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Brasileirão Série ABrasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 22:30 (UK time)

Atletico-MG vs Coritiba prediction: correct score and AI tips

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG–CoritibaCoritiba

Match analysis

Brasileirão Série A, matchday 31: the Atletico-MG vs Coritiba match is scheduled on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 22:30 (UK time). Venue: Arena MRV, Bello Harisanta. Our model makes Atletico-MG clear favourites: a 60% chance of winning, against 21% for the draw and 19% for Coritiba.

Atletico-MG are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 4. Coritiba have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 15. Atletico-MG therefore arrive in far better shape than Coritiba. On average Atletico-MG score 1.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Coritiba score 1.00 and concede 3.00. In the table, Atletico-MG sit 7th with 47 points from 30 games, Coritiba 11th with 39 points from 30. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Atletico-MG have averaged 1.46 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.35 for Coritiba.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Atletico-MG, 2 for Coritiba and 1 draw. The most recent ended Coritiba 2-0 Atletico-MG (Apr 19, 2026). Atletico-MG out or doubtful: Everson, A. Franco (suspended), Gustavo Scarpa, Ruan Tressoldi, M. Cassierra (doubtful) and Fred (doubtful). Coritiba: Bruno Melo (suspended), Lucas Ronier and Lucas Taverna (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Atletico-MG or draw" stands at 81%, "Coritiba or draw" at 40% and "no draw" at 79%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

60%
Atletico-MG (Win)
21%
Draw
19%
Coritiba (Win)

Double chance

81%
Atletico-MG or draw
40%
Coritiba or draw
79%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Atletico-MG

DateOpponentScore
Oct 14, 2026Atletico Torque · CONMEBOL Sudamericana3-0W
Oct 11, 2026Santos · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Oct 9, 2026Atletico Paranaense · Brasileirão Série A2-2D
Oct 3, 2026RB Bragantino · Brasileirão Série A1-0W
Sep 19, 2026Chapecoense-sc · Brasileirão Série A1-1D

Coritiba

DateOpponentScore
Oct 12, 2026Botafogo · Brasileirão Série A1-1D
Oct 9, 2026Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A0-4L
Sep 20, 2026Vasco DA Gama · Brasileirão Série A0-5L
Sep 12, 2026Atletico Paranaense · Brasileirão Série A3-3D
Sep 6, 2026Mirassol · Brasileirão Série A1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Atletico-MG74730
Coritiba113930

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Coritiba 2-0 Atletico-MGSerie A
Oct 8, 2023Atletico-MG 1-2 CoritibaSerie A
May 20, 2023Coritiba 1-2 Atletico-MGSerie A
Aug 14, 2022Coritiba 0-1 Atletico-MGSerie A
Apr 24, 2022Atletico-MG 2-2 CoritibaSerie A

Out and doubtful

Atletico-MG

  • Everson (out)
  • A. Franco (suspended)
  • Gustavo Scarpa (out)
  • Ruan Tressoldi (out)
  • M. Cassierra (doubtful)
  • Fred (doubtful)

Coritiba

  • Bruno Melo (suspended)
  • Lucas Ronier (out)
  • Lucas Taverna (doubtful)

Most regular starters

Atletico-MG

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Gabriel Delfim5/5
  • Bernard4/5
  • Maycon4/5
  • Natanael4/5
  • Fred3/5
  • Lyanco3/5
  • Reinier3/5
  • Renan Lodi3/5
  • Tomás Cuello3/5
  • Vitão3/5
  • Vitor Hugo3/5

Coritiba

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Pedro Rocha5/5
  • Thiago Santos5/5
  • Bruno Melo4/5
  • Breno Lopes3/5
  • Josué3/5
  • Pedro Morisco3/5
  • Sebastián Gómez3/5
  • Fabinho2/5
  • Felipe Jonatan2/5
  • J. Lavega2/5
  • Jacy2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Atletico-MG vs Coritiba prediction?

Our AI gives Atletico-MG a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Coritiba 19%. Atletico-MG are therefore favourites.

When and where is Atletico-MG vs Coritiba played?

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 22:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 31. Venue: Arena MRV, Bello Harisanta.

What form are Atletico-MG and Coritiba in?

Atletico-MG: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded). Coritiba: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 15 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Atletico-MG and Coritiba?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Atletico-MG, 2 for Coritiba and 1 draw. The most recent ended Coritiba 2-0 Atletico-MG (Apr 19, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained