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Ligue 1Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, October 25, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)

Monaco vs Lille prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Ligue 1, matchday 8: Monaco vs Lille kicks off on Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). Venue: Stade Louis II, Monaco. The edge goes to Monaco (49%), ahead of the draw (26%) and a Lille win (25%).

Monaco are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Lille have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Monaco score 1.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Lille score 1.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Monaco sit 1st with 14 points from 6 games, Lille 2nd with 13 points from 6. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Monaco have averaged 1.29 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.22 for Lille.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Monaco, 3 for Lille and 1 draw. The most recent ended Monaco 0-1 Lille (May 10, 2026). Monaco out or doubtful: P. Brunner (suspended), E. Dier (doubtful) and S. Idumbo (doubtful). Lille: H. Igamane, T. Santos and A. Ueda. In double chance terms, "Monaco or draw" stands at 75%, "Lille or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 74%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

49%
Monaco (Win)
26%
Draw
25%
Lille (Win)

Double chance

75%
Monaco or draw
51%
Lille or draw
74%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Monaco

DateOpponentScore
Oct 15, 2026CSKA Sofia · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Oct 10, 2026Toulouse · Ligue 12-2D
Oct 3, 2026Pisa · Club Friendlies2-0W
Sep 18, 2026Lens · Ligue 12-1W
Sep 12, 2026Strasbourg · Ligue 11-1D

Lille

DateOpponentScore
Oct 13, 2026Arsenal · UEFA Champions League0-3L
Oct 10, 2026Le Havre · Ligue 11-0W
Oct 2, 2026Zulte Waregem · Club Friendlies2-1W
Sep 20, 2026Nice · Ligue 11-2L
Sep 13, 2026Estac Troyes · Ligue 12-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Monaco1146
Lille2136

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Monaco 0-1 LilleLigue 1
Aug 24, 2025Lille 1-0 MonacoLigue 1
Feb 22, 2025Lille 2-1 MonacoLigue 1
Oct 18, 2024Monaco 0-0 LilleLigue 1
Apr 24, 2024Monaco 1-0 LilleLigue 1

Out and doubtful

Monaco

  • P. Brunner (suspended)
  • E. Dier (doubtful)
  • S. Idumbo (doubtful)

Lille

  • H. Igamane (out)
  • T. Santos (out)
  • A. Ueda (out)

Most regular starters

Monaco

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Golovin3/4
  • D. Zakaria3/4
  • E. Dier3/4
  • L. Camara3/4
  • L. Hradecky3/4
  • Nazinho3/4
  • S. Sane3/4
  • Vanderson3/4
  • E. Diop2/4
  • M. Abline2/4
  • P. Brunner2/4

Lille

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • N. Bentaleb4/4
  • R. Perraud4/4
  • A. Ueda3/4
  • Alexsandro3/4
  • B. Ozer3/4
  • D. Bakwa3/4
  • H. Haraldsson3/4
  • N. Mukau3/4
  • N. Ngoy3/4
  • T. Santos3/4
  • B. Onal2/4

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Monaco vs Lille prediction?

Our AI gives Monaco a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lille 25%. Monaco are therefore favourites.

When and where is Monaco vs Lille played?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 8. Venue: Stade Louis II, Monaco.

What form are Monaco and Lille in?

Monaco: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded). Lille: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Monaco and Lille?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Monaco, 3 for Lille and 1 draw. The most recent ended Monaco 0-1 Lille (May 10, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained