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Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Monday, October 12, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)

Criciuma vs America Mineiro: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

CriciumaCriciuma1 – 0America MineiroAmerica Mineiro

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-0

Final score: Criciuma 1-0 America Mineiro. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Criciuma was the model's favourite outcome (78%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (10.4%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (62%): missed.

Match analysis

Criciuma vs America Mineiro was played on Monday, October 12, 2026 (Brasileirão Série B, matchday 33). Venue: Estadio Heriberto Hülse, Chrissyuma. Before kick-off, our model gave Criciuma a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and America Mineiro 8%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (13.1%), ahead of 3-0 (11.1%) and 1-0 (10.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, Criciuma have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 7. America Mineiro have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 0 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Criciuma. On average Criciuma score 1.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; America Mineiro score 0.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, Criciuma sit 5th with 53 points from 32 games, America Mineiro 19th with 17 points from 32. 14 places separate the two sides.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Criciuma, 0 for America Mineiro and 0 draws. The most recent ended America Mineiro 0-1 Criciuma (Jun 24, 2026). In double chance terms, "Criciuma or draw" stands at 92%, "America Mineiro or draw" at 22% and "no draw" at 86%.

In short : Criciuma are favourites for this Criciuma v America Mineiro, with a 78% win probability from our model. In the table, Criciuma (5th, 53 pts) host America Mineiro (19th, 17 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

78%
Criciuma (Win)
14%
Draw
8%
America Mineiro (Win)

Double chance

92%
Criciuma or draw
22%
America Mineiro or draw
86%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Criciuma – America Mineiro. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Criciuma 2-0 America Mineiro13.1%
Criciuma 3-0 America Mineiro11.1%
Criciuma 1-0 America Mineiro10.4%
Criciuma 2-1 America Mineiro8.7%
Criciuma 3-1 America Mineiro7.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.20 goals in total (2.54 for Criciuma, 0.66 for America Mineiro): over 2.5 goals has a 62% probability and both teams to score 45%. Everything points to an open game. Criciuma keep a clean sheet in 52% of scenarios, America Mineiro in 8%.

Probability
Criciuma expected goals2.54
America Mineiro expected goals0.66
Both teams to score45%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Criciuma clean sheet52%
America Mineiro clean sheet8%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Criciuma

DateOpponentScore
Oct 8, 2026Ceara · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Oct 3, 2026Londrina · Brasileirão Série B2-0W
Sep 27, 2026Avai · Brasileirão Série B3-0W
Sep 22, 2026Operario-PR · Brasileirão Série B0-2L
Sep 13, 2026Atletico Goianiense · Brasileirão Série B0-4L

America Mineiro

DateOpponentScore
Oct 8, 2026Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Oct 3, 2026Atletico Goianiense · Brasileirão Série B0-2L
Sep 28, 2026Juventude · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Sep 18, 2026Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Sep 14, 2026São Bernardo · Brasileirão Série B0-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Criciuma55332
America Mineiro191732

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 24, 2026America Mineiro 0-1 CriciumaBrasileirão Série B

Out and doubtful

Criciuma

No absences reported.

America Mineiro

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Criciuma

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Airton5/5
  • Rodrigo5/5
  • Fellipe Mateus4/5
  • Jhonata Robert4/5
  • Luciano Castan4/5
  • Marcelo Hermes4/5
  • Marcinho4/5
  • R. Otero4/5
  • Ronald Lopes4/5
  • Jean Irmer3/5
  • Nicolas3/5

America Mineiro

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Paulo Victor5/5
  • Fabio4/5
  • Guilherme Parede4/5
  • L. Sosa4/5
  • Otavio Goncalves4/5
  • Rafa Barcelos4/5
  • T. Ostchega4/5
  • Willian Bigode4/5
  • Bruno Brigido3/5
  • Gustavo Barreto3/5
  • Julio Cesar3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Criciuma vs America Mineiro prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Criciuma a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and America Mineiro 8%. Criciuma are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Criciuma vs America Mineiro?

2-0 (13.1%), followed by 3-0 (11.1%), 1-0 (10.4%), 2-1 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.3%).

Will both teams score in Criciuma vs America Mineiro?

The probability that both Criciuma and America Mineiro score is 45%. Criciuma have a 52% chance of keeping a clean sheet, America Mineiro 8%.

How many goals should we expect in Criciuma vs America Mineiro?

The model expects 3.20 goals (2.54 for Criciuma, 0.66 for America Mineiro). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 62%, over 3.5 goals 40%.

When and where is Criciuma vs America Mineiro played?

Monday, October 12, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 33. Venue: Estadio Heriberto Hülse, Chrissyuma.

What form are Criciuma and America Mineiro in?

Criciuma: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded). America Mineiro: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (0 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Criciuma and America Mineiro?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Criciuma, 0 for America Mineiro and 0 draws. The most recent ended America Mineiro 0-1 Criciuma (Jun 24, 2026).

What was the Criciuma vs America Mineiro result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Criciuma 1-0 America Mineiro. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Criciuma was the model's favourite outcome (78%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (10.4%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (62%): missed.

How is the Criciuma vs America Mineiro prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.54 for Criciuma, 0.66 for America Mineiro) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained