Argentine Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 21:30 (UK time)
Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Newells Old Boys 1-1 Union Santa Fe. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Newells Old Boys (52%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (9.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (63%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (63%): missed.
Match analysis
Newells Old Boys and Union Santa Fe met on Sunday, November 1, 2026, a Argentine Primera División fixture. Venue: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario. Before kick-off, our model gave Newells Old Boys a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union Santa Fe 26%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (9.9%), followed by 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (7.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, Newells Old Boys have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 3 and conceding 2. Union Santa Fe have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Newells Old Boys therefore arrive in far better shape than Union Santa Fe. On average Newells Old Boys score 0.60 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Union Santa Fe score 1.00 and concede 1.80. In the table, Newells Old Boys sit 6th with 21 points from 14 games, Union Santa Fe 10th with 17 points from 14. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Newells Old Boys have averaged 1.49 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.71 for Union Santa Fe.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Newells Old Boys, 0 for Union Santa Fe and 0 draws. The most recent ended Union Santa Fe 2-3 Newells Old Boys (Apr 18, 2026). In double chance terms, "Newells Old Boys or draw" stands at 74%, "Union Santa Fe or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : Our model backs Newells Old Boys to edge Union Santa Fe (52% probability). On recent form, Newells Old Boys have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Union Santa Fe have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 63%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Newells Old Boys – Union Santa Fe. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 41% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Newells Old Boys 1-1 Union Santa Fe | 9.9% |
| Newells Old Boys 2-1 Union Santa Fe | 9.5% |
| Newells Old Boys 1-0 Union Santa Fe | 7.5% |
| Newells Old Boys 2-0 Union Santa Fe | 7.2% |
| Newells Old Boys 1-2 Union Santa Fe | 6.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.93 expected goals for Newells Old Boys and 1.32 for Union Santa Fe, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 63% and "both teams to score" at 63%. Goals look likely in this one. Newells Old Boys keep a clean sheet in 27% of scenarios, Union Santa Fe in 15%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Newells Old Boys expected goals | 1.93 |
| Union Santa Fe expected goals | 1.32 |
| Both teams to score | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% |
| Newells Old Boys clean sheet | 27% |
| Union Santa Fe clean sheet | 15% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Newells Old Boys
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | San Lorenzo · Argentine Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago · Argentine Primera División | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Gimnasia M. · Argentine Primera División | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lanus · Argentine Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Platense · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
Union Santa Fe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P. · Argentine Primera División | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia · Argentine Primera División | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Boca Juniors · Argentine Primera División | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Independiente · Argentine Primera División | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newells Old Boys | 6 | 21 | 14 |
| Union Santa Fe | 10 | 17 | 14 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Union Santa Fe 2-3 Newells Old Boys | Argentine Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Newells Old Boys
No absences reported.
Union Santa Fe
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Newells Old Boys
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Guch5/5
- J. Reinatti5/5
- L. Carrizo5/5
- M. Coccaro5/5
- M. Ortega5/5
- S. Solari5/5
- W. Mazzantti5/5
- L. Regiardo4/5
- R. Herrera4/5
- B. Cabrera3/5
- J. Russo3/5
Union Santa Fe
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Tarragona5/5
- J. Mosqueira5/5
- L. Ayala5/5
- M. Mansilla5/5
- M. Rocha5/5
- B. Cuello4/5
- J. Luduena4/5
- J. Palacios4/5
- M. Estigarribia3/5
- T. Rubio3/5
- I. Malcorra2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Deportivo Riestra 0-3 Talleres CordobaOct 31, 2026
- Velez Sarsfield 2-2 San LorenzoOct 31, 2026
- Estudiantes L.P. 3-3 Instituto CordobaNov 1, 2026
- Boca Juniors 1-0 River PlateNov 1, 2026
- Belgrano Cordoba 2-2 Barracas CentralNov 1, 2026
- Lanus 1-1 Gimnasia M.Nov 1, 2026
- Defensa Y Justicia 1-1 IndependienteNov 2, 2026
- Platense 2-0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoNov 2, 2026
- Independ. Rivadavia 3-1 BanfieldNov 3, 2026
- Atletico Tucuman 1-2 Argentinos JRSNov 3, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Newells Old Boys a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union Santa Fe 26%. Newells Old Boys are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
1-1 (9.9%), followed by 2-1 (9.5%), 1-0 (7.5%), 2-0 (7.2%) and 1-2 (6.5%).
Will both teams score in Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
The probability that both Newells Old Boys and Union Santa Fe score is 63%. Newells Old Boys have a 27% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Union Santa Fe 15%.
How many goals should we expect in Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
The model expects 3.25 goals (1.93 for Newells Old Boys, 1.32 for Union Santa Fe). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 63%, over 3.5 goals 41%.
When and where is Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe played?
Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 21:30 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario.
What form are Newells Old Boys and Union Santa Fe in?
Newells Old Boys: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 2 conceded). Union Santa Fe: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Newells Old Boys and Union Santa Fe?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Newells Old Boys, 0 for Union Santa Fe and 0 draws. The most recent ended Union Santa Fe 2-3 Newells Old Boys (Apr 18, 2026).
What was the Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Newells Old Boys 1-1 Union Santa Fe. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Newells Old Boys (52%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (9.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (63%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (63%): missed.
How is the Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.93 for Newells Old Boys, 1.32 for Union Santa Fe) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Newells Old Boys predictions
- All Union Santa Fe predictions
- Argentine Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology