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Peruvian Liga 1Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Sunday, October 25, 2026, 18:15 (UK time)

UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima prediction: correct score and AI tips

UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua–Alianza LimaAlianza Lima

Match analysis

UCV Moquegua take on Alianza Lima on Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 18:15 (UK time), a Peruvian Liga 1 fixture. Venue: Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua. With a 72% win probability, Alianza Lima go in as strong favourites against UCV Moquegua (7%), with the draw rated at 21%.

UCV Moquegua have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Alianza Lima have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Alianza Lima. On average UCV Moquegua score 0.40 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Alianza Lima score 1.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, UCV Moquegua sit 16th with 10 points from 12 games, Alianza Lima 7th with 22 points from 12. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, UCV Moquegua have averaged 0.51 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.24 for Alianza Lima.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for UCV Moquegua, 1 for Alianza Lima and 0 draws. The most recent ended Alianza Lima 2-1 UCV Moquegua (May 3, 2026). In double chance terms, "UCV Moquegua or draw" stands at 28%, "Alianza Lima or draw" at 93% and "no draw" at 79%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

7%
UCV Moquegua (Win)
21%
Draw
72%
Alianza Lima (Win)

Double chance

28%
UCV Moquegua or draw
93%
Alianza Lima or draw
79%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

UCV Moquegua

DateOpponentScore
Oct 18, 2026FC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 11-0W
Oct 8, 2026Cienciano · Peruvian Liga 10-2L
Sep 20, 2026Juan Pablo II College · Peruvian Liga 10-4L
Sep 13, 2026Sporting Cristal · Peruvian Liga 11-2L
Sep 6, 2026Cusco · Peruvian Liga 10-2L

Alianza Lima

DateOpponentScore
Oct 18, 2026Atletico Grau · Peruvian Liga 13-1W
Oct 12, 2026Cusco · Peruvian Liga 12-1W
Oct 1, 2026Palestino · Club Friendlies1-2L
Sep 19, 2026ADT · Peruvian Liga 12-0W
Sep 13, 2026Universitario · Peruvian Liga 11-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
UCV Moquegua161012
Alianza Lima72212

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Alianza Lima 2-1 UCV MoqueguaPeruvian Liga 1

Out and doubtful

UCV Moquegua

No absences reported.

Alianza Lima

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

UCV Moquegua

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Perleche4/5
  • C. Enciso4/5
  • C. Grados4/5
  • E. Lastre4/5
  • J. Lojas4/5
  • R. Chipao4/5
  • Bryan Angulo3/5
  • C. Mejia3/5
  • Y. Zapata3/5
  • J. Collazos2/5
  • N. Amasifuen2/5

Alianza Lima

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Duarte5/5
  • E. Castillo4/5
  • F. Gaibor4/5
  • E. Pavez3/5
  • F. Girotti3/5
  • K. Quevedo3/5
  • M. Antoni3/5
  • G. Chavez2/5
  • G. Gentile2/5
  • J. Velez2/5
  • J. Vélez2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima prediction?

Our AI gives UCV Moquegua a 7% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alianza Lima 72%. Alianza Lima are therefore favourites.

When and where is UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima played?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 18:15 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1. Venue: Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua.

What form are UCV Moquegua and Alianza Lima in?

UCV Moquegua: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 10 conceded). Alianza Lima: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between UCV Moquegua and Alianza Lima?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for UCV Moquegua, 1 for Alianza Lima and 0 draws. The most recent ended Alianza Lima 2-1 UCV Moquegua (May 3, 2026).

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Key terms explained