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Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Avai vs Botafogo SP: 0-2 result and AI prediction review

AvaiAvai0 – 2Botafogo SPBotafogo SP

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Avai 0-2 Botafogo SP. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Botafogo SP was the model's favourite outcome (41%). The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (43%): correct.

Match analysis

Avai vs Botafogo SP was played on Saturday, October 24, 2026 (Brasileirão Série B, matchday 35). Venue: Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis. Before kick-off, our model gave Avai a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Botafogo SP 41%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (13.0%), ahead of 0-1 (11.7%) and 1-0 (10.0%).

Over their last 5 matches, Avai have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Botafogo SP have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 2. Recent momentum is clearly with Botafogo SP. On average Avai score 0.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Botafogo SP score 1.20 and concede 0.40. In the table, Avai sit 17th with 37 points from 34 games, Botafogo SP 13th with 44 points from 34. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Avai have averaged 1.13 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.27 for Botafogo SP.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Avai, 1 for Botafogo SP and 2 draws. The most recent ended Botafogo SP 3-1 Avai (Jul 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "Avai or draw" stands at 59%, "Botafogo SP or draw" at 68% and "no draw" at 73%.

In short : Botafogo SP are favourites for this Avai v Botafogo SP, with a 41% win probability from our model. On recent form, Avai have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Botafogo SP are in good shape (4 wins in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

32%
Avai (Win)
27%
Draw
41%
Botafogo SP (Win)

Double chance

59%
Avai or draw
68%
Botafogo SP or draw
73%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Avai – Botafogo SP. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 52% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Avai 1-1 Botafogo SP13.0%
Avai 0-1 Botafogo SP11.7%
Avai 1-0 Botafogo SP10.0%
Avai 0-0 Botafogo SP9.0%
Avai 1-2 Botafogo SP8.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.41 goals in total (1.11 for Avai, 1.30 for Botafogo SP): over 2.5 goals has a 43% probability and both teams to score 49%. Avai keep a clean sheet in 27% of scenarios, Botafogo SP in 33%.

Probability
Avai expected goals1.11
Botafogo SP expected goals1.30
Both teams to score49%
Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Avai clean sheet27%
Botafogo SP clean sheet33%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Avai

DateOpponentScore
Oct 18, 2026Athletic Club · Brasileirão Série B0-0D
Oct 11, 2026Cuiaba · Brasileirão Série B1-0W
Oct 7, 2026Londrina · Brasileirão Série B2-1W
Oct 3, 2026Ceara · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Sep 27, 2026Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B0-3L

Botafogo SP

DateOpponentScore
Oct 18, 2026CRB · Brasileirão Série B1-0W
Oct 13, 2026Ceara · Brasileirão Série B1-0W
Oct 7, 2026Operario-PR · Brasileirão Série B2-1W
Oct 3, 2026Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Sep 29, 2026Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B2-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Avai173734
Botafogo SP134434

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 6, 2026Botafogo SP 3-1 AvaiSerie B
Nov 23, 2025Botafogo SP 0-0 AvaiSerie B
Jul 28, 2025Avai 5-0 Botafogo SPSerie B
Nov 19, 2024Botafogo SP 1-3 AvaiSerie B
Jul 31, 2024Avai 1-1 Botafogo SPSerie B

Out and doubtful

Avai

No absences reported.

Botafogo SP

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Avai

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Allyson5/5
  • Bruno Ferreira5/5
  • Daniel Penha4/5
  • Douglas Teixeira4/5
  • Jean Lucas4/5
  • Jefferson Maciel4/5
  • Luiz Henrique4/5
  • Wenderson4/5
  • Joao Vitor3/5
  • Ze Ricardo3/5
  • Caio Suassuna2/5

Botafogo SP

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Patrick Brey5/5
  • Rafael Gava5/5
  • Victor Souza5/5
  • Vilar5/5
  • Everton Morelli4/5
  • Hygor4/5
  • Ericson3/5
  • Jonathan3/5
  • Leandro Maciel3/5
  • Darlan2/5
  • Gabriel Inocencio2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Avai vs Botafogo SP prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Avai a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Botafogo SP 41%. Botafogo SP are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Avai vs Botafogo SP?

1-1 (13.0%), followed by 0-1 (11.7%), 1-0 (10.0%), 0-0 (9.0%) and 1-2 (8.4%).

Will both teams score in Avai vs Botafogo SP?

The probability that both Avai and Botafogo SP score is 49%. Avai have a 27% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Botafogo SP 33%.

How many goals should we expect in Avai vs Botafogo SP?

The model expects 2.41 goals (1.11 for Avai, 1.30 for Botafogo SP). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 69%, over 2.5 goals 43%, over 3.5 goals 22%.

When and where is Avai vs Botafogo SP played?

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 35. Venue: Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis.

What form are Avai and Botafogo SP in?

Avai: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 5 conceded). Botafogo SP: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 2 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Avai and Botafogo SP?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Avai, 1 for Botafogo SP and 2 draws. The most recent ended Botafogo SP 3-1 Avai (Jul 6, 2026).

What was the Avai vs Botafogo SP result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Avai 0-2 Botafogo SP. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Botafogo SP was the model's favourite outcome (41%). The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (43%): correct.

How is the Avai vs Botafogo SP prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.11 for Avai, 1.30 for Botafogo SP) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained