Brasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Saturday, October 31, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Coritiba vs Vitoria: 2-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Coritiba 2-0 Vitoria. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Coritiba at 42%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.3%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): correct.
Match analysis
Coritiba and Vitoria met on Saturday, October 31, 2026, a Brasileirão Série A, matchday 33 fixture. Venue: Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba. Before kick-off, our model gave Coritiba a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Vitoria 30%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (13.3%), followed by 1-1 (13.2%) and 0-0 (10.8%).
Coritiba have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 12. Vitoria have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 7. Vitoria therefore arrive in far better shape than Coritiba. On average Coritiba score 0.20 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Vitoria score 1.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Coritiba sit 12th with 39 points from 32 games, Vitoria 14th with 38 points from 32. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Coritiba have averaged 1.14 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.08 for Vitoria.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Coritiba, 1 for Vitoria and 2 draws. The most recent ended Vitoria 4-1 Coritiba (May 2, 2026). Coritiba out or doubtful: Lucas Ronier, Lucas Taverna (doubtful) and Thiago Santos (suspended). Vitoria: Baralhas, Camutanga, Dudu, Edu, Fabiano, Luan Candido (suspended), Marinho (suspended) and Nathan Mendes. In double chance terms, "Coritiba or draw" stands at 70%, "Vitoria or draw" at 58% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Coritiba are favourites for this Coritiba v Vitoria, with a 42% win probability from our model. On recent form, Coritiba are struggling (4 losses in 5) while Vitoria have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. One to watch: Vitoria will be without Baralhas and Camutanga.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Coritiba – Vitoria. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 56% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Coritiba 1-0 Vitoria | 13.3% |
| Coritiba 1-1 Vitoria | 13.2% |
| Coritiba 0-0 Vitoria | 10.8% |
| Coritiba 0-1 Vitoria | 10.6% |
| Coritiba 2-0 Vitoria | 8.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.24 expected goals for Coritiba and 0.99 for Vitoria, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 39% and "both teams to score" at 45%. Few goals are expected here. Coritiba keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Vitoria in 29%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Coritiba expected goals | 1.24 |
| Vitoria expected goals | 0.99 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Coritiba clean sheet | 37% |
| Vitoria clean sheet | 29% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Coritiba
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Gremio · Brasileirão Série A | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atletico-MG · Brasileirão Série A | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Botafogo · Brasileirão Série A | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A | 0-4 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama · Brasileirão Série A | 0-5 | L |
Vitoria
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense · Brasileirão Série A | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Corinthians · Brasileirão Série A | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sao Paulo · Brasileirão Série A | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc · Brasileirão Série A | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cruzeiro · Brasileirão Série A | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | 12 | 39 | 32 |
| Vitoria | 14 | 38 | 32 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Vitoria 4-1 Coritiba | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Vitoria 0-0 Coritiba | Serie B |
| Jun 23, 2021 | Coritiba 1-0 Vitoria | Serie B |
| Nov 30, 2019 | Vitoria 1-2 Coritiba | Serie B |
| Aug 27, 2019 | Coritiba 1-1 Vitoria | Serie B |
Out and doubtful
Coritiba
- Lucas Ronier (out)
- Lucas Taverna (doubtful)
- Thiago Santos (suspended)
Vitoria
- Baralhas (out)
- Camutanga (out)
- Dudu (out)
- Edu (out)
- Fabiano (out)
- Luan Candido (suspended)
- Marinho (suspended)
- Nathan Mendes (out)
Most regular starters
Coritiba
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Pedro Rocha5/5
- Bruno Melo4/5
- J. Lavega4/5
- Jacy4/5
- Josue4/5
- S. Gomez4/5
- Thiago Santos4/5
- F. Bustos3/5
- Paulo Roberto3/5
- Pedro Morisco3/5
- Tiago Coser3/5
Vitoria
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Caique Goncalves5/5
- Emmanuel Martinez5/5
- Erick5/5
- Jamerson5/5
- Luan Candido5/5
- Lucas Arcanjo5/5
- Matheusinho5/5
- Matheuzinho5/5
- D. Tarzia4/5
- Rene4/5
- Caca3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Fluminense 2-1 InternacionalOct 28, 2026
- Santos 0-0 PalmeirasOct 28, 2026
- RB Bragantino 3-0 Chapecoense-scOct 28, 2026
- Remo 2-1 BotafogoOct 29, 2026
- Bahia 3-2 Sao PauloOct 29, 2026
- Atletico-MG 0-1 CruzeiroOct 29, 2026
- Vasco DA Gama 1-4 FlamengoOct 29, 2026
- Gremio 2-0 Atletico ParanaenseOct 30, 2026
- Corinthians 2-0 MirassolOct 30, 2026
- RB Bragantino 2-1 SantosNov 2, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Coritiba vs Vitoria prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Coritiba a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Vitoria 30%. Coritiba are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Coritiba vs Vitoria?
1-0 (13.3%), followed by 1-1 (13.2%), 0-0 (10.8%), 0-1 (10.6%) and 2-0 (8.3%).
Will both teams score in Coritiba vs Vitoria?
The probability that both Coritiba and Vitoria score is 45%. Coritiba have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Vitoria 29%.
How many goals should we expect in Coritiba vs Vitoria?
The model expects 2.23 goals (1.24 for Coritiba, 0.99 for Vitoria). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 65%, over 2.5 goals 39%, over 3.5 goals 19%.
When and where is Coritiba vs Vitoria played?
Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 33. Venue: Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba.
What form are Coritiba and Vitoria in?
Coritiba: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (1 scored, 12 conceded). Vitoria: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Coritiba and Vitoria?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Coritiba, 1 for Vitoria and 2 draws. The most recent ended Vitoria 4-1 Coritiba (May 2, 2026).
What was the Coritiba vs Vitoria result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Coritiba 2-0 Vitoria. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Coritiba at 42%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.3%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): correct.
How is the Coritiba vs Vitoria prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.24 for Coritiba, 0.99 for Vitoria) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Coritiba predictions
- All Vitoria predictions
- Brasileirão Série A predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology