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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Sunday, November 15, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Spain vs England prediction: correct score and AI tips

SpainSpain–EnglandEngland

Match analysis

UEFA Nations League: the Spain vs England match is scheduled on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Our model makes England clear favourites: a 65% chance of winning, against 14% for the draw and 21% for Spain.

Spain are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 13 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, England have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 20 and conceding 7. Spain therefore arrive in far better shape than England. On average Spain score 2.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; England score 4.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, Spain sit 1st with 12 points from 4 games, England 2nd with 9 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Spain have averaged 1.96 xG (expected goals) per match, against 4.50 for England.

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Spain, 1 for England and 0 draws. The most recent ended England 2-3 Spain (Sep 26, 2026). In double chance terms, "Spain or draw" stands at 35%, "England or draw" at 79% and "no draw" at 86%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

21%
Spain (Win)
14%
Draw
65%
England (Win)

Double chance

35%
Spain or draw
79%
England or draw
86%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Spain

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026Croatia · UEFA Nations League2-1W
Oct 3, 2026Czechia · UEFA Nations League3-1W
Sep 29, 2026Croatia · UEFA Nations League4-1W
Sep 26, 2026England · UEFA Nations League3-2W
Jul 19, 2026Argentina · FIFA World Cup1-0W

England

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026Czechia · UEFA Nations League3-0W
Oct 3, 2026Croatia · UEFA Nations League7-0W
Sep 29, 2026Czechia · UEFA Nations League2-0W
Sep 26, 2026Spain · UEFA Nations League2-3L
Jul 18, 2026France · FIFA World Cup6-4W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Spain1124
England294

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026England 2-3 SpainUEFA Nations League
Jul 14, 2024Spain 2-1 EnglandEuro Championship
Oct 15, 2018Spain 2-3 EnglandUEFA Nations League
Sep 8, 2018England 1-2 SpainUEFA Nations League

Out and doubtful

Spain

No absences reported.

England

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Spain

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Lamine Yamal5/5
  • Rodri4/5
  • A. Baena3/5
  • A. Laporte3/5
  • D. Olmo3/5
  • F. Ruiz3/5
  • M. Cucurella3/5
  • P. Cubarsi3/5
  • U. Simon3/5
  • M. Oyarzabal2/5
  • M. Pubill2/5

England

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Saka4/5
  • E. Anderson4/5
  • H. Kane4/5
  • J. Quansah4/5
  • M. Guehi4/5
  • A. Gordon3/5
  • E. Konsa3/5
  • J. Bellingham3/5
  • L. Hall3/5
  • M. Lewis-Skelly3/5
  • M. Rogers3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Spain vs England prediction?

Our AI gives Spain a 21% chance of winning, the draw 14% and England 65%. England are therefore favourites.

When and where is Spain vs England played?

Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are Spain and England in?

Spain: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 5 conceded). England: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (20 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Spain and England?

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Spain, 1 for England and 0 draws. The most recent ended England 2-3 Spain (Sep 26, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained