Brasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 00:30 (UK time)
Goias vs Athletic Club prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32: the Goias vs Athletic Club match is scheduled on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time). Venue: Estádio da Serrinha, Goiania. The edge goes to Goias (53%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Athletic Club win (23%). The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.6%), ahead of 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (9.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Goias have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Athletic Club have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Goias score 1.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Athletic Club score 1.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, Goias sit 11th with 42 points from 29 games, Athletic Club 13th with 41 points from 29. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Goias, 0 for Athletic Club and 1 draw. The most recent ended Athletic Club 1-1 Goias (Jun 14, 2026). In double chance terms, "Goias or draw" stands at 77%, "Athletic Club or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Our model backs Goias to edge Athletic Club (53% probability). On recent form, Goias have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Athletic Club have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 51%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Goias – Athletic Club. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Goias 1-0 Athletic Club | 11.6% |
| Goias 1-1 Athletic Club | 11.5% |
| Goias 2-0 Athletic Club | 9.8% |
| Goias 2-1 Athletic Club | 9.7% |
| Goias 0-0 Athletic Club | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.67 goals in total (1.68 for Goias, 0.99 for Athletic Club): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. Goias keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Athletic Club in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Goias expected goals | 1.68 |
| Athletic Club expected goals | 0.99 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Goias clean sheet | 37% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Goias
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Avai · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 28, 2026 | São Bernardo · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
Athletic Club
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juventude · Brasileirão Série B | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Cuiaba · Brasileirão Série B | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B | 5-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Nautico Recife · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goias | 11 | 42 | 29 |
| Athletic Club | 13 | 41 | 29 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Athletic Club 1-1 Goias | Brasileirão Série B |
Out and doubtful
Goias
No absences reported.
Athletic Club
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Goias
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Djalma Silva5/5
- Kadu5/5
- Lucas Ribeiro5/5
- Luquinhas5/5
- Tadeu5/5
- Filipe Machado4/5
- Luiz Felipe4/5
- Felipe Clemente3/5
- Lourenço3/5
- Luis Fellipe3/5
- Jean Carlos2/5
Athletic Club
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Luan Polli5/5
- Max4/5
- Carlinhos3/5
- D. Vera3/5
- Felipe Negrucci3/5
- Jhonatan3/5
- João Miguel3/5
- Kauan3/5
- Kauan Lindes3/5
- Lucas Belezi3/5
- Yago Santos3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Botafogo SP – Vila NovaOct 3, 2026
- Sport Recife – São BernardoOct 6, 2026
- Ponte Preta – JuventudeOct 7, 2026
- Avai – LondrinaOct 7, 2026
- Operario-PR – Botafogo SPOct 7, 2026
- America Mineiro – Fortaleza ECOct 8, 2026
- CRB – Atletico GoianienseOct 8, 2026
- Vila Nova – CuiabaOct 8, 2026
- Ceara – CriciumaOct 8, 2026
- Nautico Recife – NovorizontinoOct 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Goias vs Athletic Club prediction?
Our AI gives Goias a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Athletic Club 23%. Goias are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Goias vs Athletic Club?
1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%), 2-0 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Goias vs Athletic Club?
The probability that both Goias and Athletic Club score is 51%. Goias have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Athletic Club 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Goias vs Athletic Club?
The model expects 2.67 goals (1.68 for Goias, 0.99 for Athletic Club). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Goias vs Athletic Club played?
Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32. Venue: Estádio da Serrinha, Goiania.
What form are Goias and Athletic Club in?
Goias: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded). Athletic Club: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Goias and Athletic Club?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Goias, 0 for Athletic Club and 1 draw. The most recent ended Athletic Club 1-1 Goias (Jun 14, 2026).
How is the Goias vs Athletic Club prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.68 for Goias, 0.99 for Athletic Club) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Goias predictions
- All Athletic Club predictions
- Brasileirão Série B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology