Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 15:30 (UK time)
AFAD vs Yamoussoukro: 3-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: AFAD 3-0 Yamoussoukro. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Yamoussoukro (57%), while victory for AFAD was rated at only 20%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.
Match analysis
AFAD and Yamoussoukro met on Sunday, November 1, 2026, a Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 5 fixture. Before kick-off, our model gave AFAD a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Yamoussoukro 57%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.0%) and 0-2 (10.4%).
AFAD have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 6. Yamoussoukro are unbeaten in their last 4 matches (2 wins, 2 draws), scoring 5 and conceding 2. Yamoussoukro therefore arrive in far better shape than AFAD. On average AFAD score 0.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Yamoussoukro score 1.25 and concede 0.50. In the table, AFAD sit 15th with 2 points from 3 games, Yamoussoukro 3rd with 8 points from 4. 12 places separate the two sides.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between AFAD and Yamoussoukro: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "AFAD or draw" stands at 43%, "Yamoussoukro or draw" at 80% and "no draw" at 77%.
In short : Yamoussoukro are favourites for this AFAD v Yamoussoukro, with a 57% win probability from our model. In the table, AFAD (15th, 2 pts) host Yamoussoukro (3rd, 8 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as AFAD – Yamoussoukro. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| AFAD 0-1 Yamoussoukro | 11.7% |
| AFAD 1-1 Yamoussoukro | 11.0% |
| AFAD 0-2 Yamoussoukro | 10.4% |
| AFAD 1-2 Yamoussoukro | 9.8% |
| AFAD 0-0 Yamoussoukro | 6.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.94 expected goals for AFAD and 1.78 for Yamoussoukro, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 51% and "both teams to score" at 51%. AFAD keep a clean sheet in 17% of scenarios, Yamoussoukro in 39%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| AFAD expected goals | 0.94 |
| Yamoussoukro expected goals | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| AFAD clean sheet | 17% |
| Yamoussoukro clean sheet | 39% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
AFAD
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | CS Sfaxien · CAF Confederation Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | CS Sfaxien · CAF Confederation Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | SOA · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bouaké · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
Yamoussoukro
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | SOL · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Stella · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Mouna · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 26, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFAD | 15 | 2 | 3 |
| Yamoussoukro | 3 | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between AFAD and Yamoussoukro: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
AFAD
No absences reported.
Yamoussoukro
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- SOA 2-0 KorhogoNov 1, 2026
- ASEC Mimosas 2-0 San-PédroNov 1, 2026
- San-Pédro 1-0 SOANov 5, 2026
- Bouaké 2-0 KorhogoNov 5, 2026
- Stella 1-1 AFADNov 5, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the AFAD vs Yamoussoukro prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave AFAD a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Yamoussoukro 57%. Yamoussoukro are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.
What is the most likely correct score for AFAD vs Yamoussoukro?
0-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.0%), 0-2 (10.4%), 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.6%).
Will both teams score in AFAD vs Yamoussoukro?
The probability that both AFAD and Yamoussoukro score is 51%. AFAD have a 17% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Yamoussoukro 39%.
How many goals should we expect in AFAD vs Yamoussoukro?
The model expects 2.72 goals (0.94 for AFAD, 1.78 for Yamoussoukro). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.
When and where is AFAD vs Yamoussoukro played?
Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 5.
What form are AFAD and Yamoussoukro in?
AFAD: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded). Yamoussoukro: 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches (5 scored, 2 conceded).
What was the AFAD vs Yamoussoukro result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: AFAD 3-0 Yamoussoukro. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Yamoussoukro (57%), while victory for AFAD was rated at only 20%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.
How is the AFAD vs Yamoussoukro prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.94 for AFAD, 1.78 for Yamoussoukro) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All AFAD predictions
- All Yamoussoukro predictions
- Ivorian Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology