Brasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Avai vs Athletic Club: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Avai 0-0 Athletic Club. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Athletic Club (38%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (46%): correct.
Match analysis
Avai and Athletic Club met on Sunday, October 18, 2026, a Brasileirão Série B, matchday 34 fixture. Venue: Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis. Before kick-off, our model gave Avai a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Athletic Club 38%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.8%), followed by 0-1 (10.4%) and 1-0 (10.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Avai have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Athletic Club have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 9. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Avai score 0.80 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Athletic Club score 1.40 and concede 1.80. In the table, Avai sit 17th with 36 points from 33 games, Athletic Club 14th with 43 points from 33. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Avai have averaged 1.16 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.35 for Athletic Club.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Avai, 1 for Athletic Club and 0 draws. The most recent ended Athletic Club 1-0 Avai (Jun 28, 2026). In double chance terms, "Avai or draw" stands at 62%, "Athletic Club or draw" at 65% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : An evenly-matched game between Avai and Athletic Club: our model sees no clear favourite. In the table, Avai (17th, 36 pts) host Athletic Club (14th, 43 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 51%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Avai – Athletic Club. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Avai 1-1 Athletic Club | 12.8% |
| Avai 0-1 Athletic Club | 10.4% |
| Avai 1-0 Athletic Club | 10.0% |
| Avai 1-2 Athletic Club | 8.2% |
| Avai 0-0 Athletic Club | 8.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.23 expected goals for Avai and 1.28 for Athletic Club, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 46% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Avai keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Athletic Club in 29%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Avai expected goals | 1.23 |
| Athletic Club expected goals | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Avai clean sheet | 28% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 29% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Avai
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cuiaba · Brasileirão Série B | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Londrina · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ceara · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Goias · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
Athletic Club
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Londrina · Brasileirão Série B | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Goias · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Sport Recife · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avai | 17 | 36 | 33 |
| Athletic Club | 14 | 43 | 33 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Athletic Club 1-0 Avai | Brasileirão Série B |
Out and doubtful
Avai
No absences reported.
Athletic Club
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Avai
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Allyson5/5
- Bruno Ferreira5/5
- Daniel Penha4/5
- Douglas Teixeira4/5
- Jean Lucas4/5
- Jefferson Maciel4/5
- Ze Ricardo4/5
- Caio Suassuna3/5
- Joao Vitor3/5
- Luiz Henrique3/5
- Reynaldo3/5
Athletic Club
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Belezi5/5
- Jhonatan Silva5/5
- Kauan Lindes5/5
- Luan Polli5/5
- Max5/5
- Enzo Santos4/5
- Joao Miguel4/5
- Kauan Rodrigues4/5
- Douglas Pele3/5
- J. Pool3/5
- Jota3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Ponte Preta 1-1 Atletico GoianienseOct 16, 2026
- Sport Recife 0-2 Fortaleza ECOct 17, 2026
- Ceara 2-2 JuventudeOct 17, 2026
- America Mineiro 1-0 Operario-PROct 17, 2026
- CRB 0-1 Botafogo SPOct 18, 2026
- São Bernardo 0-1 CriciumaOct 18, 2026
- Vila Nova 2-2 NovorizontinoOct 18, 2026
- Goias 0-0 Nautico RecifeOct 19, 2026
- Londrina 1-0 CuiabaOct 20, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Avai vs Athletic Club prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Avai a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Athletic Club 38%. Athletic Club are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Avai vs Athletic Club?
1-1 (12.8%), followed by 0-1 (10.4%), 1-0 (10.0%), 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-0 (8.1%).
Will both teams score in Avai vs Athletic Club?
The probability that both Avai and Athletic Club score is 51%. Avai have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Athletic Club 29%.
How many goals should we expect in Avai vs Athletic Club?
The model expects 2.51 goals (1.23 for Avai, 1.28 for Athletic Club). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 72%, over 2.5 goals 46%, over 3.5 goals 25%.
When and where is Avai vs Athletic Club played?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 34. Venue: Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis.
What form are Avai and Athletic Club in?
Avai: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 7 conceded). Athletic Club: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Avai and Athletic Club?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Avai, 1 for Athletic Club and 0 draws. The most recent ended Athletic Club 1-0 Avai (Jun 28, 2026).
What was the Avai vs Athletic Club result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Avai 0-0 Athletic Club. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Athletic Club (38%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (46%): correct.
How is the Avai vs Athletic Club prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.23 for Avai, 1.28 for Athletic Club) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Avai predictions
- All Athletic Club predictions
- Brasileirão Série B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology