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Ligue 1Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Lens vs Paris FC prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Ligue 1, matchday 8: the Lens vs Paris FC match is scheduled on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens. Paris FC start as favourites with a 51% chance of victory; Lens are given 27% and the draw 22%.

Over their last 5 matches, Lens have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Paris FC have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Paris FC therefore arrive in far better shape than Lens. On average Lens score 1.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Paris FC score 1.60 and concede 0.80. In the table, Lens sit 11th with 7 points from 6 games, Paris FC 5th with 11 points from 6. 6 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Lens have averaged 1.56 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.69 for Paris FC.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Lens, 1 for Paris FC and 1 draw. The most recent ended Paris FC 0-5 Lens (Feb 14, 2026). Lens out or doubtful: J. Chavez, J. Gradit, M. Nawrocki, A. Sima and M. Udol (suspended). Paris FC: J. Ikone, N. Sangui, S. Chergui (doubtful) and V. Marchetti (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Lens or draw" stands at 49%, "Paris FC or draw" at 73% and "no draw" at 78%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

27%
Lens (Win)
22%
Draw
51%
Paris FC (Win)

Double chance

49%
Lens or draw
73%
Paris FC or draw
78%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Lens

DateOpponentScore
Oct 13, 2026Sporting CP · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Oct 9, 2026Lyon · Ligue 12-1W
Oct 2, 2026Standard Liege · Club Friendlies2-0W
Sep 18, 2026Monaco · Ligue 11-2L
Sep 13, 2026Le Mans · Ligue 12-2D

Paris FC

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Lorient · Ligue 10-1L
Sep 19, 2026Strasbourg · Ligue 12-1W
Sep 12, 2026Lyon · Ligue 10-0D
Sep 6, 2026Marseille · Ligue 13-2W
Aug 30, 2026Nice · Ligue 13-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Lens1176
Paris FC5116

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Paris FC 0-5 LensLigue 1
Oct 19, 2025Lens 2-1 Paris FCLigue 1
Jul 2, 2022Lens 0-0 Paris FCClub Friendlies
Aug 5, 2020Lens 1-2 Paris FCClub Friendlies
Mar 2, 2020Paris FC 0-2 LensLigue 2

Out and doubtful

Lens

  • J. Chavez (out)
  • J. Gradit (out)
  • M. Nawrocki (out)
  • A. Sima (out)
  • M. Udol (suspended)

Paris FC

  • J. Ikone (out)
  • N. Sangui (out)
  • S. Chergui (doubtful)
  • V. Marchetti (doubtful)

Most regular starters

Lens

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. Thauvin4/4
  • K. Antonio4/4
  • M. Cuisance4/4
  • M. Udol4/4
  • R. Risser4/4
  • R. Aguilar3/4
  • A. Haidara2/4
  • A. Sima2/4
  • I. Ganiou2/4
  • J. Gradit2/4
  • J. Kadile2/4

Paris FC

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Camara5/5
  • D. Coppola5/5
  • I. Kebbal5/5
  • K. Trapp5/5
  • L. Sinayoko5/5
  • M. Lopez5/5
  • P. Lees-Melou5/5
  • P. Pagis5/5
  • L. Koleosho4/5
  • S. Chergui4/5
  • H. Traore3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Lens vs Paris FC prediction?

Our AI gives Lens a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paris FC 51%. Paris FC are therefore favourites.

When and where is Lens vs Paris FC played?

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 8. Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens.

What form are Lens and Paris FC in?

Lens: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded). Paris FC: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Lens and Paris FC?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Lens, 1 for Paris FC and 1 draw. The most recent ended Paris FC 0-5 Lens (Feb 14, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained