Brasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Friday, October 23, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)
Operario-PR vs Athletic Club: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Operario-PR 1-0 Athletic Club. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Operario-PR was the model's favourite outcome (53%). The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (18.7%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (34%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (30%): correct.
Match analysis
Operario-PR vs Athletic Club was played on Friday, October 23, 2026 (Brasileirão Série B, matchday 35). Venue: Estadio Germano Kruger, Punta Grossa. Before kick-off, our model gave Operario-PR a 53% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Athletic Club 18%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (18.7%), ahead of 0-0 (14.5%) and 2-0 (12.1%).
Operario-PR have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 10. Athletic Club have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Operario-PR score 0.60 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Athletic Club score 1.20 and concede 1.60. In the table, Operario-PR sit 10th with 48 points from 34 games, Athletic Club 14th with 44 points from 34. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Operario-PR have averaged 1.13 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.73 for Athletic Club.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Operario-PR, 2 for Athletic Club and 0 draws. The most recent ended Athletic Club 0-1 Operario-PR (Jul 8, 2026). In double chance terms, "Operario-PR or draw" stands at 82%, "Athletic Club or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 71%.
In short : Operario-PR are tipped by our AI model in this Operario-PR v Athletic Club (53%). In the table, Operario-PR (10th, 48 pts) host Athletic Club (14th, 44 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Operario-PR – Athletic Club. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (18.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 67% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Operario-PR 1-0 Athletic Club | 18.7% |
| Operario-PR 0-0 Athletic Club | 14.5% |
| Operario-PR 2-0 Athletic Club | 12.1% |
| Operario-PR 1-1 Athletic Club | 12.0% |
| Operario-PR 0-1 Athletic Club | 9.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.93 goals in total (1.29 for Operario-PR, 0.64 for Athletic Club): over 2.5 goals has a 30% probability and both teams to score 34%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Operario-PR keep a clean sheet in 53% of scenarios, Athletic Club in 28%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Operario-PR expected goals | 1.29 |
| Athletic Club expected goals | 0.64 |
| Both teams to score | 34% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% |
| Operario-PR clean sheet | 53% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 28% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Operario-PR
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | America Mineiro · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Goias · Brasileirão Série B | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juventude · Brasileirão Série B | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ceara · Brasileirão Série B | 2-2 | D |
Athletic Club
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Avai · Brasileirão Série B | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Londrina · Brasileirão Série B | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Goias · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Sport Recife · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operario-PR | 10 | 48 | 34 |
| Athletic Club | 14 | 44 | 34 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2026 | Athletic Club 0-1 Operario-PR | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Operario-PR 1-4 Athletic Club | Serie B |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Athletic Club 2-1 Operario-PR | Serie B |
Out and doubtful
Operario-PR
No absences reported.
Athletic Club
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Operario-PR
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Caio Dantas5/5
- Gabriel Feliciano5/5
- H. Pereira4/5
- Joseph4/5
- Matheus Trindade4/5
- Mikael Doka4/5
- Vagner4/5
- Vinicius Diniz3/5
- Aylon2/5
- Boschilia2/5
- J. Cuenu2/5
Athletic Club
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Luan Polli5/5
- Max5/5
- Belezi4/5
- Jhonatan Silva4/5
- Kauan Lindes4/5
- Diogo Batista3/5
- Enzo Santos3/5
- J. Pool3/5
- Joao Miguel3/5
- Jota3/5
- Kauan Rodrigues3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Goias 0-0 Nautico RecifeOct 19, 2026
- Londrina 1-0 CuiabaOct 20, 2026
- Sport Recife 2-1 CriciumaOct 24, 2026
- Avai 0-2 Botafogo SPOct 24, 2026
- Atletico Goianiense 0-1 NovorizontinoOct 24, 2026
- São Bernardo 3-2 Vila NovaOct 24, 2026
- Ponte Preta 2-2 Fortaleza ECOct 24, 2026
- CRB 2-1 LondrinaOct 24, 2026
- America Mineiro – CuiabaOct 26, 2026
- Juventude – Nautico RecifeOct 26, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Operario-PR vs Athletic Club prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Operario-PR a 53% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Athletic Club 18%. Operario-PR are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Operario-PR vs Athletic Club?
1-0 (18.7%), followed by 0-0 (14.5%), 2-0 (12.1%), 1-1 (12.0%) and 0-1 (9.3%).
Will both teams score in Operario-PR vs Athletic Club?
The probability that both Operario-PR and Athletic Club score is 34%. Operario-PR have a 53% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Athletic Club 28%.
How many goals should we expect in Operario-PR vs Athletic Club?
The model expects 1.93 goals (1.29 for Operario-PR, 0.64 for Athletic Club). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 58%, over 2.5 goals 30%, over 3.5 goals 13%.
When and where is Operario-PR vs Athletic Club played?
Friday, October 23, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 35. Venue: Estadio Germano Kruger, Punta Grossa.
What form are Operario-PR and Athletic Club in?
Operario-PR: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 10 conceded). Athletic Club: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Operario-PR and Athletic Club?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Operario-PR, 2 for Athletic Club and 0 draws. The most recent ended Athletic Club 0-1 Operario-PR (Jul 8, 2026).
What was the Operario-PR vs Athletic Club result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Operario-PR 1-0 Athletic Club. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Operario-PR was the model's favourite outcome (53%). The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (18.7%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (34%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (30%): correct.
How is the Operario-PR vs Athletic Club prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.29 for Operario-PR, 0.64 for Athletic Club) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Operario-PR predictions
- All Athletic Club predictions
- Brasileirão Série B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology