Argentine Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Boca Juniors vs River Plate: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Boca Juniors 1-0 River Plate. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Boca Juniors at 43%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (8.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (55%): missed.
Match analysis
Boca Juniors and River Plate met on Sunday, November 1, 2026, a Argentine Primera División fixture. Venue: Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires. Before kick-off, our model gave Boca Juniors a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and River Plate 32%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-0 (8.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Boca Juniors have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, River Plate have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Boca Juniors score 1.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; River Plate score 1.40 and concede 0.60. In the table, Boca Juniors sit 3rd with 27 points from 14 games, River Plate 4th with 23 points from 14. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Boca Juniors have averaged 1.29 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.58 for River Plate.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Boca Juniors, 2 for River Plate and 0 draws. The most recent ended River Plate 0-1 Boca Juniors (Apr 19, 2026). In double chance terms, "Boca Juniors or draw" stands at 68%, "River Plate or draw" at 57% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Boca Juniors are tipped by our AI model in this Boca Juniors v River Plate (43%). In the table, Boca Juniors (3rd, 27 pts) host River Plate (4th, 23 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Boca Juniors – River Plate. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Boca Juniors 1-1 River Plate | 11.6% |
| Boca Juniors 2-1 River Plate | 9.1% |
| Boca Juniors 1-0 River Plate | 8.9% |
| Boca Juniors 1-2 River Plate | 7.5% |
| Boca Juniors 0-1 River Plate | 7.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.57 expected goals for Boca Juniors and 1.30 for River Plate, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 55% and "both teams to score" at 58%. Boca Juniors keep a clean sheet in 27% of scenarios, River Plate in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Boca Juniors expected goals | 1.57 |
| River Plate expected goals | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Boca Juniors clean sheet | 27% |
| River Plate clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Boca Juniors
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Independiente · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama · CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Talleres Cordoba · Argentine Primera División | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama · CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Instituto Cordoba · Argentine Primera División | 2-2 | D |
River Plate
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Racing Club · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba · Argentine Primera División | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Huracan · Argentine Primera División | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors | 3 | 27 | 14 |
| River Plate | 4 | 23 | 14 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | River Plate 0-1 Boca Juniors | Argentine Primera División |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Boca Juniors 2-0 River Plate | Argentine Primera División |
| Apr 27, 2025 | River Plate 2-1 Boca Juniors | Argentine Primera División |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Boca Juniors 0-1 River Plate | Argentine Primera División |
| Apr 21, 2024 | River Plate 2-3 Boca Juniors | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
Out and doubtful
Boca Juniors
No absences reported.
River Plate
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Boca Juniors
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Di Lollo5/5
- L. Flores5/5
- M. Delgado5/5
- L. Blanco4/5
- L. Lozano4/5
- A. Montero3/5
- F. Herrera3/5
- Á. Montero2/5
- E. Valencia2/5
- M. Braida2/5
- Miguel Merentiel2/5
River Plate
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Correa5/5
- G. Montiel5/5
- N. Otamendi5/5
- S. Beltran5/5
- T. Andrada5/5
- T. Galvan5/5
- L. Martinez Quarta4/5
- T. Almada4/5
- Fausto Vera3/5
- M. Acuna3/5
- S. Driussi3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Deportivo Riestra 0-3 Talleres CordobaOct 31, 2026
- Velez Sarsfield 2-2 San LorenzoOct 31, 2026
- Estudiantes L.P. 3-3 Instituto CordobaNov 1, 2026
- Newells Old Boys 1-1 Union Santa FeNov 1, 2026
- Belgrano Cordoba 2-2 Barracas CentralNov 1, 2026
- Lanus 1-1 Gimnasia M.Nov 1, 2026
- Defensa Y Justicia 1-1 IndependienteNov 2, 2026
- Platense 2-0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoNov 2, 2026
- Independ. Rivadavia 3-1 BanfieldNov 3, 2026
- Atletico Tucuman 1-2 Argentinos JRSNov 3, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Boca Juniors vs River Plate prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Boca Juniors a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and River Plate 32%. Boca Juniors are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Boca Juniors vs River Plate?
1-1 (11.6%), followed by 2-1 (9.1%), 1-0 (8.9%), 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-1 (7.4%).
Will both teams score in Boca Juniors vs River Plate?
The probability that both Boca Juniors and River Plate score is 58%. Boca Juniors have a 27% chance of keeping a clean sheet, River Plate 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Boca Juniors vs River Plate?
The model expects 2.87 goals (1.57 for Boca Juniors, 1.30 for River Plate). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 55%, over 3.5 goals 32%.
When and where is Boca Juniors vs River Plate played?
Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires.
What form are Boca Juniors and River Plate in?
Boca Juniors: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded). River Plate: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Boca Juniors and River Plate?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Boca Juniors, 2 for River Plate and 0 draws. The most recent ended River Plate 0-1 Boca Juniors (Apr 19, 2026).
What was the Boca Juniors vs River Plate result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Boca Juniors 1-0 River Plate. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Boca Juniors at 43%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (8.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (55%): missed.
How is the Boca Juniors vs River Plate prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.57 for Boca Juniors, 1.30 for River Plate) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Boca Juniors predictions
- All River Plate predictions
- Argentine Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology