Serie B· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 16:15 (UK time)
Padova vs Carrarese prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Padova take on Carrarese on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 16:15 (UK time), a Serie B, matchday 6 fixture. Venue: Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padua. Our model makes Padova clear favourites: a 60% chance of winning, against 24% for the draw and 16% for Carrarese.
Over their last 5 matches, Padova have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Carrarese have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 6. Padova therefore arrive in far better shape than Carrarese. On average Padova score 0.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Carrarese score 0.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, Padova sit 6th with 7 points from 5 games, Carrarese 20th with 1 points from 5. 14 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Padova have averaged 1.02 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.15 for Carrarese.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Padova, 0 for Carrarese and 1 draw. The most recent ended Padova 1-0 Carrarese (Feb 10, 2026). In double chance terms, "Padova or draw" stands at 84%, "Carrarese or draw" at 40% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Padova
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ascoli · Serie B | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cremonese · Serie B | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hellas Verona · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pisa · Serie B | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Udinese · Coppa Italia | 0-1 | L |
Carrarese
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Catanzaro · Serie B | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Empoli · Serie B | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ascoli · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mantova · Serie B | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torino · Coppa Italia | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padova | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| Carrarese | 20 | 1 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Padova 1-0 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Carrarese 0-0 Padova | Serie B |
Out and doubtful
Padova
No absences reported.
Carrarese
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Padova
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Sorrentino5/5
- C. Pastina5/5
- E. Zuelli5/5
- L. Carissoni5/5
- M. Pompetti5/5
- A. Dellavalle4/5
- G. Caprari4/5
- P. Fusi4/5
- L. Moro3/5
- M. Lovato3/5
- F. Sgarbi2/5
Carrarese
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Abiuso5/5
- F. Oliana5/5
- F. Ruggeri5/5
- G. Parlanti5/5
- J. Rouhi5/5
- F. Reale4/5
- L. Romani4/5
- M. Cisse4/5
- G. Garofani3/5
- N. Belloni3/5
- N. Schiavi2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Avellino – SampdoriaOct 9, 2026
- Benevento – CesenaOct 10, 2026
- Virtus Entella – Juve StabiaOct 10, 2026
- Empoli – PalermoOct 10, 2026
- Sudtirol – AscoliOct 10, 2026
- Vicenza Virtus – PisaOct 10, 2026
- Arezzo – CremoneseOct 10, 2026
- Catanzaro – MantovaOct 11, 2026
- Modena – Hellas VeronaOct 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Padova vs Carrarese prediction?
Our AI gives Padova a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Carrarese 16%. Padova are therefore favourites.
When and where is Padova vs Carrarese played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 16:15 (UK time), Serie B, matchday 6. Venue: Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padua.
What form are Padova and Carrarese in?
Padova: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 5 conceded). Carrarese: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Padova and Carrarese?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Padova, 0 for Carrarese and 1 draw. The most recent ended Padova 1-0 Carrarese (Feb 10, 2026).
Go further
- All Padova predictions
- All Carrarese predictions
- Serie B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology