Brasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Thursday, October 8, 2026, 00:30 (UK time)
America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32: America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC kicks off on Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time). The edge goes to Fortaleza EC (48%), ahead of the draw (26%) and a America Mineiro win (26%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.1%), ahead of 0-1 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, America Mineiro have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Fortaleza EC have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average America Mineiro score 1.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Fortaleza EC score 0.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, America Mineiro sit 19th with 17 points from 29 games, Fortaleza EC 2nd with 51 points from 29. 17 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for America Mineiro, 0 for Fortaleza EC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Fortaleza EC 0-3 America Mineiro (Jun 17, 2026). In double chance terms, "America Mineiro or draw" stands at 52%, "Fortaleza EC or draw" at 74% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Our model backs Fortaleza EC to edge America Mineiro (48% probability). In the table, America Mineiro (19th, 17 pts) host Fortaleza EC (2nd, 51 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as America Mineiro – Fortaleza EC. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| America Mineiro 1-1 Fortaleza EC | 12.1% |
| America Mineiro 0-1 Fortaleza EC | 11.3% |
| America Mineiro 1-2 Fortaleza EC | 9.4% |
| America Mineiro 0-2 Fortaleza EC | 8.7% |
| America Mineiro 1-0 Fortaleza EC | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.62 goals in total (1.07 for America Mineiro, 1.55 for Fortaleza EC): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. America Mineiro keep a clean sheet in 21% of scenarios, Fortaleza EC in 34%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| America Mineiro expected goals | 1.07 |
| Fortaleza EC expected goals | 1.55 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| America Mineiro clean sheet | 21% |
| Fortaleza EC clean sheet | 34% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
America Mineiro
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | São Bernardo · Brasileirão Série B | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Nautico Recife · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CRB · Brasileirão Série B | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B | 2-0 | W |
Fortaleza EC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Palmeiras · Copa do Brasil | 0-3 | L |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Novorizontino · Brasileirão Série B | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| America Mineiro | 19 | 17 | 29 |
| Fortaleza EC | 2 | 51 | 29 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Fortaleza EC 0-3 America Mineiro | Brasileirão Série B |
Out and doubtful
America Mineiro
No absences reported.
Fortaleza EC
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
America Mineiro
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Guilherme Parede5/5
- Otavio Goncalves5/5
- Paulo Victor5/5
- T. Ostchega5/5
- Ricardo Silva4/5
- Bruno Brígido3/5
- Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio3/5
- Fábio Almeida3/5
- Rafael Barcelos3/5
- Willian3/5
- Alex Silva2/5
Fortaleza EC
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Vitinho5/5
- J. B. Miritello4/5
- Joao Ricardo4/5
- Lucas Gazal4/5
- Lucas Sasha4/5
- Luiz Fernando4/5
- Neris4/5
- G. Fuentes3/5
- Mauricio Junior3/5
- Pedro Henrique3/5
- Rodrigo3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Sport Recife – São BernardoOct 6, 2026
- Goias – Athletic ClubOct 7, 2026
- Ponte Preta – JuventudeOct 7, 2026
- Avai – LondrinaOct 7, 2026
- Operario-PR – Botafogo SPOct 7, 2026
- CRB – Atletico GoianienseOct 8, 2026
- Vila Nova – CuiabaOct 8, 2026
- Ceara – CriciumaOct 8, 2026
- Nautico Recife – NovorizontinoOct 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC prediction?
Our AI gives America Mineiro a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fortaleza EC 48%. Fortaleza EC are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC?
1-1 (12.1%), followed by 0-1 (11.3%), 1-2 (9.4%), 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-0 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC?
The probability that both America Mineiro and Fortaleza EC score is 52%. America Mineiro have a 21% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Fortaleza EC 34%.
How many goals should we expect in America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC?
The model expects 2.62 goals (1.07 for America Mineiro, 1.55 for Fortaleza EC). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC played?
Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32.
What form are America Mineiro and Fortaleza EC in?
America Mineiro: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded). Fortaleza EC: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between America Mineiro and Fortaleza EC?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for America Mineiro, 0 for Fortaleza EC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Fortaleza EC 0-3 America Mineiro (Jun 17, 2026).
How is the America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.07 for America Mineiro, 1.55 for Fortaleza EC) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All America Mineiro predictions
- All Fortaleza EC predictions
- Brasileirão Série B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology