Skip to content
Elofoot

Ivorian Ligue 1Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, October 4, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)

ASEC Mimosas vs Stella: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

ASEC MimosasASEC Mimosas0 – 0StellaStella

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: ASEC Mimosas 0-0 Stella. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for ASEC Mimosas (47%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

Match analysis

ASEC Mimosas and Stella met on Sunday, October 4, 2026, a Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 2 fixture. Before kick-off, our model gave ASEC Mimosas a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Stella 27%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.3%).

ASEC Mimosas have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Stella have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Stella therefore arrive in far better shape than ASEC Mimosas. On average ASEC Mimosas score 0.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Stella score 1.20 and concede 0.80. In the table, ASEC Mimosas sit 13th with 0 points from 1 games, Stella 11th with 0 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for ASEC Mimosas, 1 for Stella and 2 draws. The most recent ended ASEC Mimosas 1-0 Stella (Apr 12, 2026). In double chance terms, "ASEC Mimosas or draw" stands at 73%, "Stella or draw" at 53% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : ASEC Mimosas are favourites for this ASEC Mimosas v Stella, with a 47% win probability from our model. On recent form, ASEC Mimosas have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Stella have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

47%
ASEC Mimosas (Win)
26%
Draw
27%
Stella (Win)

Double chance

73%
ASEC Mimosas or draw
53%
Stella or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as ASEC Mimosas – Stella. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
ASEC Mimosas 1-1 Stella12.1%
ASEC Mimosas 1-0 Stella11.1%
ASEC Mimosas 2-1 Stella9.3%
ASEC Mimosas 2-0 Stella8.5%
ASEC Mimosas 0-1 Stella7.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.53 expected goals for ASEC Mimosas and 1.09 for Stella, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. ASEC Mimosas keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Stella in 22%.

Probability
ASEC Mimosas expected goals1.53
Stella expected goals1.09
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
ASEC Mimosas clean sheet34%
Stella clean sheet22%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

ASEC Mimosas

DateOpponentScore
Sep 26, 2026Yamoussoukro · Ivorian Ligue 10-1L
Sep 13, 2026ASC Kara · CAF Champions League2-1W
Sep 6, 2026ASC Kara · CAF Champions League1-1D
Aug 12, 2026Medeama · Club Friendlies1-2L
May 24, 2026Olympique Sport d'Abobo · Ivorian Ligue 10-1L

Stella

DateOpponentScore
Sep 27, 2026SOA · Ivorian Ligue 11-2L
May 23, 2026Racing d'Abidjan · Ivorian Ligue 12-1W
May 16, 2026Bouaké · Ivorian Ligue 12-1W
May 9, 2026Stade d'Abidjan · Ivorian Ligue 11-0W
May 3, 2026SOA · Ivorian Ligue 10-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
ASEC Mimosas1301
Stella1101

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026ASEC Mimosas 1-0 StellaLigue 1
Nov 2, 2025Stella 1-1 ASEC MimosasLigue 1
Feb 19, 2025ASEC Mimosas 1-0 StellaLigue 1
Oct 12, 2024Stella 0-0 ASEC MimosasLigue 1
May 12, 2024ASEC Mimosas 0-1 StellaLigue 1

Out and doubtful

ASEC Mimosas

No absences reported.

Stella

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the ASEC Mimosas vs Stella prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave ASEC Mimosas a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Stella 27%. ASEC Mimosas are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for ASEC Mimosas vs Stella?

1-1 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%), 2-1 (9.3%), 2-0 (8.5%) and 0-1 (7.9%).

Will both teams score in ASEC Mimosas vs Stella?

The probability that both ASEC Mimosas and Stella score is 52%. ASEC Mimosas have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Stella 22%.

How many goals should we expect in ASEC Mimosas vs Stella?

The model expects 2.62 goals (1.53 for ASEC Mimosas, 1.09 for Stella). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is ASEC Mimosas vs Stella played?

Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 2.

What form are ASEC Mimosas and Stella in?

ASEC Mimosas: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded). Stella: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between ASEC Mimosas and Stella?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for ASEC Mimosas, 1 for Stella and 2 draws. The most recent ended ASEC Mimosas 1-0 Stella (Apr 12, 2026).

What was the ASEC Mimosas vs Stella result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: ASEC Mimosas 0-0 Stella. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for ASEC Mimosas (47%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

How is the ASEC Mimosas vs Stella prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.53 for ASEC Mimosas, 1.09 for Stella) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained