Serie B· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Arezzo vs Cremonese prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Arezzo take on Cremonese on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), a Serie B, matchday 6 fixture. Venue: Citta di Arezzo, Arezzo. Our model makes Arezzo clear favourites: a 73% chance of winning, against 21% for the draw and 6% for Cremonese. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (21.9%), followed by 2-0 (19.4%) and 0-0 (12.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Arezzo have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 13. Over their last 5 matches, Cremonese have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Arezzo score 1.20 and concede 2.60 goals per game; Cremonese score 1.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, Arezzo sit 12th with 6 points from 5 games, Cremonese 15th with 5 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Arezzo have averaged 1.47 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.39 for Cremonese.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Arezzo, 3 for Cremonese and 0 draws. The most recent ended Cremonese 4-0 Arezzo (Sep 30, 2020). In double chance terms, "Arezzo or draw" stands at 94%, "Cremonese or draw" at 27% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Arezzo are tipped by our AI model in this Arezzo v Cremonese (73%). On recent form, Arezzo have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Cremonese have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Arezzo – Cremonese. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (21.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 72% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Arezzo 1-0 Cremonese | 21.9% |
| Arezzo 2-0 Cremonese | 19.4% |
| Arezzo 0-0 Cremonese | 12.4% |
| Arezzo 3-0 Cremonese | 11.4% |
| Arezzo 1-1 Cremonese | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.77 expected goals for Arezzo and 0.32 for Cremonese, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 35% and "both teams to score" at 23%. Few goals are expected here. Arezzo keep a clean sheet in 73% of scenarios, Cremonese in 17%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Arezzo expected goals | 1.77 |
| Cremonese expected goals | 0.32 |
| Both teams to score | 23% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% |
| Arezzo clean sheet | 73% |
| Cremonese clean sheet | 17% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Arezzo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sudtirol · Serie B | 1-4 | L |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Empoli · Serie B | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Hellas Verona · Serie B | 0-5 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Palermo · Serie B | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avellino · Serie B | 2-1 | W |
Cremonese
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Virtus Entella · Serie B | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cesena · Serie B | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Padova · Serie B | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Parma · Coppa Italia | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Modena · Serie B | 0-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arezzo | 12 | 6 | 5 |
| Cremonese | 15 | 5 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2020 | Cremonese 4-0 Arezzo | Coppa Italia |
| Feb 26, 2017 | Arezzo 0-1 Cremonese | Serie C |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Cremonese 3-2 Arezzo | Serie C |
Out and doubtful
Arezzo
No absences reported.
Cremonese
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Arezzo
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Nunziante5/5
- M. Gilli5/5
- P. Cianci5/5
- S. Righetti5/5
- A. Arena4/5
- A. Renzi4/5
- J. Illanes4/5
- A. Ionita3/5
- C. Tavernelli3/5
- G. Iaccarino3/5
- M. Sala3/5
Cremonese
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Vogliacco5/5
- F. Agazzi5/5
- S. Pontisso5/5
- F. Bonazzoli4/5
- F. Gerli4/5
- M. Bianchetti4/5
- T. Berti4/5
- Y. Rocchetti4/5
- J. Vandeputte3/5
- S. Luperto3/5
- A. Licina2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Modena – Hellas VeronaOct 10, 2026
- Padova – CarrareseOct 10, 2026
- Benevento – CesenaOct 10, 2026
- Vicenza Virtus – PisaOct 10, 2026
- Virtus Entella – Juve StabiaOct 10, 2026
- Empoli – PalermoOct 10, 2026
- Catanzaro – MantovaOct 10, 2026
- Sudtirol – AscoliOct 10, 2026
- Avellino – SampdoriaOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Arezzo vs Cremonese prediction?
Our AI gives Arezzo a 73% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cremonese 6%. Arezzo are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Arezzo vs Cremonese?
1-0 (21.9%), followed by 2-0 (19.4%), 0-0 (12.4%), 3-0 (11.4%) and 1-1 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Arezzo vs Cremonese?
The probability that both Arezzo and Cremonese score is 23%. Arezzo have a 73% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cremonese 17%.
How many goals should we expect in Arezzo vs Cremonese?
The model expects 2.09 goals (1.77 for Arezzo, 0.32 for Cremonese). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 62%, over 2.5 goals 35%, over 3.5 goals 16%.
When and where is Arezzo vs Cremonese played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Serie B, matchday 6. Venue: Citta di Arezzo, Arezzo.
What form are Arezzo and Cremonese in?
Arezzo: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 13 conceded). Cremonese: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Arezzo and Cremonese?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Arezzo, 3 for Cremonese and 0 draws. The most recent ended Cremonese 4-0 Arezzo (Sep 30, 2020).
How is the Arezzo vs Cremonese prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.77 for Arezzo, 0.32 for Cremonese) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Arezzo predictions
- All Cremonese predictions
- Serie B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology