Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 15:30 (UK time)
SOA vs Korhogo: 2-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: SOA 2-0 Korhogo. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for SOA was the model's favourite outcome (87%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (12.7%), behind 3-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (70%): missed.
Match analysis
SOA vs Korhogo was played on Sunday, November 1, 2026 (Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 5). Before kick-off, our model gave SOA a 87% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Korhogo 4%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (13.0%), ahead of 2-0 (12.7%) and 4-0 (10.0%).
SOA are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 3. Korhogo have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with SOA. On average SOA score 1.20 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Korhogo score 1.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, SOA sit 4th with 7 points from 3 games, Korhogo 14th with 2 points from 3. 10 places separate the two sides.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between SOA and Korhogo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "SOA or draw" stands at 96%, "Korhogo or draw" at 13% and "no draw" at 91%.
In short : SOA are favourites for this SOA v Korhogo, with a 87% win probability from our model. On recent form, SOA have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Korhogo have 0 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 3-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as SOA – Korhogo. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SOA 3-0 Korhogo | 13.0% |
| SOA 2-0 Korhogo | 12.7% |
| SOA 4-0 Korhogo | 10.0% |
| SOA 1-0 Korhogo | 8.3% |
| SOA 3-1 Korhogo | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.61 goals in total (3.07 for SOA, 0.54 for Korhogo): over 2.5 goals has a 70% probability and both teams to score 40%. Everything points to an open game. SOA keep a clean sheet in 58% of scenarios, Korhogo in 5%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| SOA expected goals | 3.07 |
| Korhogo expected goals | 0.54 |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49% |
| SOA clean sheet | 58% |
| Korhogo clean sheet | 5% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
SOA
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | ISCA · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AFAD · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Stella · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Medeama · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| May 24, 2026 | Bouaké · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
Korhogo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | FAR Rabat · CAF Confederation Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | FAR Rabat · CAF Confederation Cup | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 12, 2026 | US Tchologo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 3-3 | D |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Zoman · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | ES Agboville · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOA | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| Korhogo | 14 | 2 | 3 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between SOA and Korhogo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
SOA
No absences reported.
Korhogo
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- AFAD 3-0 YamoussoukroNov 1, 2026
- ASEC Mimosas 2-0 San-PédroNov 1, 2026
- San-Pédro 1-0 SOANov 5, 2026
- Bouaké 2-0 KorhogoNov 5, 2026
- Stella 1-1 AFADNov 5, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the SOA vs Korhogo prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave SOA a 87% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Korhogo 4%. SOA are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.
What is the most likely correct score for SOA vs Korhogo?
3-0 (13.0%), followed by 2-0 (12.7%), 4-0 (10.0%), 1-0 (8.3%) and 3-1 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in SOA vs Korhogo?
The probability that both SOA and Korhogo score is 40%. SOA have a 58% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Korhogo 5%.
How many goals should we expect in SOA vs Korhogo?
The model expects 3.61 goals (3.07 for SOA, 0.54 for Korhogo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 88%, over 2.5 goals 70%, over 3.5 goals 49%.
When and where is SOA vs Korhogo played?
Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 5.
What form are SOA and Korhogo in?
SOA: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 3 conceded). Korhogo: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded).
What was the SOA vs Korhogo result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: SOA 2-0 Korhogo. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for SOA was the model's favourite outcome (87%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (12.7%), behind 3-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (70%): missed.
How is the SOA vs Korhogo prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.07 for SOA, 0.54 for Korhogo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All SOA predictions
- All Korhogo predictions
- Ivorian Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology