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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Sunday, November 15, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

France vs Türkiye prediction: correct score and AI tips

FranceFrance–TürkiyeTürkiye

Match analysis

France take on Türkiye on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), a UEFA Nations League fixture. Our model makes France clear favourites: a 89% chance of winning, against 7% for the draw and 4% for Türkiye.

Over their last 5 matches, France have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Türkiye have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 13. France therefore arrive in far better shape than Türkiye. On average France score 2.20 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Türkiye score 1.00 and concede 2.60. In the table, France sit 1st with 10 points from 4 games, Türkiye 4th with 0 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, France have averaged 2.44 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.00 for Türkiye.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for France, 1 for Türkiye and 1 draw. The most recent ended France 1-1 Türkiye (Oct 14, 2019). In double chance terms, "France or draw" stands at 96%, "Türkiye or draw" at 11% and "no draw" at 93%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

89%
France (Win)
7%
Draw
4%
Türkiye (Win)

Double chance

96%
France or draw
11%
Türkiye or draw
93%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

France

DateOpponentScore
Oct 5, 2026Belgium · UEFA Nations League4-1W
Oct 2, 2026Italy · UEFA Nations League1-1D
Sep 28, 2026Belgium · UEFA Nations League1-0W
Sep 25, 2026Türkiye · UEFA Nations League1-0W
Jul 18, 2026England · FIFA World Cup4-6L

Türkiye

DateOpponentScore
Oct 5, 2026Italy · UEFA Nations League1-3L
Oct 2, 2026Belgium · UEFA Nations League0-3L
Sep 28, 2026Italy · UEFA Nations League1-4L
Sep 25, 2026France · UEFA Nations League0-1L
Jun 26, 2026United States · FIFA World Cup3-2W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
France1104
Türkiye404

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2019France 1-1 TürkiyeEuro Championship
Jun 8, 2019Türkiye 2-0 FranceEuro Championship

Out and doubtful

France

No absences reported.

Türkiye

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

France

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Doue3/5
  • M. Lacroix3/5
  • M. Maignan3/5
  • A. Diouf2/5
  • A. Rabiot2/5
  • B. Barcola2/5
  • E. Camavinga2/5
  • E. Lepaul2/5
  • J. Jacquet2/5
  • L. Da Cunha2/5
  • M. Akliouche2/5

Türkiye

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Arda Güler3/5
  • Barış Alper Yılmaz3/5
  • Merih Demiral3/5
  • Oğuz Aydın3/5
  • Zeki Çelik3/5
  • Abdülkerim Bardakcı2/5
  • Can Uzun2/5
  • Ferdi Kadıoğlu2/5
  • İsmail Yüksek2/5
  • O. Kabak2/5
  • Salih Özcan2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the France vs Türkiye prediction?

Our AI gives France a 89% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Türkiye 4%. France are therefore favourites.

When and where is France vs Türkiye played?

Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are France and Türkiye in?

France: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 8 conceded). Türkiye: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 13 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between France and Türkiye?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for France, 1 for Türkiye and 1 draw. The most recent ended France 1-1 Türkiye (Oct 14, 2019).

Go further

Key terms explained