Taça de Portugal· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Vianense vs Leixoes prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Vianense take on Leixoes on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), a Taça de Portugal fixture. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Vianense 40%, Leixoes 34% and the draw 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.6%), ahead of 1-0 (10.3%) and 0-1 (9.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Vianense have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Leixoes have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Vianense score 2.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Leixoes score 1.60 and concede 1.00.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Vianense and Leixoes: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Vianense or draw" stands at 66%, "Leixoes or draw" at 60% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Vianense and Leixoes meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 26%). On recent form, Vianense have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Leixoes have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Vianense – Leixoes. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Vianense 1-1 Leixoes | 12.6% |
| Vianense 1-0 Leixoes | 10.3% |
| Vianense 0-1 Leixoes | 9.2% |
| Vianense 2-1 Leixoes | 8.5% |
| Vianense 1-2 Leixoes | 7.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.58 goals in total (1.36 for Vianense, 1.22 for Leixoes): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 52%. Vianense keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, Leixoes in 26%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Vianense expected goals | 1.36 |
| Leixoes expected goals | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Vianense clean sheet | 30% |
| Leixoes clean sheet | 26% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Vianense
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Varzim · Liga 3 | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira · Liga 3 | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Minas de Argozelo · Taça de Portugal | 8-0 | W |
| Aug 23, 2026 | AD Marco 09 · Liga 3 | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trofense · Liga 3 | 2-0 | W |
Leixoes
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Torreense · Liga Portugal 2 | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Amarante · Liga Portugal 2 | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Portimonense · Liga Portugal 2 | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | União de Leiria · Liga Portugal 2 | 2-4 | L |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tondela · Liga Portugal 2 | 1-0 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Vianense and Leixoes: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Vianense
No absences reported.
Leixoes
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Vianense
Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Silva3/3
- D. Maga3/3
- G. Faria3/3
- J. Castro3/3
- J. Faria3/3
- Laercio3/3
- M. Conceicao3/3
- N. Silva3/3
- P. Soares3/3
- Reko3/3
- Rashid2/3
Leixoes
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Rochez5/5
- Matheus Costa5/5
- A. Balde4/5
- C. Araujo4/5
- Paulinho4/5
- S. Agra4/5
- R. Barbosa3/5
- Bica2/5
- H. Faria2/5
- I. Stefanovic2/5
- L. Figueiredo2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Chaves – Os MarialvasOct 16, 2026
- Recreativa de Lamelas – GuimaraesOct 17, 2026
- Atlético CP – VizelaOct 17, 2026
- Florgrade – PortimonenseOct 17, 2026
- Farense – AD Marco 09Oct 17, 2026
- Sanjoanense – NacionalOct 17, 2026
- União de Leiria – BragançaOct 17, 2026
- Penafiel – LeçaOct 17, 2026
- Louletano – Rio AveOct 17, 2026
- Academica – AmaranteOct 17, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Vianense vs Leixoes prediction?
Our AI gives Vianense a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Leixoes 34%. Vianense are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Vianense vs Leixoes?
1-1 (12.6%), followed by 1-0 (10.3%), 0-1 (9.2%), 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.7%).
Will both teams score in Vianense vs Leixoes?
The probability that both Vianense and Leixoes score is 52%. Vianense have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Leixoes 26%.
How many goals should we expect in Vianense vs Leixoes?
The model expects 2.58 goals (1.36 for Vianense, 1.22 for Leixoes). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Vianense vs Leixoes played?
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Taça de Portugal.
What form are Vianense and Leixoes in?
Vianense: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 5 conceded). Leixoes: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded).
How is the Vianense vs Leixoes prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.36 for Vianense, 1.22 for Leixoes) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Vianense predictions
- All Leixoes predictions
- Taça de Portugal predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology