Serie B· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Benevento vs Cesena: 2-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Benevento 2-0 Cesena. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Benevento was the model's favourite outcome (50%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.6%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (44%): correct.
Match analysis
Benevento vs Cesena was played on Saturday, October 10, 2026 (Serie B, matchday 6). Venue: Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento. Before kick-off, our model gave Benevento a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cesena 24%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (13.1%), ahead of 1-1 (12.4%) and 2-0 (9.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Benevento have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Cesena are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (1 win, 4 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Benevento score 1.20 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Cesena score 1.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, Benevento sit 8th with 7 points from 5 games, Cesena 10th with 7 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Benevento have averaged 1.15 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.00 for Cesena.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Benevento and Cesena: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Benevento or draw" stands at 76%, "Cesena or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Benevento are favourites for this Benevento v Cesena, with a 49% win probability from our model. In the table, Benevento (8th, 7 pts) host Cesena (10th, 7 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Benevento – Cesena. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Benevento 1-0 Cesena | 13.1% |
| Benevento 1-1 Cesena | 12.4% |
| Benevento 2-0 Cesena | 9.6% |
| Benevento 2-1 Cesena | 9.1% |
| Benevento 0-0 Cesena | 8.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.42 goals in total (1.47 for Benevento, 0.95 for Cesena): over 2.5 goals has a 44% probability and both teams to score 47%. Benevento keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Cesena in 23%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Benevento expected goals | 1.47 |
| Cesena expected goals | 0.95 |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% |
| Benevento clean sheet | 39% |
| Cesena clean sheet | 23% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Benevento
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Frosinone · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carrarese · Serie B | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Hellas Verona · Serie B | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ascoli · Serie B | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sudtirol · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
Cesena
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Juve Stabia · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cremonese · Serie B | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mantova · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Virtus Entella · Serie B | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sampdoria · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benevento | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| Cesena | 10 | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Benevento and Cesena: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Benevento
No absences reported.
Cesena
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Benevento
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Lamesta4/4
- F. Salvemini4/4
- G. Vannucchi4/4
- L. Sernicola4/4
- M. Maita4/4
- P. Saio4/4
- S. Scognamillo4/4
- A. Prisco2/4
- A. Siatounis2/4
- C. Kouan2/4
- D. Okereke2/4
Cesena
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Ciofi5/5
- A. Fiori5/5
- A. Siano5/5
- C. Shpendi5/5
- D. Bisoli5/5
- J. Gelli5/5
- M. Ilic5/5
- R. Pagano5/5
- M. Guidi4/5
- X. Druiventak4/5
- M. Mangraviti3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Avellino 4-1 SampdoriaOct 9, 2026
- Virtus Entella 1-1 Juve StabiaOct 10, 2026
- Empoli 2-4 PalermoOct 10, 2026
- Sudtirol 0-0 AscoliOct 10, 2026
- Vicenza Virtus 0-3 PisaOct 10, 2026
- Arezzo 0-0 CremoneseOct 10, 2026
- Catanzaro 1-3 MantovaOct 11, 2026
- Padova 0-2 CarrareseOct 11, 2026
- Modena 3-2 Hellas VeronaOct 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Benevento vs Cesena prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Benevento a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cesena 24%. Benevento are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Benevento vs Cesena?
1-0 (13.1%), followed by 1-1 (12.4%), 2-0 (9.6%), 2-1 (9.1%) and 0-0 (8.9%).
Will both teams score in Benevento vs Cesena?
The probability that both Benevento and Cesena score is 47%. Benevento have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cesena 23%.
How many goals should we expect in Benevento vs Cesena?
The model expects 2.42 goals (1.47 for Benevento, 0.95 for Cesena). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 70%, over 2.5 goals 44%, over 3.5 goals 23%.
When and where is Benevento vs Cesena played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Serie B, matchday 6. Venue: Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento.
What form are Benevento and Cesena in?
Benevento: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded). Cesena: 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded).
What was the Benevento vs Cesena result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Benevento 2-0 Cesena. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Benevento was the model's favourite outcome (50%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.6%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (44%): correct.
How is the Benevento vs Cesena prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.47 for Benevento, 0.95 for Cesena) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Benevento predictions
- All Cesena predictions
- Serie B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology