Skip to content
Elofoot

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Sunday, November 15, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Belgium vs Italy prediction: correct score and AI tips

BelgiumBelgium–ItalyItaly

Match analysis

Belgium take on Italy on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), a UEFA Nations League fixture. Our model makes Italy clear favourites: a 65% chance of winning, against 20% for the draw and 15% for Belgium.

Over their last 5 matches, Belgium have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Italy have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Italy therefore arrive in far better shape than Belgium. On average Belgium score 1.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Italy score 1.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Belgium sit 3rd with 6 points from 4 games, Italy 2nd with 7 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Belgium have averaged 0.85 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.04 for Italy.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Belgium, 4 for Italy and 1 draw. The most recent ended Belgium 0-1 Italy (Nov 14, 2024). In double chance terms, "Belgium or draw" stands at 35%, "Italy or draw" at 85% and "no draw" at 80%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

15%
Belgium (Win)
20%
Draw
65%
Italy (Win)

Double chance

35%
Belgium or draw
85%
Italy or draw
80%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Unlock the exact score

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Belgium

DateOpponentScore
Oct 5, 2026France · UEFA Nations League1-4L
Oct 2, 2026Türkiye · UEFA Nations League3-0W
Sep 28, 2026France · UEFA Nations League0-1L
Sep 25, 2026Italy · UEFA Nations League2-0W
Jul 10, 2026Spain · FIFA World Cup1-2L

Italy

DateOpponentScore
Oct 5, 2026Türkiye · UEFA Nations League3-1W
Oct 2, 2026France · UEFA Nations League1-1D
Sep 28, 2026Türkiye · UEFA Nations League4-1W
Sep 25, 2026Belgium · UEFA Nations League0-2L
Jun 7, 2026Greece · International Friendlies1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Belgium364
Italy274

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2024Belgium 0-1 ItalyUEFA Nations League
Oct 10, 2024Italy 2-2 BelgiumUEFA Nations League
Oct 10, 2021Italy 2-1 BelgiumUEFA Nations League
Jul 2, 2021Belgium 1-2 ItalyEuro Championship
Jun 13, 2016Belgium 0-2 ItalyEuro Championship

Out and doubtful

Belgium

No absences reported.

Italy

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Belgium

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Mechele4/5
  • N. Ngoy4/5
  • T. Castagne4/5
  • C. De Ketelaere3/5
  • K. De Bruyne3/5
  • N. Raskin3/5
  • D. Moreira2/5
  • H. Vanaken2/5
  • J. Seys2/5
  • M. De Cuyper2/5
  • M. Godts2/5

Italy

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • G. Donnarumma4/5
  • F. Esposito3/5
  • A. Bastoni2/5
  • A. Romano2/5
  • G. Di Lorenzo2/5
  • G. Mancini2/5
  • M. Kean2/5
  • N. Barella2/5
  • R. Calafiori2/5
  • S. Tonali2/5
  • A. Vergara1/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Belgium vs Italy prediction?

Our AI gives Belgium a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Italy 65%. Italy are therefore favourites.

When and where is Belgium vs Italy played?

Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are Belgium and Italy in?

Belgium: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded). Italy: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Belgium and Italy?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Belgium, 4 for Italy and 1 draw. The most recent ended Belgium 0-1 Italy (Nov 14, 2024).

Go further

Key terms explained