Brasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
CRB vs Botafogo SP: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: CRB 0-1 Botafogo SP. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for CRB (72%), while victory for Botafogo SP was rated at only 11%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.4%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (62%): missed.
Match analysis
CRB and Botafogo SP met on Sunday, October 18, 2026, a Brasileirão Série B, matchday 34 fixture. Venue: Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio. Before kick-off, our model gave CRB a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Botafogo SP 11%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, CRB have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Botafogo SP have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Botafogo SP therefore arrive in far better shape than CRB. On average CRB score 1.80 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Botafogo SP score 1.20 and concede 0.60. In the table, CRB sit 7th with 52 points from 33 games, Botafogo SP 16th with 41 points from 33. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, CRB have averaged 1.93 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.00 for Botafogo SP.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for CRB, 1 for Botafogo SP and 1 draw. The most recent ended Botafogo SP 0-1 CRB (Jul 1, 2026). In double chance terms, "CRB or draw" stands at 89%, "Botafogo SP or draw" at 28% and "no draw" at 83%.
In short : CRB are tipped by our AI model in this CRB v Botafogo SP (72%). In the table, CRB (7th, 52 pts) host Botafogo SP (16th, 41 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as CRB – Botafogo SP. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CRB 2-0 Botafogo SP | 11.6% |
| CRB 1-0 Botafogo SP | 9.8% |
| CRB 2-1 Botafogo SP | 9.5% |
| CRB 3-0 Botafogo SP | 9.1% |
| CRB 1-1 Botafogo SP | 8.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.36 expected goals for CRB and 0.82 for Botafogo SP, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 62% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Goals look likely in this one. CRB keep a clean sheet in 44% of scenarios, Botafogo SP in 9%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| CRB expected goals | 2.36 |
| Botafogo SP expected goals | 0.82 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| CRB clean sheet | 44% |
| Botafogo SP clean sheet | 9% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
CRB
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense · Brasileirão Série B | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 2, 2026 | São Bernardo · Brasileirão Série B | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cuiaba · Brasileirão Série B | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
Botafogo SP
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ceara · Brasileirão Série B | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Operario-PR · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Athletic Club · Brasileirão Série B | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRB | 7 | 52 | 33 |
| Botafogo SP | 16 | 41 | 33 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | Botafogo SP 0-1 CRB | Serie B |
| Sep 24, 2025 | CRB 3-2 Botafogo SP | Serie B |
| May 27, 2025 | Botafogo SP 2-1 CRB | Serie B |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Botafogo SP 0-0 CRB | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2024 | CRB 4-1 Botafogo SP | Serie B |
Out and doubtful
CRB
No absences reported.
Botafogo SP
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
CRB
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Crystopher Ribeiro5/5
- Dada Belmonte5/5
- Danielzinho5/5
- Lyncon5/5
- Mikael5/5
- Pedro Castro5/5
- Thiaguinho5/5
- Vitor Caetano5/5
- Bressan4/5
- Hereda4/5
- Reverson3/5
Botafogo SP
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Everton Morelli5/5
- Patrick Brey5/5
- Rafael Gava5/5
- Victor Souza5/5
- Vilar5/5
- Ericson4/5
- Hygor4/5
- Kelvin3/5
- Leandro Maciel3/5
- Pedro Henrique3/5
- Gabriel Inocencio2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Ponte Preta 1-1 Atletico GoianienseOct 16, 2026
- Sport Recife 0-2 Fortaleza ECOct 17, 2026
- Ceara 2-2 JuventudeOct 17, 2026
- America Mineiro 1-0 Operario-PROct 17, 2026
- Avai 0-0 Athletic ClubOct 18, 2026
- São Bernardo 0-1 CriciumaOct 18, 2026
- Vila Nova 2-2 NovorizontinoOct 18, 2026
- Goias 0-0 Nautico RecifeOct 19, 2026
- Londrina 1-0 CuiabaOct 20, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the CRB vs Botafogo SP prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave CRB a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Botafogo SP 11%. CRB are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for CRB vs Botafogo SP?
2-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-0 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.5%), 3-0 (9.1%) and 1-1 (8.0%).
Will both teams score in CRB vs Botafogo SP?
The probability that both CRB and Botafogo SP score is 51%. CRB have a 44% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Botafogo SP 9%.
How many goals should we expect in CRB vs Botafogo SP?
The model expects 3.18 goals (2.36 for CRB, 0.82 for Botafogo SP). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 62%, over 3.5 goals 39%.
When and where is CRB vs Botafogo SP played?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 34. Venue: Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio.
What form are CRB and Botafogo SP in?
CRB: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 7 conceded). Botafogo SP: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between CRB and Botafogo SP?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for CRB, 1 for Botafogo SP and 1 draw. The most recent ended Botafogo SP 0-1 CRB (Jul 1, 2026).
What was the CRB vs Botafogo SP result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: CRB 0-1 Botafogo SP. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for CRB (72%), while victory for Botafogo SP was rated at only 11%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.4%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (62%): missed.
How is the CRB vs Botafogo SP prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.36 for CRB, 0.82 for Botafogo SP) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All CRB predictions
- All Botafogo SP predictions
- Brasileirão Série B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology