Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, October 25, 2026, 16:15 (UK time)
Marseille vs Le Havre prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Ligue 1, matchday 8: the Marseille vs Le Havre match is scheduled on Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 16:15 (UK time). Venue: Orange Vélodrome, Marseille. It is a tight call: 38% for Marseille, 26% for the draw and 36% for Le Havre.
Marseille have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 8. Le Havre have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Marseille score 0.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Le Havre score 1.80 and concede 1.40. In the table, Marseille sit 14th with 6 points from 6 games, Le Havre 18th with 2 points from 6. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Marseille have averaged 1.10 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.68 for Le Havre.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 5 wins for Marseille, 0 for Le Havre and 0 draws. The most recent ended Le Havre 0-1 Marseille (May 10, 2026). Marseille out or doubtful: D. Cornelius, K. Abdallah (doubtful) and P. Hojbjerg (doubtful). Le Havre: E. Jelert, F. Mambimbi, L. Mpasi-Nzau, T. Pembele, A. Seko (suspended), A. Toure, S. Zagadou and R. Fofana (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Marseille or draw" stands at 64%, "Le Havre or draw" at 62% and "no draw" at 74%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Marseille
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus · UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Estac Troyes · Ligue 1 | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Beşiktaş · UEFA Europa League | 1-4 | L |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Rennes · Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
Le Havre
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lille · Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Boulogne · Club Friendlies | 6-1 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Toulouse · Ligue 1 | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angers · Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 14 | 6 | 6 |
| Le Havre | 18 | 2 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Le Havre 0-1 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Marseille 6-2 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2025 | Le Havre 1-3 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Marseille 5-1 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| May 19, 2024 | Le Havre 1-2 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
Out and doubtful
Marseille
- D. Cornelius (out)
- K. Abdallah (doubtful)
- P. Hojbjerg (doubtful)
Le Havre
- E. Jelert (out)
- F. Mambimbi (out)
- L. Mpasi-Nzau (out)
- T. Pembele (out)
- A. Seko (suspended)
- A. Toure (out)
- S. Zagadou (out)
- R. Fofana (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Marseille
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
Le Havre
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Maja5/5
- A. Richardson4/5
- A. Seko4/5
- A. Touba4/5
- G. Gallon4/5
- S. Ebonog4/5
- A. Samatta3/5
- D. Ouziad3/5
- E. Jelert3/5
- S. Nakamura3/5
- J. Mwanga2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Stade Brestois 29 – NiceOct 23, 2026
- Toulouse – Estac TroyesOct 24, 2026
- Lens – Paris FCOct 24, 2026
- Monaco – LilleOct 25, 2026
- Rennes – StrasbourgOct 25, 2026
- Auxerre – Le MansOct 25, 2026
- Angers – LorientOct 25, 2026
- Paris Saint Germain – LyonOct 25, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Marseille vs Le Havre prediction?
Our AI gives Marseille a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Le Havre 36%. Marseille are therefore slight favourites.
When and where is Marseille vs Le Havre played?
Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 16:15 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 8. Venue: Orange Vélodrome, Marseille.
What form are Marseille and Le Havre in?
Marseille: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 8 conceded). Le Havre: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Marseille and Le Havre?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 5 wins for Marseille, 0 for Le Havre and 0 draws. The most recent ended Le Havre 0-1 Marseille (May 10, 2026).
Go further
- All Marseille predictions
- All Le Havre predictions
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