Brasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Brasileirão Série A, matchday 31: the Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras match is scheduled on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time). Venue: Arena da Baixada, Curitiba. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Atletico Paranaense 39%, Palmeiras 39% and the draw 22%.
Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Paranaense have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Palmeiras have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Atletico Paranaense score 2.40 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Palmeiras score 1.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd with 53 points from 30 games, Palmeiras 2nd with 63 points from 30. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Atletico Paranaense have averaged 1.79 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.84 for Palmeiras.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Atletico Paranaense, 3 for Palmeiras and 1 draw. The most recent ended Palmeiras 1-0 Atletico Paranaense (Apr 19, 2026). Atletico Paranaense out or doubtful: G. Benavidez, K. A. Calderon Vargas, Dantas and C. Teran. Palmeiras: A. Giay (suspended), G. Gomez (suspended), Jefte and Vitor Roque. In double chance terms, "Atletico Paranaense or draw" stands at 61%, "Palmeiras or draw" at 61% and "no draw" at 78%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Atletico Paranaense
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc · Brasileirão Série A | 4-1 | W |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Atletico-MG · Brasileirão Série A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bahia · Brasileirão Série A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Coritiba · Brasileirão Série A | 3-3 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cruzeiro · Brasileirão Série A | 1-3 | L |
Palmeiras
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Fluminense · CONMEBOL Libertadores | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Corinthians · Brasileirão Série A | 4-1 | W |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Bahia · Brasileirão Série A | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gremio · Brasileirão Série A | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | LDU de Quito · CONMEBOL Libertadores | 2-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Paranaense | 3 | 53 | 30 |
| Palmeiras | 2 | 63 | 30 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Palmeiras 1-0 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Atletico Paranaense 0-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| May 12, 2024 | Palmeiras 0-2 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Palmeiras 1-0 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense 2-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Atletico Paranaense
- G. Benavidez (out)
- K. A. Calderon Vargas (out)
- Dantas (out)
- C. Teran (out)
Palmeiras
- A. Giay (suspended)
- G. Gomez (suspended)
- Jefte (out)
- Vitor Roque (out)
Most regular starters
Atletico Paranaense
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Arthur Dias5/5
- Luiz Gustavo5/5
- Mycael5/5
- Gilberto4/5
- Jádson4/5
- Dantas3/5
- João Cruz3/5
- Leozinho3/5
- Steven Mendoza3/5
- Juan Felipe Aguirre2/5
- K. Viveros2/5
Palmeiras
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Andreas Pereira5/5
- Carlos Miguel5/5
- Lucas Evangelista5/5
- Marlon Freitas4/5
- Murilo4/5
- Alexander Barboza3/5
- Gustavo Gómez3/5
- José Manuel López3/5
- Vitor Roque3/5
- A. Barboza2/5
- A. Giay2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Mirassol 2-0 InternacionalOct 17, 2026
- Botafogo – Chapecoense-scOct 17, 2026
- Atletico-MG – CoritibaOct 17, 2026
- Sao Paulo – Vasco DA GamaOct 18, 2026
- Gremio – CruzeiroOct 18, 2026
- Fluminense – SantosOct 18, 2026
- Bahia – FlamengoOct 18, 2026
- Remo – RB BragantinoOct 18, 2026
- Corinthians – VitoriaOct 20, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras prediction?
Our AI gives Atletico Paranaense a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Palmeiras 39%. Atletico Paranaense are therefore slight favourites.
When and where is Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras played?
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 31. Venue: Arena da Baixada, Curitiba.
What form are Atletico Paranaense and Palmeiras in?
Atletico Paranaense: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 10 conceded). Palmeiras: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Paranaense and Palmeiras?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Atletico Paranaense, 3 for Palmeiras and 1 draw. The most recent ended Palmeiras 1-0 Atletico Paranaense (Apr 19, 2026).
Go further
- All Atletico Paranaense predictions
- All Palmeiras predictions
- Brasileirão Série A predictions
- Palmeiras cards
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology