Brasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Thursday, October 8, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)
Ceara vs Criciuma prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32: Ceara vs Criciuma kicks off on Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Castelão, Fortaleza. It is a tight call: 44% for Ceara, 26% for the draw and 30% for Criciuma. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Ceara have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Criciuma have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 10. Ceara therefore arrive in far better shape than Criciuma. On average Ceara score 1.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Criciuma score 0.60 and concede 2.00. In the table, Ceara sit 15th with 35 points from 29 games, Criciuma 6th with 47 points from 29. 9 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Ceara, 0 for Criciuma and 1 draw. The most recent ended Criciuma 1-1 Ceara (Jun 16, 2026). In double chance terms, "Ceara or draw" stands at 70%, "Criciuma or draw" at 56% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Our model backs Ceara to edge Criciuma (44% probability). In the table, Ceara (15th, 35 pts) host Criciuma (6th, 47 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Ceara – Criciuma. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ceara 1-1 Criciuma | 12.4% |
| Ceara 1-0 Criciuma | 10.8% |
| Ceara 2-1 Criciuma | 9.0% |
| Ceara 0-1 Criciuma | 8.5% |
| Ceara 2-0 Criciuma | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.46 expected goals for Ceara and 1.14 for Criciuma, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Ceara keep a clean sheet in 32% of scenarios, Criciuma in 23%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Ceara expected goals | 1.46 |
| Criciuma expected goals | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Ceara clean sheet | 32% |
| Criciuma clean sheet | 23% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Ceara
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Novorizontino · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sport Recife · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B | 0-2 | L |
Criciuma
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Operario-PR · Brasileirão Série B | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense · Brasileirão Série B | 0-4 | L |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Juventude · Brasileirão Série B | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Cuiaba · Brasileirão Série B | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | CRB · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 15 | 35 | 29 |
| Criciuma | 6 | 47 | 29 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | Criciuma 1-1 Ceara | Brasileirão Série B |
Out and doubtful
Ceara
No absences reported.
Criciuma
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Ceara
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Richard8/5
- Joao Gabriel5/5
- Luiz Otávio5/5
- Júlio3/5
- Sanchez3/5
- Vinicius Zanocelo3/5
- Bryan2/5
- Enzo2/5
- Gabriel Rocha2/5
- Julio Cesar2/5
- Luiz Otavio2/5
Criciuma
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Airton5/5
- Marcelo Hermes5/5
- Rodrigo5/5
- Waguininho5/5
- R. Otero4/5
- César Martins3/5
- Luciano Castán3/5
- Ronald3/5
- Willean Lepo3/5
- Bruno Alves2/5
- Cesar Martins2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Sport Recife – São BernardoOct 6, 2026
- Ponte Preta – JuventudeOct 7, 2026
- Avai – LondrinaOct 7, 2026
- Operario-PR – Botafogo SPOct 7, 2026
- CRB – Atletico GoianienseOct 8, 2026
- Vila Nova – CuiabaOct 8, 2026
- Nautico Recife – NovorizontinoOct 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Ceara vs Criciuma prediction?
Our AI gives Ceara a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Criciuma 30%. Ceara are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Ceara vs Criciuma?
1-1 (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (10.8%), 2-1 (9.0%), 0-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in Ceara vs Criciuma?
The probability that both Ceara and Criciuma score is 52%. Ceara have a 32% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Criciuma 23%.
How many goals should we expect in Ceara vs Criciuma?
The model expects 2.60 goals (1.46 for Ceara, 1.14 for Criciuma). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Ceara vs Criciuma played?
Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32. Venue: Estadio Castelão, Fortaleza.
What form are Ceara and Criciuma in?
Ceara: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded). Criciuma: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Ceara and Criciuma?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Ceara, 0 for Criciuma and 1 draw. The most recent ended Criciuma 1-1 Ceara (Jun 16, 2026).
How is the Ceara vs Criciuma prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.46 for Ceara, 1.14 for Criciuma) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Ceara predictions
- All Criciuma predictions
- Brasileirão Série B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology