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Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Thursday, October 8, 2026, 00:30 (UK time)

Vila Nova vs Cuiaba: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

Vila NovaVila Nova0 – 0CuiabaCuiaba

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Vila Nova 0-0 Cuiaba. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Vila Nova (46%), while a draw was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (14.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (36%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (30%): correct.

Match analysis

Vila Nova and Cuiaba met on Thursday, October 8, 2026, a Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32 fixture. Venue: Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiania. Before kick-off, our model gave Vila Nova a 46% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Cuiaba 24%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (17.2%), followed by 0-0 (14.7%) and 1-1 (12.9%).

Vila Nova are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 7 and conceding 1. Over their last 5 matches, Cuiaba have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Vila Nova therefore arrive in far better shape than Cuiaba. On average Vila Nova score 1.40 and concede 0.20 goals per game; Cuiaba score 1.80 and concede 0.80. In the table, Vila Nova sit 2nd with 57 points from 31 games, Cuiaba 10th with 46 points from 31. 8 places separate the two sides.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Vila Nova, 1 for Cuiaba and 0 draws. The most recent ended Cuiaba 1-0 Vila Nova (Jun 14, 2026). In double chance terms, "Vila Nova or draw" stands at 76%, "Cuiaba or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 69%.

In short : Our model backs Vila Nova to edge Cuiaba (46% probability). In the table, Vila Nova (2nd, 57 pts) host Cuiaba (10th, 46 pts). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

46%
Vila Nova (Win)
31%
Draw
24%
Cuiaba (Win)

Double chance

76%
Vila Nova or draw
55%
Cuiaba or draw
69%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Vila Nova – Cuiaba. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (17.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 66% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Vila Nova 1-0 Cuiaba17.2%
Vila Nova 0-0 Cuiaba14.7%
Vila Nova 1-1 Cuiaba12.9%
Vila Nova 0-1 Cuiaba11.0%
Vila Nova 2-0 Cuiaba10.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.17 expected goals for Vila Nova and 0.75 for Cuiaba, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 30% and "both teams to score" at 36%. Few goals are expected here. Vila Nova keep a clean sheet in 47% of scenarios, Cuiaba in 31%.

Probability
Vila Nova expected goals1.17
Cuiaba expected goals0.75
Both teams to score36%
Over 1.5 goals57%
Over 2.5 goals30%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Vila Nova clean sheet47%
Cuiaba clean sheet31%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Vila Nova

DateOpponentScore
Oct 3, 2026Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B1-0W
Sep 26, 2026Londrina · Brasileirão Série B2-0W
Sep 18, 2026America Mineiro · Brasileirão Série B1-0W
Sep 15, 2026Avai · Brasileirão Série B1-1D
Sep 10, 2026Goias · Brasileirão Série B2-0W

Cuiaba

DateOpponentScore
Oct 3, 2026Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B2-0W
Sep 27, 2026CRB · Brasileirão Série B0-3L
Sep 22, 2026Nautico Recife · Brasileirão Série B3-0W
Sep 13, 2026Novorizontino · Brasileirão Série B1-1D
Sep 9, 2026Athletic Club · Brasileirão Série B3-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Vila Nova25731
Cuiaba104631

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 14, 2026Cuiaba 1-0 Vila NovaBrasileirão Série B

Out and doubtful

Vila Nova

No absences reported.

Cuiaba

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Vila Nova

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Andre Luis5/5
  • Douglas Mendes5/5
  • Dudu5/5
  • Helton Leite5/5
  • Janderson5/5
  • Joao Vieira5/5
  • Marquinhos Gabriel5/5
  • Everton Galdino4/5
  • Hayner4/5
  • Jonathan Costa4/5
  • Higor3/5

Cuiaba

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • David Miguel5/5
  • Fabio Gomes5/5
  • Igor Inocencio5/5
  • Jean Dias5/5
  • Joao Carlos5/5
  • Kauan Cristtyan5/5
  • Lorenzo5/5
  • Raul5/5
  • Calebe Costa4/5
  • Vitor Mendes4/5
  • Joao Basso3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Vila Nova vs Cuiaba prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Vila Nova a 46% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Cuiaba 24%. Vila Nova are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Vila Nova vs Cuiaba?

1-0 (17.2%), followed by 0-0 (14.7%), 1-1 (12.9%), 0-1 (11.0%) and 2-0 (10.0%).

Will both teams score in Vila Nova vs Cuiaba?

The probability that both Vila Nova and Cuiaba score is 36%. Vila Nova have a 47% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cuiaba 31%.

How many goals should we expect in Vila Nova vs Cuiaba?

The model expects 1.92 goals (1.17 for Vila Nova, 0.75 for Cuiaba). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 57%, over 2.5 goals 30%, over 3.5 goals 13%.

When and where is Vila Nova vs Cuiaba played?

Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32. Venue: Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiania.

What form are Vila Nova and Cuiaba in?

Vila Nova: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 1 conceded). Cuiaba: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Vila Nova and Cuiaba?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Vila Nova, 1 for Cuiaba and 0 draws. The most recent ended Cuiaba 1-0 Vila Nova (Jun 14, 2026).

What was the Vila Nova vs Cuiaba result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Vila Nova 0-0 Cuiaba. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Vila Nova (46%), while a draw was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (14.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (36%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (30%): correct.

How is the Vila Nova vs Cuiaba prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.17 for Vila Nova, 0.75 for Cuiaba) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained