Serie B· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 18:30 (UK time)
Arezzo vs Cremonese: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Arezzo 0-0 Cremonese. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Arezzo (52%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
Match analysis
Arezzo and Cremonese met on Saturday, October 10, 2026, a Serie B, matchday 6 fixture. Venue: Stadio Città di Arezzo, Arezzo. Before kick-off, our model gave Arezzo a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cremonese 23%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Arezzo have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 14. Cremonese are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 5. Cremonese therefore arrive in far better shape than Arezzo. On average Arezzo score 0.80 and concede 2.80 goals per game; Cremonese score 1.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Arezzo sit 12th with 6 points from 5 games, Cremonese 15th with 5 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Arezzo, 3 for Cremonese and 0 draws. The most recent ended Cremonese 4-0 Arezzo (Sep 30, 2020). In double chance terms, "Arezzo or draw" stands at 77%, "Cremonese or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Arezzo are favourites for this Arezzo v Cremonese, with a 52% win probability from our model. In the table, Arezzo (12th, 6 pts) host Cremonese (15th, 5 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Arezzo – Cremonese. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Arezzo 1-1 Cremonese | 11.7% |
| Arezzo 1-0 Cremonese | 11.4% |
| Arezzo 2-1 Cremonese | 9.6% |
| Arezzo 2-0 Cremonese | 9.4% |
| Arezzo 0-1 Cremonese | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.65 expected goals for Arezzo and 1.02 for Cremonese, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Arezzo keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Cremonese in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Arezzo expected goals | 1.65 |
| Cremonese expected goals | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Arezzo clean sheet | 36% |
| Cremonese clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Arezzo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lazio · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sudtirol · Serie B | 1-4 | L |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Empoli · Serie B | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Hellas Verona · Serie B | 0-5 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Palermo · Serie B | 2-3 | L |
Cremonese
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Juventus · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Monza · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Virtus Entella · Serie B | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cesena · Serie B | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Padova · Serie B | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arezzo | 12 | 6 | 5 |
| Cremonese | 15 | 5 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2020 | Cremonese 4-0 Arezzo | Coppa Italia |
| Feb 26, 2017 | Arezzo 0-1 Cremonese | Serie C |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Cremonese 3-2 Arezzo | Serie C |
Out and doubtful
Arezzo
No absences reported.
Cremonese
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Arezzo
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Ionita5/5
- M. Gilli5/5
- S. Righetti5/5
- A. Nunziante4/5
- M. Sala4/5
- P. Cianci4/5
- A. Arena3/5
- A. Renzi3/5
- J. Illanes3/5
- M. Coppolaro3/5
- C. Tavernelli2/5
Cremonese
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Licina4/4
- A. Vogliacco4/4
- F. Agazzi3/4
- F. Bonazzoli3/4
- F. Gerli3/4
- M. Bianchetti3/4
- S. Luperto3/4
- S. Pontisso3/4
- T. Berti3/4
- Y. Rocchetti3/4
- F. Baschirotto2/4
Other matches in this competition
- Avellino 4-1 SampdoriaOct 9, 2026
- Benevento 2-0 CesenaOct 10, 2026
- Virtus Entella 1-1 Juve StabiaOct 10, 2026
- Empoli 2-4 PalermoOct 10, 2026
- Sudtirol 0-0 AscoliOct 10, 2026
- Vicenza Virtus 0-3 PisaOct 10, 2026
- Catanzaro 1-3 MantovaOct 11, 2026
- Padova 0-2 CarrareseOct 11, 2026
- Modena 3-2 Hellas VeronaOct 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Arezzo vs Cremonese prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Arezzo a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cremonese 23%. Arezzo are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Arezzo vs Cremonese?
1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in Arezzo vs Cremonese?
The probability that both Arezzo and Cremonese score is 52%. Arezzo have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cremonese 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Arezzo vs Cremonese?
The model expects 2.67 goals (1.65 for Arezzo, 1.02 for Cremonese). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Arezzo vs Cremonese played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 18:30 (UK time), Serie B, matchday 6. Venue: Stadio Città di Arezzo, Arezzo.
What form are Arezzo and Cremonese in?
Arezzo: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 14 conceded). Cremonese: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Arezzo and Cremonese?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Arezzo, 3 for Cremonese and 0 draws. The most recent ended Cremonese 4-0 Arezzo (Sep 30, 2020).
What was the Arezzo vs Cremonese result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Arezzo 0-0 Cremonese. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Arezzo (52%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
How is the Arezzo vs Cremonese prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.65 for Arezzo, 1.02 for Cremonese) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Arezzo predictions
- All Cremonese predictions
- Serie B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology