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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Saturday, November 14, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Norway vs Wales prediction: correct score and AI tips

NorwayNorway–WalesWales

Match analysis

UEFA Nations League: the Norway vs Wales match is scheduled on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time). A draw is the single most likely outcome (47%), ahead of Norway (37%) and Wales (16%).

Norway have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Wales have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Norway score 1.40 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Wales score 0.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Norway sit 4th with 3 points from 4 games, Wales 3rd with 3 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Norway have averaged 0.57 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.37 for Wales.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Norway, 1 for Wales and 0 draws. The most recent ended Wales 2-1 Norway (Oct 1, 2026). In double chance terms, "Norway or draw" stands at 84%, "Wales or draw" at 63% and "no draw" at 53%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

37%
Norway (Win)
47%
Draw
16%
Wales (Win)

Double chance

84%
Norway or draw
63%
Wales or draw
53%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Norway

DateOpponentScore
Oct 4, 2026Portugal · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Oct 1, 2026Wales · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Sep 27, 2026Portugal · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Sep 24, 2026Denmark · UEFA Nations League3-2W
Jul 11, 2026England · FIFA World Cup1-2L

Wales

DateOpponentScore
Oct 4, 2026Denmark · UEFA Nations League0-1L
Oct 1, 2026Norway · UEFA Nations League2-1W
Sep 27, 2026Denmark · UEFA Nations League0-2L
Sep 24, 2026Portugal · UEFA Nations League0-1L
Jun 6, 2026Romania · International Friendlies1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Norway434
Wales334

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 1, 2026Wales 2-1 NorwayUEFA Nations League

Out and doubtful

Norway

No absences reported.

Wales

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Norway

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Haaland5/5
  • K. Ajer5/5
  • S. Berge5/5
  • A. Schjelderup4/5
  • F. Aursnes4/5
  • J. Ryerson4/5
  • M. Ødegaard4/5
  • P. Berg4/5
  • T. Heggem4/5
  • A. Nusa3/5
  • Ø. Nyland3/5

Wales

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Ben Davies3/5
  • Danny Ward3/5
  • Ethan Ampadu3/5
  • Neco Williams3/5
  • Sorba Thomas3/5
  • B. Johnson2/5
  • Ben Cabango2/5
  • Brennan Johnson2/5
  • D. Ward2/5
  • Daniel James2/5
  • E. Ampadu2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Norway vs Wales prediction?

Our AI gives Norway a 37% chance of winning, the draw 47% and Wales 16%. A draw is therefore the most likely outcome.

When and where is Norway vs Wales played?

Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are Norway and Wales in?

Norway: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 10 conceded). Wales: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Norway and Wales?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Norway, 1 for Wales and 0 draws. The most recent ended Wales 2-1 Norway (Oct 1, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained