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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Sunday, November 15, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)

Latvia vs Armenia prediction: correct score and AI tips

LatviaLatvia–ArmeniaArmenia

Match analysis

UEFA Nations League: the Latvia vs Armenia match is scheduled on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). It is a tight call: 41% for Latvia, 36% for the draw and 23% for Armenia.

Latvia have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 7. Armenia have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 6. Armenia therefore arrive in far better shape than Latvia. On average Latvia score 0.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Armenia score 1.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, Latvia sit 4th with 1 points from 4 games, Armenia 3rd with 4 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Latvia have averaged 0.97 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.58 for Armenia.

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Latvia, 3 for Armenia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Latvia 1-2 Armenia (Nov 17, 2024). In double chance terms, "Latvia or draw" stands at 77%, "Armenia or draw" at 59% and "no draw" at 64%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

41%
Latvia (Win)
36%
Draw
23%
Armenia (Win)

Double chance

77%
Latvia or draw
59%
Armenia or draw
64%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Latvia

DateOpponentScore
Oct 5, 2026Cyprus · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Oct 2, 2026Montenegro · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Sep 28, 2026Cyprus · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Sep 25, 2026Armenia · UEFA Nations League0-2L
Jun 9, 2026Faroe Islands · Baltic Cup0-1L

Armenia

DateOpponentScore
Oct 5, 2026Montenegro · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Oct 2, 2026Cyprus · UEFA Nations League0-2L
Sep 28, 2026Montenegro · UEFA Nations League2-3L
Sep 25, 2026Latvia · UEFA Nations League2-0W
Jun 9, 2026Moldova · International Friendlies1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Latvia414
Armenia344

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 17, 2024Latvia 1-2 ArmeniaUEFA Nations League
Sep 7, 2024Armenia 4-1 LatviaUEFA Nations League
Oct 12, 2023Latvia 2-0 ArmeniaEuro Championship - Qualification
Jun 19, 2023Armenia 2-1 LatviaEuro Championship - Qualification

Out and doubtful

Latvia

No absences reported.

Armenia

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Latvia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • L. Vapne3/5
  • R. Jurkovskis3/5
  • A. Cernomordijs2/5
  • A. Ciganiks2/5
  • Andrejs Cigaņiks2/5
  • Antonijs Černomordijs2/5
  • D. Zelenkovs2/5
  • Deniss Melniks2/5
  • Dennis Cirkin2/5
  • Dmitrijs Zelenkovs2/5
  • Lūkass Vapne2/5

Armenia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Miranyan5/5
  • E. Piloyan5/5
  • G. Harutyunyan5/5
  • N. Tiknizyan5/5
  • E. Spertsyan4/5
  • A. Bandikyan3/5
  • A. Serobyan3/5
  • K. Hovhannisyan3/5
  • U. Iwu3/5
  • A. Beglaryan2/5
  • E. Simonyan2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Latvia vs Armenia prediction?

Our AI gives Latvia a 41% chance of winning, the draw 36% and Armenia 23%. Latvia are therefore slight favourites.

When and where is Latvia vs Armenia played?

Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are Latvia and Armenia in?

Latvia: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 7 conceded). Armenia: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Latvia and Armenia?

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Latvia, 3 for Armenia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Latvia 1-2 Armenia (Nov 17, 2024).

Go further

Key terms explained