Skip to content
Elofoot

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Sunday, November 15, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Finland vs San Marino prediction: correct score and AI tips

FinlandFinland–San MarinoSan Marino

Match analysis

UEFA Nations League: Finland vs San Marino kicks off on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time). The edge goes to Finland (50%), ahead of the draw (35%) and a San Marino win (15%).

Over their last 5 matches, Finland have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 4. San Marino have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 18. Recent momentum is clearly with Finland. On average Finland score 2.00 and concede 0.80 goals per game; San Marino score 0.40 and concede 3.60. In the table, Finland sit 3rd with 7 points from 4 games, San Marino 4th with 0 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Finland have averaged 0.56 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.78 for San Marino.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Finland, 0 for San Marino and 0 draws. The most recent ended San Marino 1-2 Finland (Nov 20, 2023). In double chance terms, "Finland or draw" stands at 85%, "San Marino or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 65%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

50%
Finland (Win)
35%
Draw
15%
San Marino (Win)

Double chance

85%
Finland or draw
50%
San Marino or draw
65%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Unlock the exact score

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Finland

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026Belarus · UEFA Nations League0-1L
Oct 3, 2026Albania · UEFA Nations League2-1W
Sep 29, 2026Belarus · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Sep 26, 2026San Marino · UEFA Nations League7-0W
Jun 5, 2026Hungary · International Friendlies1-2L

San Marino

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026Albania · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Oct 3, 2026Belarus · UEFA Nations League0-4L
Sep 29, 2026Albania · UEFA Nations League0-3L
Sep 26, 2026Finland · UEFA Nations League0-7L
Jun 9, 2026Azerbaijan · International Friendlies1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Finland374
San Marino404

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 20, 2023San Marino 1-2 FinlandEuro Championship - Qualification
Jun 19, 2023Finland 6-0 San MarinoEuro Championship - Qualification

Out and doubtful

Finland

No absences reported.

San Marino

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Finland

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • L. Walta5/5
  • A. Markhiev4/5
  • J. Pohjanpalo4/5
  • J. Lahteenmaki3/5
  • K. Kairinen3/5
  • L. Hradecky3/5
  • S. Miettinen3/5
  • T. Keskinen3/5
  • T. Miettinen3/5
  • V. Koski3/5
  • A. Stahl2/5

San Marino

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Edoardo Colombo3/5
  • Lorenzo Capicchioni3/5
  • Michele Cevoli3/5
  • Cristian Meloni2/5
  • Dante Rossi2/5
  • E. Colombo2/5
  • Filippo Fabbri2/5
  • L. Capicchioni2/5
  • L. Lazzari2/5
  • M. Cevoli2/5
  • M. Pasolini2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Finland vs San Marino prediction?

Our AI gives Finland a 50% chance of winning, the draw 35% and San Marino 15%. Finland are therefore favourites.

When and where is Finland vs San Marino played?

Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are Finland and San Marino in?

Finland: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 4 conceded). San Marino: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 18 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Finland and San Marino?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Finland, 0 for San Marino and 0 draws. The most recent ended San Marino 1-2 Finland (Nov 20, 2023).

Go further

Key terms explained