Argentine Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 23:45 (UK time)
Lanus vs Gimnasia M.: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Lanus 1-1 Gimnasia M.. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Lanus (56%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (11.6%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (36%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (35%): correct.
Match analysis
Lanus vs Gimnasia M. was played on Sunday, November 1, 2026 (Argentine Primera División). Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Lanus, Buenos Aires. Before kick-off, our model gave Lanus a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gimnasia M. 17%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (17.9%), ahead of 2-0 (12.8%) and 0-0 (12.5%).
Lanus are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 2. Gimnasia M. have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Lanus. On average Lanus score 1.20 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Gimnasia M. score 0.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, Lanus sit 5th with 24 points from 14 games, Gimnasia M. 7th with 20 points from 14. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Lanus have averaged 1.09 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.85 for Gimnasia M..
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Lanus, 1 for Gimnasia M. and 0 draws. The most recent ended Gimnasia M. 1-0 Lanus (Apr 21, 2026). In double chance terms, "Lanus or draw" stands at 83%, "Gimnasia M. or draw" at 44% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : Lanus are tipped by our AI model in this Lanus v Gimnasia M. (56%). On recent form, Lanus have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Gimnasia M. have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Lanus – Gimnasia M.. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (17.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 63% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Lanus 1-0 Gimnasia M. | 17.9% |
| Lanus 2-0 Gimnasia M. | 12.8% |
| Lanus 0-0 Gimnasia M. | 12.5% |
| Lanus 1-1 Gimnasia M. | 11.6% |
| Lanus 2-1 Gimnasia M. | 8.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.08 goals in total (1.43 for Lanus, 0.65 for Gimnasia M.): over 2.5 goals has a 35% probability and both teams to score 36%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Lanus keep a clean sheet in 52% of scenarios, Gimnasia M. in 24%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Lanus expected goals | 1.43 |
| Gimnasia M. expected goals | 0.65 |
| Both teams to score | 36% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% |
| Lanus clean sheet | 52% |
| Gimnasia M. clean sheet | 24% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Lanus
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Banfield · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Platense · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Velez Sarsfield · Argentine Primera División | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newells Old Boys · Argentine Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P. · Argentine Primera División | 2-1 | W |
Gimnasia M.
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Platense · Argentine Primera División | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Velez Sarsfield · Argentine Primera División | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Newells Old Boys · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P. · Argentine Primera División | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra · Argentine Primera División | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lanus | 5 | 24 | 14 |
| Gimnasia M. | 7 | 20 | 14 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Gimnasia M. 1-0 Lanus | Argentine Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Lanus
No absences reported.
Gimnasia M.
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Lanus
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Cardozo5/5
- A. Wlk5/5
- C. Izquierdoz5/5
- E. Salvio5/5
- L. Besozzi5/5
- N. Losada5/5
- S. Marcich5/5
- T. Guidara5/5
- A. Medina4/5
- J. Canale3/5
- M. Sepulveda2/5
Gimnasia M.
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Modica5/5
- C. Rigamonti5/5
- D. Mondino5/5
- E. Fernandez5/5
- L. Paredes5/5
- M. Recalde5/5
- E. Munoz4/5
- F. Lencioni4/5
- L. Cingolani4/5
- F. Antonini3/5
- M. Vargas3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Deportivo Riestra 0-3 Talleres CordobaOct 31, 2026
- Velez Sarsfield 2-2 San LorenzoOct 31, 2026
- Estudiantes L.P. 3-3 Instituto CordobaNov 1, 2026
- Boca Juniors 1-0 River PlateNov 1, 2026
- Newells Old Boys 1-1 Union Santa FeNov 1, 2026
- Belgrano Cordoba 2-2 Barracas CentralNov 1, 2026
- Defensa Y Justicia 1-1 IndependienteNov 2, 2026
- Platense 2-0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoNov 2, 2026
- Independ. Rivadavia 3-1 BanfieldNov 3, 2026
- Atletico Tucuman 1-2 Argentinos JRSNov 3, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Lanus vs Gimnasia M. prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Lanus a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gimnasia M. 17%. Lanus are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Lanus vs Gimnasia M.?
1-0 (17.9%), followed by 2-0 (12.8%), 0-0 (12.5%), 1-1 (11.6%) and 2-1 (8.3%).
Will both teams score in Lanus vs Gimnasia M.?
The probability that both Lanus and Gimnasia M. score is 36%. Lanus have a 52% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Gimnasia M. 24%.
How many goals should we expect in Lanus vs Gimnasia M.?
The model expects 2.08 goals (1.43 for Lanus, 0.65 for Gimnasia M.). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 62%, over 2.5 goals 35%, over 3.5 goals 16%.
When and where is Lanus vs Gimnasia M. played?
Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 23:45 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Lanus, Buenos Aires.
What form are Lanus and Gimnasia M. in?
Lanus: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 2 conceded). Gimnasia M.: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Lanus and Gimnasia M.?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Lanus, 1 for Gimnasia M. and 0 draws. The most recent ended Gimnasia M. 1-0 Lanus (Apr 21, 2026).
What was the Lanus vs Gimnasia M. result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Lanus 1-1 Gimnasia M.. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Lanus (56%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (11.6%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (36%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (35%): correct.
How is the Lanus vs Gimnasia M. prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.43 for Lanus, 0.65 for Gimnasia M.) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Lanus predictions
- All Gimnasia M. predictions
- Argentine Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology