Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 16:15 (UK time)
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Toulouse take on Estac Troyes on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 16:15 (UK time), a Ligue 1, matchday 8 fixture. Venue: Stadium Municipal, Toulouse. Our model makes Toulouse clear favourites: a 73% chance of winning, against 16% for the draw and 11% for Estac Troyes.
Over their last 5 matches, Toulouse have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Estac Troyes have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 14. Toulouse therefore arrive in far better shape than Estac Troyes. On average Toulouse score 2.40 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Estac Troyes score 0.80 and concede 2.80. In the table, Toulouse sit 7th with 9 points from 7 games, Estac Troyes 17th with 4 points from 6. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Toulouse have averaged 1.66 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.46 for Estac Troyes.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Toulouse, 0 for Estac Troyes and 2 draws. The most recent ended Toulouse 4-1 Estac Troyes (Feb 1, 2023). Estac Troyes: Y. Kone, A. Ouzenadji, Y. Titi and I. Boura (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Toulouse or draw" stands at 89%, "Estac Troyes or draw" at 27% and "no draw" at 84%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Toulouse
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Le Mans · Ligue 1 | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Monaco · Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | PAU · Club Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Havre · Ligue 1 | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lorient · Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
Estac Troyes
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marseille · Ligue 1 | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Dijon · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Angers · Ligue 1 | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lille · Ligue 1 | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Strasbourg · Ligue 1 | 2-6 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| Estac Troyes | 17 | 4 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2023 | Toulouse 4-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Estac Troyes 0-3 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Jul 9, 2022 | Toulouse 6-1 Estac Troyes | Club Friendlies |
| Feb 6, 2021 | Estac Troyes 1-1 Toulouse | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Toulouse 0-0 Estac Troyes | Ligue 2 |
Out and doubtful
Toulouse
No absences reported.
Estac Troyes
- Y. Kone (out)
- A. Ouzenadji (out)
- Y. Titi (out)
- I. Boura (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Toulouse
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Russell-Rowe4/4
- M. McKenzie4/4
- R. Messali4/4
- C. Casseres3/4
- C. Tape3/4
- C. Tengstedt3/4
- G. Restes3/4
- I. Azizi3/4
- S. Koumbassa3/4
- T. Jorgensen3/4
- N. Sigur2/4
Estac Troyes
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Diop5/5
- A. Mille4/5
- A. Monfray4/5
- D. Karim4/5
- L. Maronnier4/5
- P. Beach4/5
- A. Ouzenadji3/5
- H. Picard3/5
- J. Le Douaron3/5
- J. M. Diaz3/5
- I. Gomis2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Stade Brestois 29 – NiceOct 23, 2026
- Lens – Paris FCOct 24, 2026
- Monaco – LilleOct 25, 2026
- Rennes – StrasbourgOct 25, 2026
- Auxerre – Le MansOct 25, 2026
- Marseille – Le HavreOct 25, 2026
- Angers – LorientOct 25, 2026
- Paris Saint Germain – LyonOct 25, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Toulouse vs Estac Troyes prediction?
Our AI gives Toulouse a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Estac Troyes 11%. Toulouse are therefore favourites.
When and where is Toulouse vs Estac Troyes played?
Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 16:15 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 8. Venue: Stadium Municipal, Toulouse.
What form are Toulouse and Estac Troyes in?
Toulouse: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 9 conceded). Estac Troyes: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 14 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Toulouse and Estac Troyes?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Toulouse, 0 for Estac Troyes and 2 draws. The most recent ended Toulouse 4-1 Estac Troyes (Feb 1, 2023).
Go further
- All Toulouse predictions
- All Estac Troyes predictions
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