Skip to content
Elofoot

Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)

Londrina vs Cuiaba: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

LondrinaLondrina1 – 0CuiabaCuiaba

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-2

Final score: Londrina 1-0 Cuiaba. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Cuiaba (44%), while victory for Londrina was rated at only 35%. The model considered this score unlikely (4.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (72%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (73%): missed.

Match analysis

Londrina vs Cuiaba was played on Tuesday, October 20, 2026 (Brasileirão Série B, matchday 34). Venue: Estadio do Cafe, Londrina. Before kick-off, our model gave Londrina a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cuiaba 44%. The most likely correct score is 1-2 (8.1%), ahead of 1-1 (8.1%) and 2-2 (7.2%).

Londrina have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Cuiaba have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Cuiaba. On average Londrina score 0.80 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Cuiaba score 1.00 and concede 0.80. In the table, Londrina sit 18th with 29 points from 33 games, Cuiaba 11th with 47 points from 33. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Londrina have averaged 2.16 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.66 for Cuiaba.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Londrina, 0 for Cuiaba and 1 draw. The most recent ended Cuiaba 2-2 Londrina (Jun 26, 2026). In double chance terms, "Londrina or draw" stands at 56%, "Cuiaba or draw" at 65% and "no draw" at 79%.

In short : Our model backs Cuiaba to edge Londrina (44% probability). On recent form, Londrina are struggling (4 losses in 5) while Cuiaba have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 73%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

35%
Londrina (Win)
21%
Draw
44%
Cuiaba (Win)

Double chance

56%
Londrina or draw
65%
Cuiaba or draw
79%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Londrina – Cuiaba. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (8.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 36% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Londrina 1-2 Cuiaba8.1%
Londrina 1-1 Cuiaba8.1%
Londrina 2-2 Cuiaba7.2%
Londrina 2-1 Cuiaba7.2%
Londrina 1-3 Cuiaba5.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.79 goals in total (1.78 for Londrina, 2.01 for Cuiaba): over 2.5 goals has a 73% probability and both teams to score 72%. Everything points to an open game. Londrina keep a clean sheet in 13% of scenarios, Cuiaba in 17%.

Probability
Londrina expected goals1.78
Cuiaba expected goals2.01
Both teams to score72%
Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Londrina clean sheet13%
Cuiaba clean sheet17%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Londrina

DateOpponentScore
Oct 13, 2026Athletic Club · Brasileirão Série B2-2D
Oct 7, 2026Avai · Brasileirão Série B1-2L
Oct 3, 2026Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B0-2L
Sep 26, 2026Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B0-2L
Sep 20, 2026Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B1-2L

Cuiaba

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Avai · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Oct 8, 2026Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B0-0D
Oct 3, 2026Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B2-0W
Sep 27, 2026CRB · Brasileirão Série B0-3L
Sep 22, 2026Nautico Recife · Brasileirão Série B3-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Londrina182933
Cuiaba114733

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 26, 2026Cuiaba 2-2 LondrinaBrasileirão Série B

Out and doubtful

Londrina

No absences reported.

Cuiaba

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Londrina

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Herbert5/5
  • Wallace5/5
  • Heron4/5
  • Igor Bahia4/5
  • Joao Coni4/5
  • Joao Vitor4/5
  • Kaue Leonardo4/5
  • Luan Ribeiro4/5
  • Tarik4/5
  • Caio Rodrigues3/5
  • Gabriel Lacerda3/5

Cuiaba

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Calebe Costa5/5
  • David Miguel5/5
  • Fabio Gomes5/5
  • Igor Inocencio5/5
  • Jean Dias5/5
  • Joao Carlos5/5
  • Kauan Cristtyan5/5
  • Lorenzo5/5
  • Raul5/5
  • Vitor Mendes4/5
  • Joao Basso3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Londrina vs Cuiaba prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Londrina a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cuiaba 44%. Cuiaba are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Londrina vs Cuiaba?

1-2 (8.1%), followed by 1-1 (8.1%), 2-2 (7.2%), 2-1 (7.2%) and 1-3 (5.4%).

Will both teams score in Londrina vs Cuiaba?

The probability that both Londrina and Cuiaba score is 72%. Londrina have a 13% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cuiaba 17%.

How many goals should we expect in Londrina vs Cuiaba?

The model expects 3.79 goals (1.78 for Londrina, 2.01 for Cuiaba). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 89%, over 2.5 goals 73%, over 3.5 goals 52%.

When and where is Londrina vs Cuiaba played?

Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 34. Venue: Estadio do Cafe, Londrina.

What form are Londrina and Cuiaba in?

Londrina: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 10 conceded). Cuiaba: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Londrina and Cuiaba?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Londrina, 0 for Cuiaba and 1 draw. The most recent ended Cuiaba 2-2 Londrina (Jun 26, 2026).

What was the Londrina vs Cuiaba result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Londrina 1-0 Cuiaba. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Cuiaba (44%), while victory for Londrina was rated at only 35%. The model considered this score unlikely (4.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (72%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (73%): missed.

How is the Londrina vs Cuiaba prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.78 for Londrina, 2.01 for Cuiaba) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained