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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Saturday, November 14, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Portugal vs Denmark prediction: correct score and AI tips

PortugalPortugal–DenmarkDenmark

Match analysis

UEFA Nations League: Portugal vs Denmark kicks off on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Portugal 44%, Denmark 33% and the draw 23%.

Over their last 5 matches, Portugal have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Denmark have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Portugal score 1.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Denmark score 1.80 and concede 1.60. In the table, Portugal sit 1st with 12 points from 4 games, Denmark 2nd with 6 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Portugal have averaged 1.21 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.20 for Denmark.

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Portugal, 1 for Denmark and 0 draws. The most recent ended Denmark 2-4 Portugal (Oct 1, 2026). In double chance terms, "Portugal or draw" stands at 67%, "Denmark or draw" at 56% and "no draw" at 77%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

44%
Portugal (Win)
23%
Draw
33%
Denmark (Win)

Double chance

67%
Portugal or draw
56%
Denmark or draw
77%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Portugal

DateOpponentScore
Oct 4, 2026Norway · UEFA Nations League2-1W
Oct 1, 2026Denmark · UEFA Nations League4-2W
Sep 27, 2026Norway · UEFA Nations League2-1W
Sep 24, 2026Wales · UEFA Nations League1-0W
Jul 6, 2026Spain · FIFA World Cup0-1L

Denmark

DateOpponentScore
Oct 4, 2026Wales · UEFA Nations League1-0W
Oct 1, 2026Portugal · UEFA Nations League2-4L
Sep 27, 2026Wales · UEFA Nations League2-0W
Sep 24, 2026Norway · UEFA Nations League2-3L
Jun 7, 2026Ukraine · International Friendlies2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Portugal1124
Denmark264

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 1, 2026Denmark 2-4 PortugalUEFA Nations League
Mar 23, 2025Portugal 5-2 DenmarkUEFA Nations League
Mar 20, 2025Denmark 1-0 PortugalUEFA Nations League
Jun 13, 2012Denmark 2-3 PortugalEuro Championship

Out and doubtful

Portugal

No absences reported.

Denmark

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Portugal

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Vitinha4/5
  • B. Fernandes3/5
  • D. Costa3/5
  • J. Cancelo3/5
  • N. Mendes3/5
  • P. Neto3/5
  • R. Dias3/5
  • R. Veiga3/5
  • C. Ronaldo2/5
  • Diogo Costa2/5
  • Francisco Conceição2/5

Denmark

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Andersen3/5
  • J. Maehle3/5
  • P. Hojbjerg3/5
  • Gustav Isaksen2/5
  • Joachim Andersen2/5
  • Joakim Mæhle2/5
  • M. Damsgaard2/5
  • M. Hermansen2/5
  • M. Hjulmand2/5
  • Morten Hjulmand2/5
  • O. Provstgaard2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Portugal vs Denmark prediction?

Our AI gives Portugal a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Denmark 33%. Portugal are therefore slight favourites.

When and where is Portugal vs Denmark played?

Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are Portugal and Denmark in?

Portugal: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded). Denmark: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Portugal and Denmark?

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Portugal, 1 for Denmark and 0 draws. The most recent ended Denmark 2-4 Portugal (Oct 1, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained