Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, October 4, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)
US Tchologo vs San-Pédro: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: US Tchologo 0-2 San-Pédro. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for US Tchologo (64%), while victory for San-Pédro was rated at only 15%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.2%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.
Match analysis
US Tchologo and San-Pédro met on Sunday, October 4, 2026, a Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 2 fixture. Before kick-off, our model gave US Tchologo a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and San-Pédro 15%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 2-0 (11.6%) and 1-1 (10.0%).
US Tchologo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 5 and conceding 1. San-Pédro have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 6. US Tchologo therefore arrive in far better shape than San-Pédro. On average US Tchologo score 1.00 and concede 0.20 goals per game; San-Pédro score 0.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, US Tchologo sit 10th with 1 points from 1 games, San-Pédro 15th with 0 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between US Tchologo and San-Pédro: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "US Tchologo or draw" stands at 85%, "San-Pédro or draw" at 36% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Our model backs US Tchologo to edge San-Pédro (64% probability). On recent form, US Tchologo have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5 while San-Pédro have 0 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 49%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as US Tchologo – San-Pédro. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Tchologo 1-0 San-Pédro | 11.7% |
| US Tchologo 2-0 San-Pédro | 11.6% |
| US Tchologo 1-1 San-Pédro | 10.0% |
| US Tchologo 2-1 San-Pédro | 9.8% |
| US Tchologo 3-0 San-Pédro | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.97 expected goals for US Tchologo and 0.85 for San-Pédro, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 54% and "both teams to score" at 49%. US Tchologo keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, San-Pédro in 14%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| US Tchologo expected goals | 1.97 |
| San-Pédro expected goals | 0.85 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| US Tchologo clean sheet | 43% |
| San-Pédro clean sheet | 14% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
US Tchologo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | ISCA · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| May 24, 2026 | ES Agboville · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| May 18, 2026 | SOA · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| May 10, 2026 | Bouaké · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| May 3, 2026 | Korhogo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 3-0 | W |
San-Pédro
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Zoman · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rivers United · CAF Champions League | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rivers United · CAF Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 9, 2026 | CS Sfaxien · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| May 23, 2026 | ISCA · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| US Tchologo | 10 | 1 | 1 |
| San-Pédro | 15 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between US Tchologo and San-Pédro: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
US Tchologo
No absences reported.
San-Pédro
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- AFAD 1-1 SOAOct 4, 2026
- ASEC Mimosas 0-0 StellaOct 4, 2026
- Zoman 1-1 KorhogoOct 5, 2026
- ISCA 1-0 BouakéOct 7, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the US Tchologo vs San-Pédro prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave US Tchologo a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and San-Pédro 15%. US Tchologo are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for US Tchologo vs San-Pédro?
1-0 (11.7%), followed by 2-0 (11.6%), 1-1 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 3-0 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in US Tchologo vs San-Pédro?
The probability that both US Tchologo and San-Pédro score is 49%. US Tchologo have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, San-Pédro 14%.
How many goals should we expect in US Tchologo vs San-Pédro?
The model expects 2.82 goals (1.97 for US Tchologo, 0.85 for San-Pédro). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 31%.
When and where is US Tchologo vs San-Pédro played?
Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 2.
What form are US Tchologo and San-Pédro in?
US Tchologo: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 1 conceded). San-Pédro: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded).
What was the US Tchologo vs San-Pédro result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: US Tchologo 0-2 San-Pédro. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for US Tchologo (64%), while victory for San-Pédro was rated at only 15%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.2%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.
How is the US Tchologo vs San-Pédro prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.97 for US Tchologo, 0.85 for San-Pédro) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All US Tchologo predictions
- All San-Pédro predictions
- Ivorian Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology