Serie B· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Benevento vs Cesena prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Serie B, matchday 6: the Benevento vs Cesena match is scheduled on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). Venue: Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Benevento 43%, Cesena 28% and the draw 29%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (14.5%), ahead of 1-1 (13.2%) and 0-0 (12.0%).
Benevento have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 9. Cesena have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 6 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Benevento score 1.20 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Cesena score 1.20 and concede 1.60. In the table, Benevento sit 7th with 7 points from 5 games, Cesena 10th with 7 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Benevento have averaged 1.10 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.00 for Cesena.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Benevento and Cesena: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Benevento or draw" stands at 72%, "Cesena or draw" at 57% and "no draw" at 71%.
In short : Benevento are favourites for this Benevento v Cesena, with a 43% win probability from our model. In the table, Benevento (7th, 7 pts) host Cesena (10th, 7 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Benevento – Cesena. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 59% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Benevento 1-0 Cesena | 14.5% |
| Benevento 1-1 Cesena | 13.2% |
| Benevento 0-0 Cesena | 12.0% |
| Benevento 0-1 Cesena | 10.9% |
| Benevento 2-0 Cesena | 8.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.12 goals in total (1.21 for Benevento, 0.91 for Cesena): over 2.5 goals has a 36% probability and both teams to score 42%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Benevento keep a clean sheet in 40% of scenarios, Cesena in 30%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Benevento expected goals | 1.21 |
| Cesena expected goals | 0.91 |
| Both teams to score | 42% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% |
| Benevento clean sheet | 40% |
| Cesena clean sheet | 30% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Benevento
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Hellas Verona · Serie B | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ascoli · Serie B | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sudtirol · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Modena · Serie B | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fiorentina · Coppa Italia | 1-4 | L |
Cesena
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cremonese · Serie B | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mantova · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Virtus Entella · Serie B | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sampdoria · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sassuolo · Coppa Italia | 0-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benevento | 7 | 7 | 5 |
| Cesena | 10 | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Benevento and Cesena: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Benevento
No absences reported.
Cesena
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Benevento
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Lamesta5/5
- F. Salvemini5/5
- G. Vannucchi5/5
- M. Maita5/5
- S. Scognamillo5/5
- A. Prisco4/5
- L. Sernicola4/5
- P. Beruatto4/5
- L. Cherubini3/5
- P. Saio3/5
- C. Kouan2/5
Cesena
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Ciofi5/5
- A. Siano5/5
- C. Shpendi5/5
- D. Bisoli5/5
- R. Pagano5/5
- X. Druiventak5/5
- A. Fiori4/5
- J. Gelli4/5
- M. Guidi4/5
- A. David3/5
- M. Ilic3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Modena – Hellas VeronaOct 10, 2026
- Padova – CarrareseOct 10, 2026
- Vicenza Virtus – PisaOct 10, 2026
- Virtus Entella – Juve StabiaOct 10, 2026
- Empoli – PalermoOct 10, 2026
- Catanzaro – MantovaOct 10, 2026
- Sudtirol – AscoliOct 10, 2026
- Arezzo – CremoneseOct 10, 2026
- Avellino – SampdoriaOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Benevento vs Cesena prediction?
Our AI gives Benevento a 43% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Cesena 28%. Benevento are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Benevento vs Cesena?
1-0 (14.5%), followed by 1-1 (13.2%), 0-0 (12.0%), 0-1 (10.9%) and 2-0 (8.8%).
Will both teams score in Benevento vs Cesena?
The probability that both Benevento and Cesena score is 42%. Benevento have a 40% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cesena 30%.
How many goals should we expect in Benevento vs Cesena?
The model expects 2.12 goals (1.21 for Benevento, 0.91 for Cesena). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 63%, over 2.5 goals 36%, over 3.5 goals 17%.
When and where is Benevento vs Cesena played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Serie B, matchday 6. Venue: Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento.
What form are Benevento and Cesena in?
Benevento: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 9 conceded). Cesena: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 8 conceded).
How is the Benevento vs Cesena prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.21 for Benevento, 0.91 for Cesena) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Benevento predictions
- All Cesena predictions
- Serie B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology