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Brasileirão Série ABrasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 22:30 (UK time)

Bahia vs Flamengo prediction: correct score and AI tips

BahiaBahia–FlamengoFlamengo

Match analysis

Brasileirão Série A, matchday 31: the Bahia vs Flamengo match is scheduled on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 22:30 (UK time). Venue: Arena Fonte Nova, El Salvador. Our model makes Bahia clear favourites: a 63% chance of winning, against 21% for the draw and 16% for Flamengo.

Over their last 5 matches, Bahia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Flamengo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Bahia score 1.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Flamengo score 1.20 and concede 0.80. In the table, Bahia sit 5th with 49 points from 30 games, Flamengo 1st with 64 points from 30. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Bahia have averaged 2.06 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.91 for Flamengo.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bahia, 4 for Flamengo and 0 draws. The most recent ended Flamengo 2-0 Bahia (Apr 19, 2026). Bahia out or doubtful: Leo Vieira. Flamengo: Ayrton Lucas, Danilo, Evertton Araujo and G. de Arrascaeta. In double chance terms, "Bahia or draw" stands at 84%, "Flamengo or draw" at 37% and "no draw" at 79%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

63%
Bahia (Win)
21%
Draw
16%
Flamengo (Win)

Double chance

84%
Bahia or draw
37%
Flamengo or draw
79%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Bahia

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Mirassol · Brasileirão Série A1-0W
Oct 9, 2026Palmeiras · Brasileirão Série A0-1L
Sep 20, 2026Atletico Paranaense · Brasileirão Série A1-2L
Sep 15, 2026Remo · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Sep 5, 2026RB Bragantino · Brasileirão Série A3-2W

Flamengo

DateOpponentScore
Oct 16, 2026Estudiantes L.P. · CONMEBOL Libertadores0-0D
Oct 11, 2026Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A1-0W
Oct 8, 2026Santos · Brasileirão Série A2-2D
Sep 20, 2026RB Bragantino · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Sep 18, 2026Independiente del Valle · CONMEBOL Libertadores1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Bahia54930
Flamengo16430

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Flamengo 2-0 BahiaSerie A
Oct 5, 2025Bahia 1-0 FlamengoSerie A
May 11, 2025Flamengo 1-0 BahiaSerie A
Oct 5, 2024Bahia 0-2 FlamengoSerie A
Sep 13, 2024Flamengo 1-0 BahiaCopa Do Brasil

Out and doubtful

Bahia

  • Leo Vieira (out)

Flamengo

  • Ayrton Lucas (out)
  • Danilo (out)
  • Evertton Araujo (out)
  • G. de Arrascaeta (out)

Most regular starters

Bahia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Alejo Véliz5/5
  • David Duarte5/5
  • Erick Pulga5/5
  • Luciano Juba5/5
  • Rodrigo Nestor5/5
  • Ronaldo5/5
  • Cristian Olivera4/5
  • Nicolás Acevedo4/5
  • Jean Lucas3/5
  • Kanu3/5
  • Marcos Victor3/5

Flamengo

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Bahia vs Flamengo prediction?

Our AI gives Bahia a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Flamengo 16%. Bahia are therefore favourites.

When and where is Bahia vs Flamengo played?

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 22:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 31. Venue: Arena Fonte Nova, El Salvador.

What form are Bahia and Flamengo in?

Bahia: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded). Flamengo: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Flamengo?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bahia, 4 for Flamengo and 0 draws. The most recent ended Flamengo 2-0 Bahia (Apr 19, 2026).

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Key terms explained