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Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Thursday, October 8, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)

Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino prediction: correct score and AI tips

Nautico RecifeNautico Recife–NovorizontinoNovorizontino

Match analysis

Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32: Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino kicks off on Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time). Venue: Estadio dos Aflitos, Recife. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Nautico Recife 41%, Novorizontino 33% and the draw 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.6%), ahead of 1-0 (10.4%) and 0-1 (9.2%).

Over their last 5 matches, Nautico Recife have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Novorizontino have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Novorizontino. On average Nautico Recife score 1.40 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Novorizontino score 2.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, Nautico Recife sit 14th with 38 points from 29 games, Novorizontino 3rd with 50 points from 29. 11 places separate the two sides.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Nautico Recife, 0 for Novorizontino and 1 draw. The most recent ended Novorizontino 2-2 Nautico Recife (Jun 14, 2026). In double chance terms, "Nautico Recife or draw" stands at 67%, "Novorizontino or draw" at 59% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : Nautico Recife host Novorizontino in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (26%). In the table, Nautico Recife (14th, 38 pts) host Novorizontino (3rd, 50 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

41%
Nautico Recife (Win)
26%
Draw
33%
Novorizontino (Win)

Double chance

67%
Nautico Recife or draw
59%
Novorizontino or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Nautico Recife – Novorizontino. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Nautico Recife 1-1 Novorizontino12.6%
Nautico Recife 1-0 Novorizontino10.4%
Nautico Recife 0-1 Novorizontino9.2%
Nautico Recife 2-1 Novorizontino8.6%
Nautico Recife 1-2 Novorizontino7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.58 goals in total (1.37 for Nautico Recife, 1.21 for Novorizontino): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 52%. Nautico Recife keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, Novorizontino in 25%.

Probability
Nautico Recife expected goals1.37
Novorizontino expected goals1.21
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Nautico Recife clean sheet30%
Novorizontino clean sheet25%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Nautico Recife

DateOpponentScore
Sep 22, 2026Cuiaba · Brasileirão Série B0-3L
Sep 15, 2026Operario-PR · Brasileirão Série B3-3D
Sep 10, 2026America Mineiro · Brasileirão Série B1-2L
Sep 4, 2026Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B1-0W
Aug 29, 2026Athletic Club · Brasileirão Série B2-1W

Novorizontino

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Ceara · Brasileirão Série B1-2L
Sep 13, 2026Cuiaba · Brasileirão Série B1-1D
Sep 9, 2026Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B3-1W
Sep 5, 2026Avai · Brasileirão Série B3-1W
Aug 29, 2026Sport Recife · Brasileirão Série B2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Nautico Recife143829
Novorizontino35029

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 14, 2026Novorizontino 2-2 Nautico RecifeBrasileirão Série B

Out and doubtful

Nautico Recife

No absences reported.

Novorizontino

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Nautico Recife

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Igor Fernandes5/5
  • Jean Carlos5/5
  • Wenderson5/5
  • B. Borasi4/5
  • Alberto3/5
  • Arnaldo3/5
  • Derek3/5
  • Kaua Almeida da Costa3/5
  • Muriel3/5
  • Vinícius3/5
  • Leo Indio2/5

Novorizontino

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Gabriel Bahia5/5
  • Jordi5/5
  • Luis Oyama5/5
  • Madson5/5
  • Patrick5/5
  • Reidiney5/5
  • Robson5/5
  • Romulo5/5
  • Nicolas Careca4/5
  • Leo Naldi2/5
  • Léo Naldi2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino prediction?

Our AI gives Nautico Recife a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Novorizontino 33%. Nautico Recife are therefore slight favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?

1-1 (12.6%), followed by 1-0 (10.4%), 0-1 (9.2%), 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-2 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?

The probability that both Nautico Recife and Novorizontino score is 52%. Nautico Recife have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Novorizontino 25%.

How many goals should we expect in Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?

The model expects 2.58 goals (1.37 for Nautico Recife, 1.21 for Novorizontino). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino played?

Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32. Venue: Estadio dos Aflitos, Recife.

What form are Nautico Recife and Novorizontino in?

Nautico Recife: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 9 conceded). Novorizontino: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Nautico Recife and Novorizontino?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Nautico Recife, 0 for Novorizontino and 1 draw. The most recent ended Novorizontino 2-2 Nautico Recife (Jun 14, 2026).

How is the Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.37 for Nautico Recife, 1.21 for Novorizontino) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained