Senegal Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Diambars vs HLM: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Diambars 0-1 HLM. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Diambars (77%), while victory for HLM was rated at only 8%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.8%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (62%): missed.
Match analysis
Diambars vs HLM was played on Saturday, October 24, 2026 (Senegal Ligue 1, matchday 2). Before kick-off, our model gave Diambars a 77% chance of winning, the draw 15% and HLM 8%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (13.1%), ahead of 3-0 (11.0%) and 1-0 (10.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Diambars have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 12. HLM have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 4 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Diambars score 1.00 and concede 2.40 goals per game; HLM score 0.80 and concede 0.80. In the table, Diambars sit 4th with 3 points from 1 games, HLM 6th with 1 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Diambars and HLM: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Diambars or draw" stands at 92%, "HLM or draw" at 23% and "no draw" at 85%.
In short : Diambars are tipped by our AI model in this Diambars v HLM (77%). In the table, Diambars (4th, 3 pts) host HLM (6th, 1 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Diambars – HLM. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Diambars 2-0 HLM | 13.1% |
| Diambars 3-0 HLM | 11.0% |
| Diambars 1-0 HLM | 10.4% |
| Diambars 2-1 HLM | 8.8% |
| Diambars 3-1 HLM | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.18 goals in total (2.51 for Diambars, 0.67 for HLM): over 2.5 goals has a 62% probability and both teams to score 45%. Everything points to an open game. Diambars keep a clean sheet in 51% of scenarios, HLM in 8%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Diambars expected goals | 2.51 |
| HLM expected goals | 0.67 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Diambars clean sheet | 51% |
| HLM clean sheet | 8% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Diambars
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Essamaye · Senegal Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ES Zarzis · CAF Confederation Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | ES Zarzis · CAF Confederation Cup | 1-3 | L |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Génération Foot · Senegal Ligue 1 | 0-2 | L |
| May 26, 2024 | DSC · Senegal Ligue 1 | 2-7 | L |
HLM
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Casa Sport · Senegal Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Pikine · Senegal Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| May 22, 2026 | Sonacos · Senegal Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| May 17, 2026 | Génération Foot · Senegal Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| May 13, 2026 | La Linguère · Senegal Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diambars | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| HLM | 6 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Diambars and HLM: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Diambars
No absences reported.
HLM
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- AJEL 0-0 Génération FootOct 24, 2026
- DSC 0-0 GoréeOct 24, 2026
- Ouakam 1-3 JaraafOct 25, 2026
- Stade de Mbour 0-0 GuédiawayeOct 25, 2026
- Casa Sport 0-2 Wally DaanOct 25, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Diambars vs HLM prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Diambars a 77% chance of winning, the draw 15% and HLM 8%. Diambars are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Diambars vs HLM?
2-0 (13.1%), followed by 3-0 (11.0%), 1-0 (10.4%), 2-1 (8.8%) and 3-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Diambars vs HLM?
The probability that both Diambars and HLM score is 45%. Diambars have a 51% chance of keeping a clean sheet, HLM 8%.
How many goals should we expect in Diambars vs HLM?
The model expects 3.18 goals (2.51 for Diambars, 0.67 for HLM). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 62%, over 3.5 goals 39%.
When and where is Diambars vs HLM played?
Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), Senegal Ligue 1, matchday 2.
What form are Diambars and HLM in?
Diambars: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 12 conceded). HLM: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded).
What was the Diambars vs HLM result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Diambars 0-1 HLM. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Diambars (77%), while victory for HLM was rated at only 8%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.8%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (62%): missed.
How is the Diambars vs HLM prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.51 for Diambars, 0.67 for HLM) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Diambars predictions
- All HLM predictions
- Senegal Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology