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Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 22:30 (UK time)

America Mineiro vs Operario-PR: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro1 – 0Operario-PROperario-PR

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-2

Final score: America Mineiro 1-0 Operario-PR. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Operario-PR (80%), while victory for America Mineiro was rated at only 4%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (2.6%), behind 0-2. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (19%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (40%): correct.

Match analysis

America Mineiro vs Operario-PR was played on Saturday, October 17, 2026 (Brasileirão Série B, matchday 34). Venue: Arena Independência, Bello Harisanta. Before kick-off, our model gave America Mineiro a 4% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Operario-PR 80%. The most likely correct score is 0-2 (21.1%), ahead of 0-1 (20.9%) and 0-3 (14.2%).

America Mineiro have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 0 and conceding 6. Operario-PR have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Recent momentum is clearly with Operario-PR. On average America Mineiro score 0.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Operario-PR score 1.00 and concede 1.80. In the table, America Mineiro sit 19th with 17 points from 33 games, Operario-PR 10th with 48 points from 33. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, America Mineiro have averaged 0.15 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.57 for Operario-PR.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for America Mineiro, 1 for Operario-PR and 0 draws. The most recent ended Operario-PR 1-0 America Mineiro (Jun 27, 2026). In double chance terms, "America Mineiro or draw" stands at 20%, "Operario-PR or draw" at 96% and "no draw" at 84%.

In short : Operario-PR are tipped by our AI model in this America Mineiro v Operario-PR (80%). On recent form, America Mineiro are struggling (5 losses in 5) while Operario-PR have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-2.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

4%
America Mineiro (Win)
16%
Draw
80%
Operario-PR (Win)

Double chance

20%
America Mineiro or draw
96%
Operario-PR or draw
84%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as America Mineiro – Operario-PR. 0-2 is the single most likely scoreline (21.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 74% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
America Mineiro 0-2 Operario-PR21.1%
America Mineiro 0-1 Operario-PR20.9%
America Mineiro 0-3 Operario-PR14.2%
America Mineiro 0-0 Operario-PR10.3%
America Mineiro 0-4 Operario-PR7.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.27 goals in total (0.25 for America Mineiro, 2.02 for Operario-PR): over 2.5 goals has a 40% probability and both teams to score 19%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. America Mineiro keep a clean sheet in 13% of scenarios, Operario-PR in 78%.

Probability
America Mineiro expected goals0.25
Operario-PR expected goals2.02
Both teams to score19%
Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Over 3.5 goals20%
America Mineiro clean sheet13%
Operario-PR clean sheet78%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

America Mineiro

DateOpponentScore
Oct 12, 2026Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Oct 8, 2026Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Oct 3, 2026Atletico Goianiense · Brasileirão Série B0-2L
Sep 28, 2026Juventude · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Sep 18, 2026Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B0-1L

Operario-PR

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Goias · Brasileirão Série B0-2L
Oct 7, 2026Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B1-2L
Oct 3, 2026Juventude · Brasileirão Série B0-3L
Sep 26, 2026Ceara · Brasileirão Série B2-2D
Sep 22, 2026Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B2-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
America Mineiro191733
Operario-PR104833

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 27, 2026Operario-PR 1-0 America MineiroBrasileirão Série B

Out and doubtful

America Mineiro

No absences reported.

Operario-PR

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

America Mineiro

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • L. Sosa5/5
  • Paulo Victor5/5
  • Rafa Barcelos5/5
  • Willian Bigode5/5
  • Fabio4/5
  • Gustavo Barreto4/5
  • M. Segovia4/5
  • T. Ostchega4/5
  • Bruno Brigido3/5
  • Guilherme Parede3/5
  • Otavio Goncalves3/5

Operario-PR

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Caio Dantas5/5
  • Gabriel Feliciano5/5
  • H. Pereira5/5
  • Matheus Trindade5/5
  • Vagner5/5
  • Joseph4/5
  • Mikael Doka4/5
  • Vinicius Diniz4/5
  • Boschilia3/5
  • J. Cuenu3/5
  • Aylon2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the America Mineiro vs Operario-PR prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave America Mineiro a 4% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Operario-PR 80%. Operario-PR are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for America Mineiro vs Operario-PR?

0-2 (21.1%), followed by 0-1 (20.9%), 0-3 (14.2%), 0-0 (10.3%) and 0-4 (7.2%).

Will both teams score in America Mineiro vs Operario-PR?

The probability that both America Mineiro and Operario-PR score is 19%. America Mineiro have a 13% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Operario-PR 78%.

How many goals should we expect in America Mineiro vs Operario-PR?

The model expects 2.27 goals (0.25 for America Mineiro, 2.02 for Operario-PR). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 66%, over 2.5 goals 40%, over 3.5 goals 20%.

When and where is America Mineiro vs Operario-PR played?

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 22:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 34. Venue: Arena Independência, Bello Harisanta.

What form are America Mineiro and Operario-PR in?

America Mineiro: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (0 scored, 6 conceded). Operario-PR: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between America Mineiro and Operario-PR?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for America Mineiro, 1 for Operario-PR and 0 draws. The most recent ended Operario-PR 1-0 America Mineiro (Jun 27, 2026).

What was the America Mineiro vs Operario-PR result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: America Mineiro 1-0 Operario-PR. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Operario-PR (80%), while victory for America Mineiro was rated at only 4%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (2.6%), behind 0-2. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (19%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (40%): correct.

How is the America Mineiro vs Operario-PR prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.25 for America Mineiro, 2.02 for Operario-PR) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained