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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Saturday, November 14, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine prediction: correct score and AI tips

Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland–UkraineUkraine

Match analysis

UEFA Nations League: the Northern Ireland vs Ukraine match is scheduled on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Our model makes Northern Ireland clear favourites: a 89% chance of winning, against 9% for the draw and 2% for Ukraine.

Over their last 5 matches, Northern Ireland have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Ukraine have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 7. Northern Ireland therefore arrive in far better shape than Ukraine. On average Northern Ireland score 1.00 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Ukraine score 0.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Northern Ireland sit 1st with 8 points from 4 games, Ukraine 3rd with 4 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Northern Ireland have averaged 1.65 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.38 for Ukraine.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Northern Ireland, 1 for Ukraine and 0 draws. The most recent ended Ukraine 1-0 Northern Ireland (Jun 3, 2021). In double chance terms, "Northern Ireland or draw" stands at 98%, "Ukraine or draw" at 11% and "no draw" at 91%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

89%
Northern Ireland (Win)
9%
Draw
2%
Ukraine (Win)

Double chance

98%
Northern Ireland or draw
11%
Ukraine or draw
91%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Northern Ireland

DateOpponentScore
Oct 5, 2026Georgia · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Oct 2, 2026Ukraine · UEFA Nations League3-0W
Sep 28, 2026Hungary · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Sep 25, 2026Georgia · UEFA Nations League1-0W
Jun 8, 2026France · International Friendlies1-3L

Ukraine

DateOpponentScore
Oct 5, 2026Hungary · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Oct 2, 2026Northern Ireland · UEFA Nations League0-3L
Sep 28, 2026Georgia · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Sep 25, 2026Hungary · UEFA Nations League1-0W
Jun 7, 2026Denmark · International Friendlies1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Northern Ireland184
Ukraine344

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 3, 2021Ukraine 1-0 Northern IrelandInternational Friendlies
Jun 16, 2016Ukraine 0-2 Northern IrelandEuro Championship

Out and doubtful

Northern Ireland

No absences reported.

Ukraine

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Northern Ireland

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Brown3/5
  • I. Price3/5
  • J. Devenny3/5
  • J. Donley3/5
  • P. Charles3/5
  • Ruairi McConville3/5
  • S. Charles3/5
  • T. Hume3/5
  • Tom Atcheson3/5
  • Ciaron Brown2/5
  • E. Galbraith2/5

Ukraine

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Trubin3/5
  • E. Sarapiy3/5
  • I. Zabarnyi3/5
  • O. Ocheretko3/5
  • V. Tsygankov3/5
  • G. Sudakov2/5
  • I. Krupskyi2/5
  • M. Ponomarenko2/5
  • T. Mykhavko2/5
  • V. Mykolenko2/5
  • V. Vanat2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Northern Ireland vs Ukraine prediction?

Our AI gives Northern Ireland a 89% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Ukraine 2%. Northern Ireland are therefore favourites.

When and where is Northern Ireland vs Ukraine played?

Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are Northern Ireland and Ukraine in?

Northern Ireland: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 3 conceded). Ukraine: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Northern Ireland and Ukraine?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Northern Ireland, 1 for Ukraine and 0 draws. The most recent ended Ukraine 1-0 Northern Ireland (Jun 3, 2021).

Go further

Key terms explained