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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Saturday, November 14, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Romania vs Poland prediction: correct score and AI tips

RomaniaRomania–PolandPoland

Match analysis

UEFA Nations League: the Romania vs Poland match is scheduled on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Our model makes Poland clear favourites: a 64% chance of winning, against 24% for the draw and 12% for Romania.

Romania have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 14. Poland have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Romania score 1.00 and concede 2.80 goals per game; Poland score 1.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, Romania sit 4th with 0 points from 4 games, Poland 3rd with 4 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Romania have averaged 0.56 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.57 for Poland.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Romania, 2 for Poland and 0 draws. The most recent ended Poland 3-1 Romania (Jun 10, 2017). In double chance terms, "Romania or draw" stands at 36%, "Poland or draw" at 88% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

12%
Romania (Win)
24%
Draw
64%
Poland (Win)

Double chance

36%
Romania or draw
88%
Poland or draw
76%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Romania

DateOpponentScore
Oct 5, 2026Sweden · UEFA Nations League0-1L
Oct 2, 2026Poland · UEFA Nations League0-6L
Sep 28, 2026Bosnia & Herzegovina · UEFA Nations League2-4L
Sep 25, 2026Sweden · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Jun 6, 2026Wales · International Friendlies2-1W

Poland

DateOpponentScore
Oct 5, 2026Bosnia & Herzegovina · UEFA Nations League0-1L
Oct 2, 2026Romania · UEFA Nations League6-0W
Sep 28, 2026Sweden · UEFA Nations League1-3L
Sep 25, 2026Bosnia & Herzegovina · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Jun 3, 2026Nigeria · International Friendlies2-2D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Romania404
Poland344

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 10, 2017Poland 3-1 RomaniaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
Nov 11, 2016Romania 0-3 PolandWorld Cup - Qualification Europe

Out and doubtful

Romania

No absences reported.

Poland

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Romania

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Coubis3/5
  • A. Ratiu3/5
  • D. Man3/5
  • D. Olaru3/5
  • M. Ilie3/5
  • N. Bancu3/5
  • N. Stanciu3/5
  • O. Hindrich3/5
  • R. Marin3/5
  • T. Baluta3/5
  • V. Dragomir3/5

Poland

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Bednarek3/5
  • N. Zalewski3/5
  • J. Kiwior2/5
  • Jakub Kiwior2/5
  • Jan Bednarek2/5
  • K. Swiderski2/5
  • M. Cash2/5
  • Marcin Bułka2/5
  • Matty Cash2/5
  • P. Frankowski2/5
  • P. Zielinski2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Romania vs Poland prediction?

Our AI gives Romania a 12% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Poland 64%. Poland are therefore favourites.

When and where is Romania vs Poland played?

Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are Romania and Poland in?

Romania: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 14 conceded). Poland: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Romania and Poland?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Romania, 2 for Poland and 0 draws. The most recent ended Poland 3-1 Romania (Jun 10, 2017).

Go further

Key terms explained