianza Atletico 1-0 Juan Pablo II CollegeOct 31, 2026
- UCV Moquegua 0-0 Club Deportivo Los ChankasNov 1, 2026
- Cusco 0-1 Sport BoysNov 1, 2026
- Atletico Grau 1-3 UniversitarioNov 1, 2026
- Sport Huancayo 2-0 FBC MelgarNov 2, 2026
- UTC Cajamarca 2-3 Deportivo GarcilasoNov 2, 2026
- Comerciantes Unidos 2-2 ADTNov 3, 2026
- Alianza Lima 1-0 CiencianoNov 4, 2026
- Universitario 2-2 Sport BoysNov 5, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Sporting Cristal a 90% chance of winning, the draw 8% and FC Cajamarca 2%. Sporting Cristal are therefore favourites. Final score: 5-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?
2-0 (16.6%), followed by 3-0 (16.6%), 4-0 (12.4%), 1-0 (11.1%) and 5-0 (7.5%).
Will both teams score in Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?
The probability that both Sporting Cristal and FC Cajamarca score is 25%. Sporting Cristal have a 74% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FC Cajamarca 5%.
How many goals should we expect in Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?
The model expects 3.30 goals (3.00 for Sporting Cristal, 0.30 for FC Cajamarca). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 64%, over 3.5 goals 42%.
When and where is Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca played?
Monday, November 2, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1. Venue: Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima.
What form are Sporting Cristal and FC Cajamarca in?
Sporting Cristal: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 7 conceded). FC Cajamarca: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Sporting Cristal and FC Cajamarca?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sporting Cristal, 1 for FC Cajamarca and 0 draws. The most recent ended FC Cajamarca 3-1 Sporting Cristal (May 15, 2026).
What was the Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Sporting Cristal 5-0 FC Cajamarca. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Sporting Cristal at 90%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.5%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (25%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): correct.
How is the Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.00 for Sporting Cristal, 0.30 for FC Cajamarca) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Sporting Cristal predictions
- All FC Cajamarca predictions
- Peruvian Liga 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology