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Ligue 1Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, October 25, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon prediction: correct score and AI tips

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain–LyonLyon

Match analysis

Ligue 1, matchday 8: Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon kicks off on Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Venue: Parc des Princes, Paris. With a 70% win probability, Paris Saint Germain go in as strong favourites against Lyon (14%), with the draw rated at 16%.

Paris Saint Germain are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 16 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Lyon have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Paris Saint Germain. On average Paris Saint Germain score 3.20 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Lyon score 2.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, Paris Saint Germain sit 6th with 11 points from 6 games, Lyon 4th with 11 points from 6. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Paris Saint Germain have averaged 2.42 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.48 for Lyon.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Paris Saint Germain, 1 for Lyon and 0 draws. The most recent ended Paris Saint Germain 1-2 Lyon (Apr 19, 2026). Paris Saint Germain out or doubtful: A. Longoni and S. Mayulu. Lyon: L. Openda, M. Ouedraogo and N. Tagliafico. In double chance terms, "Paris Saint Germain or draw" stands at 86%, "Lyon or draw" at 30% and "no draw" at 84%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

70%
Paris Saint Germain (Win)
16%
Draw
14%
Lyon (Win)

Double chance

86%
Paris Saint Germain or draw
30%
Lyon or draw
84%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Paris Saint Germain

DateOpponentScore
Oct 14, 2026Manchester City · UEFA Champions League4-2W
Oct 10, 2026Le Mans · Ligue 13-1W
Sep 20, 2026Marseille · Ligue 12-1W
Sep 13, 2026Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 11-0W
Sep 9, 2026Slovan Bratislava · UEFA Champions League6-1W

Lyon

DateOpponentScore
Oct 15, 2026Crystal Palace · UEFA Europa League3-2W
Oct 9, 2026Lens · Ligue 11-2L
Sep 19, 2026Rennes · Ligue 14-0W
Sep 16, 2026Anderlecht · UEFA Europa League2-1W
Sep 12, 2026Paris FC · Ligue 10-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Paris Saint Germain6116
Lyon4116

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Paris Saint Germain 1-2 LyonLigue 1
Nov 9, 2025Lyon 2-3 Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
Feb 23, 2025Lyon 2-3 Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
Dec 15, 2024Paris Saint Germain 3-1 LyonLigue 1
May 25, 2024Lyon 1-2 Paris Saint GermainCoupe de France

Out and doubtful

Paris Saint Germain

  • A. Longoni (out)
  • S. Mayulu (out)

Lyon

  • L. Openda (out)
  • M. Ouedraogo (out)
  • N. Tagliafico (out)

Most regular starters

Paris Saint Germain

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

Lyon

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • T. Morton5/5
  • C. Tolisso4/5
  • D. Greif4/5
  • E. Nuamah4/5
  • F. Bacher4/5
  • L. Openda4/5
  • Z. Athekame4/5
  • Abner Vinicius3/5
  • M. Bidstrup3/5
  • M. Niakhate3/5
  • P. Sulc3/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon prediction?

Our AI gives Paris Saint Germain a 70% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Lyon 14%. Paris Saint Germain are therefore favourites.

When and where is Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon played?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 8. Venue: Parc des Princes, Paris.

What form are Paris Saint Germain and Lyon in?

Paris Saint Germain: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 5 conceded). Lyon: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Paris Saint Germain and Lyon?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Paris Saint Germain, 1 for Lyon and 0 draws. The most recent ended Paris Saint Germain 1-2 Lyon (Apr 19, 2026).

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