Brasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)
Athletic Club vs Londrina: 2-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Athletic Club 2-2 Londrina. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Athletic Club (45%), while a draw was rated at only 29%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (37%): missed.
Match analysis
Athletic Club vs Londrina was played on Tuesday, October 13, 2026 (Brasileirão Série B, matchday 33). Venue: Estadio Joaquim Portugal, Sao Joao del-Rei. Before kick-off, our model gave Athletic Club a 45% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Londrina 27%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (14.4%), ahead of 1-1 (13.1%) and 0-0 (11.3%).
Athletic Club have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 7. Londrina have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Athletic Club score 1.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Londrina score 1.60 and concede 1.60. In the table, Athletic Club sit 15th with 42 points from 32 games, Londrina 18th with 28 points from 32. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Athletic Club, 1 for Londrina and 0 draws. The most recent ended Londrina 2-0 Athletic Club (Jun 20, 2026). In double chance terms, "Athletic Club or draw" stands at 73%, "Londrina or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 71%.
In short : Our model backs Athletic Club to edge Londrina (45% probability). In the table, Athletic Club (15th, 42 pts) host Londrina (18th, 28 pts). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Athletic Club – Londrina. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 58% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Athletic Club 1-0 Londrina | 14.4% |
| Athletic Club 1-1 Londrina | 13.1% |
| Athletic Club 0-0 Londrina | 11.3% |
| Athletic Club 0-1 Londrina | 10.3% |
| Athletic Club 2-0 Londrina | 9.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.18 goals in total (1.27 for Athletic Club, 0.91 for Londrina): over 2.5 goals has a 37% probability and both teams to score 43%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Athletic Club keep a clean sheet in 40% of scenarios, Londrina in 28%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Athletic Club expected goals | 1.27 |
| Londrina expected goals | 0.91 |
| Both teams to score | 43% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 40% |
| Londrina clean sheet | 28% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Athletic Club
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Goias · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Sport Recife · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juventude · Brasileirão Série B | 2-0 | W |
Londrina
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Avai · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B | 6-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 15 | 42 | 32 |
| Londrina | 18 | 28 | 32 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Londrina 2-0 Athletic Club | Brasileirão Série B |
Out and doubtful
Athletic Club
No absences reported.
Londrina
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Athletic Club
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Luan Polli5/5
- Max5/5
- Belezi4/5
- Jhonatan Silva4/5
- Kauan Lindes4/5
- Douglas Pele3/5
- Felipe Negrucci3/5
- Joao Miguel3/5
- Kauan Rodrigues3/5
- D. Vera2/5
- Diogo Batista2/5
Londrina
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Herbert5/5
- Igor Bahia5/5
- Wallace5/5
- Guilherme Dantas4/5
- Heron4/5
- Joao Coni4/5
- Tarik4/5
- Caio Rodrigues3/5
- Gabriel Lacerda3/5
- Joao Vitor3/5
- Kaue Leonardo3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Juventude 2-2 São BernardoOct 11, 2026
- Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Sport RecifeOct 11, 2026
- Nautico Recife 0-2 Vila NovaOct 11, 2026
- Operario-PR 0-2 GoiasOct 11, 2026
- Cuiaba 0-1 AvaiOct 11, 2026
- Fortaleza EC 2-2 CRBOct 12, 2026
- Novorizontino 5-1 Ponte PretaOct 12, 2026
- Criciuma 1-0 America MineiroOct 12, 2026
- Botafogo SP 1-0 CearaOct 13, 2026
- Ponte Preta 1-1 Atletico GoianienseOct 16, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Athletic Club vs Londrina prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Athletic Club a 45% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Londrina 27%. Athletic Club are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Athletic Club vs Londrina?
1-0 (14.4%), followed by 1-1 (13.1%), 0-0 (11.3%), 0-1 (10.3%) and 2-0 (9.1%).
Will both teams score in Athletic Club vs Londrina?
The probability that both Athletic Club and Londrina score is 43%. Athletic Club have a 40% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Londrina 28%.
How many goals should we expect in Athletic Club vs Londrina?
The model expects 2.18 goals (1.27 for Athletic Club, 0.91 for Londrina). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 64%, over 2.5 goals 37%, over 3.5 goals 18%.
When and where is Athletic Club vs Londrina played?
Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 33. Venue: Estadio Joaquim Portugal, Sao Joao del-Rei.
What form are Athletic Club and Londrina in?
Athletic Club: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded). Londrina: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Athletic Club and Londrina?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Athletic Club, 1 for Londrina and 0 draws. The most recent ended Londrina 2-0 Athletic Club (Jun 20, 2026).
What was the Athletic Club vs Londrina result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Athletic Club 2-2 Londrina. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Athletic Club (45%), while a draw was rated at only 29%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (37%): missed.
How is the Athletic Club vs Londrina prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.27 for Athletic Club, 0.91 for Londrina) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Athletic Club predictions
- All Londrina predictions
- Brasileirão Série B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology