Argentine Primera División· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 00:15 (UK time)
Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield: 3-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Independ. Rivadavia 3-1 Banfield. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Independ. Rivadavia was the model's favourite outcome (41%). The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (1.4%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (24%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (17%): missed.
Match analysis
Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield was played on Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (Argentine Primera División). Venue: Estadio Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza. Before kick-off, our model gave Independ. Rivadavia a 41% chance of winning, the draw 38% and Banfield 21%. The most likely correct score is 0-0 (24.7%), ahead of 1-0 (21.5%) and 0-1 (13.1%).
Independ. Rivadavia have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 9. Banfield have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 6 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Independ. Rivadavia score 0.80 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Banfield score 1.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Independ. Rivadavia sit 9th with 19 points from 14 games, Banfield 13th with 14 points from 14. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Independ. Rivadavia have averaged 0.67 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.69 for Banfield.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Independ. Rivadavia, 3 for Banfield and 2 draws. The most recent ended Banfield 0-0 Independ. Rivadavia (Apr 20, 2026). In double chance terms, "Independ. Rivadavia or draw" stands at 79%, "Banfield or draw" at 59% and "no draw" at 62%.
In short : Our model backs Independ. Rivadavia to edge Banfield (41% probability). On recent form, Independ. Rivadavia have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Banfield have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5. The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Independ. Rivadavia – Banfield. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (24.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 80% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Independ. Rivadavia 0-0 Banfield | 24.7% |
| Independ. Rivadavia 1-0 Banfield | 21.5% |
| Independ. Rivadavia 0-1 Banfield | 13.1% |
| Independ. Rivadavia 1-1 Banfield | 11.4% |
| Independ. Rivadavia 2-0 Banfield | 9.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.40 goals in total (0.87 for Independ. Rivadavia, 0.53 for Banfield): over 2.5 goals has a 17% probability and both teams to score 24%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Independ. Rivadavia keep a clean sheet in 59% of scenarios, Banfield in 42%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Independ. Rivadavia expected goals | 0.87 |
| Banfield expected goals | 0.53 |
| Both teams to score | 24% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 41% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 17% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 5% |
| Independ. Rivadavia clean sheet | 59% |
| Banfield clean sheet | 42% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Independ. Rivadavia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Argentinos JRS · Argentine Primera División | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tigre · Argentine Primera División | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rosario Central · Argentine Primera División | 0-5 | L |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P. · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Barracas Central · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
Banfield
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lanus · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Argentinos JRS · Argentine Primera División | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tigre · Argentine Primera División | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Rosario Central · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P. · Argentine Primera División | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independ. Rivadavia | 9 | 19 | 14 |
| Banfield | 13 | 14 | 14 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026 | Banfield 0-0 Independ. Rivadavia | Argentine Primera División |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Independ. Rivadavia 1-2 Banfield | Argentine Primera División |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Banfield 1-1 Independ. Rivadavia | Argentine Primera División |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Banfield 2-0 Independ. Rivadavia | Argentine Primera División |
| May 30, 2024 | Independ. Rivadavia 1-2 Banfield | Copa Argentina |
Out and doubtful
Independ. Rivadavia
No absences reported.
Banfield
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Independ. Rivadavia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Costa5/5
- J. I. Florentin Bobadilla4/5
- J. M. Elordi4/5
- L. Gomez4/5
- L. Sequeira4/5
- M. Fernandez4/5
- N. Bolcato4/5
- S. Studer4/5
- F. Sartori3/5
- T. Bottari3/5
- A. Arce2/5
Banfield
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Balboa5/5
- D. Rodriguez5/5
- I. Abraham5/5
- N. Meriano5/5
- S. Daniele5/5
- S. Esquivel5/5
- D. Zalazar4/5
- F. Medina4/5
- J. L. Alfaro4/5
- L. Gomez4/5
- T. Adoryan4/5
Other matches in this competition
- Deportivo Riestra 0-3 Talleres CordobaOct 31, 2026
- Velez Sarsfield 2-2 San LorenzoOct 31, 2026
- Estudiantes L.P. 3-3 Instituto CordobaNov 1, 2026
- Boca Juniors 1-0 River PlateNov 1, 2026
- Newells Old Boys 1-1 Union Santa FeNov 1, 2026
- Belgrano Cordoba 2-2 Barracas CentralNov 1, 2026
- Lanus 1-1 Gimnasia M.Nov 1, 2026
- Defensa Y Justicia 1-1 IndependienteNov 2, 2026
- Platense 2-0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoNov 2, 2026
- Atletico Tucuman 1-2 Argentinos JRSNov 3, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Independ. Rivadavia a 41% chance of winning, the draw 38% and Banfield 21%. Independ. Rivadavia are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 3-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield?
0-0 (24.7%), followed by 1-0 (21.5%), 0-1 (13.1%), 1-1 (11.4%) and 2-0 (9.3%).
Will both teams score in Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield?
The probability that both Independ. Rivadavia and Banfield score is 24%. Independ. Rivadavia have a 59% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Banfield 42%.
How many goals should we expect in Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield?
The model expects 1.40 goals (0.87 for Independ. Rivadavia, 0.53 for Banfield). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 41%, over 2.5 goals 17%, over 3.5 goals 5%.
When and where is Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield played?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 00:15 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Estadio Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza.
What form are Independ. Rivadavia and Banfield in?
Independ. Rivadavia: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 9 conceded). Banfield: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Independ. Rivadavia and Banfield?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Independ. Rivadavia, 3 for Banfield and 2 draws. The most recent ended Banfield 0-0 Independ. Rivadavia (Apr 20, 2026).
What was the Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Independ. Rivadavia 3-1 Banfield. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Independ. Rivadavia was the model's favourite outcome (41%). The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (1.4%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (24%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (17%): missed.
How is the Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.87 for Independ. Rivadavia, 0.53 for Banfield) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Independ. Rivadavia predictions
- All Banfield predictions
- Argentine Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology