Serie B· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Sudtirol vs Ascoli prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Sudtirol take on Ascoli on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), a Serie B, matchday 6 fixture. Venue: Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano. The edge goes to Ascoli (55%), ahead of the draw (26%) and a Sudtirol win (19%). The most likely correct score is 0-1 (15.5%), ahead of 1-1 (12.0%) and 0-2 (11.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Sudtirol have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Ascoli have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Sudtirol score 1.00 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Ascoli score 1.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, Sudtirol sit 2nd with 11 points from 5 games, Ascoli 5th with 10 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Sudtirol have averaged 0.65 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.77 for Ascoli.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sudtirol and Ascoli: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Sudtirol or draw" stands at 45%, "Ascoli or draw" at 81% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Ascoli are tipped by our AI model in this Sudtirol v Ascoli (55%). In the table, Sudtirol (2nd, 11 pts) host Ascoli (5th, 10 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Sudtirol – Ascoli. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (15.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 58% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sudtirol 0-1 Ascoli | 15.5% |
| Sudtirol 1-1 Ascoli | 12.0% |
| Sudtirol 0-2 Ascoli | 11.6% |
| Sudtirol 0-0 Ascoli | 10.4% |
| Sudtirol 1-2 Ascoli | 8.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.26 goals in total (0.77 for Sudtirol, 1.49 for Ascoli): over 2.5 goals has a 39% probability and both teams to score 42%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Sudtirol keep a clean sheet in 23% of scenarios, Ascoli in 46%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Sudtirol expected goals | 0.77 |
| Ascoli expected goals | 1.49 |
| Both teams to score | 42% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Sudtirol clean sheet | 23% |
| Ascoli clean sheet | 46% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Sudtirol
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Genoa · Coppa Italia | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Modena · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Catanzaro · Serie B | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Benevento · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Virtus Entella · Serie B | 1-0 | W |
Ascoli
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Padova · Serie B | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benevento · Serie B | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Carrarese · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hellas Verona · Serie B | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Genoa · Coppa Italia | 1-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol | 2 | 11 | 5 |
| Ascoli | 5 | 10 | 5 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sudtirol and Ascoli: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Sudtirol
No absences reported.
Ascoli
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Sudtirol
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Giorgini5/5
- A. Plizzari5/5
- B. Bjarkason4/5
- R. Stivanello4/5
- S. Molina4/5
- S. Tronchin4/5
- A. Vasic3/5
- D. Veroli3/5
- V. Lopes3/5
- A. Okoro2/5
- F. Rispoli2/5
Ascoli
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Corradini5/5
- N. Rizzo5/5
- S. Damiani5/5
- S. Vitale5/5
- T. Milanese5/5
- A. Guiebre4/5
- A. Silipo4/5
- S. D'Uffizi4/5
- S. Perciun4/5
- M. Curado3/5
- G. Gori2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Modena – Hellas VeronaOct 10, 2026
- Padova – CarrareseOct 10, 2026
- Benevento – CesenaOct 10, 2026
- Vicenza Virtus – PisaOct 10, 2026
- Virtus Entella – Juve StabiaOct 10, 2026
- Empoli – PalermoOct 10, 2026
- Catanzaro – MantovaOct 10, 2026
- Arezzo – CremoneseOct 10, 2026
- Avellino – SampdoriaOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Sudtirol vs Ascoli prediction?
Our AI gives Sudtirol a 19% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ascoli 55%. Ascoli are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Sudtirol vs Ascoli?
0-1 (15.5%), followed by 1-1 (12.0%), 0-2 (11.6%), 0-0 (10.4%) and 1-2 (8.9%).
Will both teams score in Sudtirol vs Ascoli?
The probability that both Sudtirol and Ascoli score is 42%. Sudtirol have a 23% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Ascoli 46%.
How many goals should we expect in Sudtirol vs Ascoli?
The model expects 2.26 goals (0.77 for Sudtirol, 1.49 for Ascoli). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 66%, over 2.5 goals 39%, over 3.5 goals 19%.
When and where is Sudtirol vs Ascoli played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Serie B, matchday 6. Venue: Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano.
What form are Sudtirol and Ascoli in?
Sudtirol: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 3 conceded). Ascoli: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded).
How is the Sudtirol vs Ascoli prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.77 for Sudtirol, 1.49 for Ascoli) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.