Skip to content
Elofoot

Argentine Primera DivisiónArgentine Primera División· Kick-off : Monday, November 2, 2026, 22:00 (UK time)

Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1 – 1IndependienteIndependiente

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Defensa Y Justicia 1-1 Independiente. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Defensa Y Justicia (44%), while a draw was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (13.2%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (41%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (34%): correct.

Match analysis

Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente was played on Monday, November 2, 2026 (Argentine Primera División). Venue: Estadio Norberto Tomaghello, Julio Costa. Before kick-off, our model gave Defensa Y Justicia a 44% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Independiente 27%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (15.1%), ahead of 1-1 (13.2%) and 0-0 (12.6%).

Over their last 5 matches, Defensa Y Justicia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Independiente have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Defensa Y Justicia. On average Defensa Y Justicia score 1.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Independiente score 0.80 and concede 1.40. In the table, Defensa Y Justicia sit 4th with 27 points from 14 games, Independiente 8th with 19 points from 14. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Defensa Y Justicia have averaged 1.51 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.98 for Independiente.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Defensa Y Justicia, 1 for Independiente and 2 draws. The most recent ended Independiente 3-1 Defensa Y Justicia (Apr 18, 2026). In double chance terms, "Defensa Y Justicia or draw" stands at 73%, "Independiente or draw" at 56% and "no draw" at 70%.

In short : Defensa Y Justicia are tipped by our AI model in this Defensa Y Justicia v Independiente (44%). In the table, Defensa Y Justicia (4th, 27 pts) host Independiente (8th, 19 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

44%
Defensa Y Justicia (Win)
30%
Draw
27%
Independiente (Win)

Double chance

73%
Defensa Y Justicia or draw
56%
Independiente or draw
70%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Defensa Y Justicia – Independiente. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (15.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 61% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Defensa Y Justicia 1-0 Independiente15.1%
Defensa Y Justicia 1-1 Independiente13.2%
Defensa Y Justicia 0-0 Independiente12.6%
Defensa Y Justicia 0-1 Independiente11.0%
Defensa Y Justicia 2-0 Independiente9.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.07 goals in total (1.20 for Defensa Y Justicia, 0.87 for Independiente): over 2.5 goals has a 34% probability and both teams to score 41%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Defensa Y Justicia keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Independiente in 30%.

Probability
Defensa Y Justicia expected goals1.20
Independiente expected goals0.87
Both teams to score41%
Over 1.5 goals61%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Defensa Y Justicia clean sheet42%
Independiente clean sheet30%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Defensa Y Justicia

DateOpponentScore
Oct 24, 2026Talleres Cordoba · Argentine Primera División2-1W
Oct 16, 2026Instituto Cordoba · Argentine Primera División0-1L
Oct 10, 2026Union Santa Fe · Argentine Primera División2-0W
Oct 3, 2026San Lorenzo · Argentine Primera División3-0W
Sep 18, 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago · Argentine Primera División2-2D

Independiente

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Boca Juniors · Argentine Primera División0-1L
Oct 18, 2026Racing Club · Argentine Primera División1-1D
Oct 12, 2026Talleres Cordoba · Argentine Primera División0-0D
Oct 2, 2026Instituto Cordoba · Argentine Primera División1-4L
Sep 19, 2026Union Santa Fe · Argentine Primera División2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Defensa Y Justicia42714
Independiente81914

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Independiente 3-1 Defensa Y JusticiaArgentine Primera División
Jun 4, 2024Defensa Y Justicia 0-0 IndependienteArgentine Primera División
Feb 20, 2023Independiente 0-2 Defensa Y JusticiaArgentine Primera División
Jul 20, 2022Defensa Y Justicia 2-1 IndependienteArgentine Primera División
Aug 21, 2021Independiente 0-0 Defensa Y JusticiaArgentine Primera División

Out and doubtful

Defensa Y Justicia

No absences reported.

Independiente

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Defensa Y Justicia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Barbona5/5
  • D. Fernandez5/5
  • D. Martinez5/5
  • J. Gutierrez5/5
  • J. Lucco5/5
  • L. Fernandez5/5
  • M. Borgogno5/5
  • V. Loza5/5
  • C. Perez4/5
  • S. Sosa4/5
  • D. Dominguez3/5

Independiente

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • I. Marcone4/4
  • M. Perez Curci4/4
  • S. Montiel4/4
  • C. Avila3/4
  • J. Arrayago3/4
  • M. Meza3/4
  • N. Banegas3/4
  • R. Rey3/4
  • S. Arias3/4
  • S. Valdez3/4
  • L. Cabral2/4

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Defensa Y Justicia a 44% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Independiente 27%. Defensa Y Justicia are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?

1-0 (15.1%), followed by 1-1 (13.2%), 0-0 (12.6%), 0-1 (11.0%) and 2-0 (9.1%).

Will both teams score in Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?

The probability that both Defensa Y Justicia and Independiente score is 41%. Defensa Y Justicia have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Independiente 30%.

How many goals should we expect in Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?

The model expects 2.07 goals (1.20 for Defensa Y Justicia, 0.87 for Independiente). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 61%, over 2.5 goals 34%, over 3.5 goals 16%.

When and where is Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente played?

Monday, November 2, 2026 at 22:00 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Estadio Norberto Tomaghello, Julio Costa.

What form are Defensa Y Justicia and Independiente in?

Defensa Y Justicia: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded). Independiente: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Defensa Y Justicia and Independiente?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Defensa Y Justicia, 1 for Independiente and 2 draws. The most recent ended Independiente 3-1 Defensa Y Justicia (Apr 18, 2026).

What was the Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Defensa Y Justicia 1-1 Independiente. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Defensa Y Justicia (44%), while a draw was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (13.2%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (41%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (34%): correct.

How is the Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.20 for Defensa Y Justicia, 0.87 for Independiente) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained