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Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)

Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP: 1-2 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Operario-PR 1-2 Botafogo SP. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Operario-PR (64%), while victory for Botafogo SP was rated at only 15%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): correct.

Match analysis

Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP was played on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 (Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32). Venue: Estadio Germano Kruger, Ponta Grossa. Before kick-off, our model gave Operario-PR a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Botafogo SP 15%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.9%), ahead of 2-0 (11.8%) and 1-1 (9.9%).

Over their last 5 matches, Operario-PR have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Botafogo SP have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 8. Recent momentum is clearly with Operario-PR. On average Operario-PR score 2.00 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Botafogo SP score 1.00 and concede 1.60. In the table, Operario-PR sit 9th with 48 points from 31 games, Botafogo SP 16th with 35 points from 31. 7 places separate the two sides.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Operario-PR, 1 for Botafogo SP and 0 draws. The most recent ended Botafogo SP 2-1 Operario-PR (Jun 14, 2026). In double chance terms, "Operario-PR or draw" stands at 85%, "Botafogo SP or draw" at 36% and "no draw" at 79%.

In short : Our model backs Operario-PR to edge Botafogo SP (64% probability). In the table, Operario-PR (9th, 48 pts) host Botafogo SP (16th, 35 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 49%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

64%
Operario-PR (Win)
21%
Draw
15%
Botafogo SP (Win)

Double chance

85%
Operario-PR or draw
36%
Botafogo SP or draw
79%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Operario-PR – Botafogo SP. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Operario-PR 1-0 Botafogo SP11.9%
Operario-PR 2-0 Botafogo SP11.8%
Operario-PR 1-1 Botafogo SP9.9%
Operario-PR 2-1 Botafogo SP9.8%
Operario-PR 3-0 Botafogo SP7.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.81 goals in total (1.98 for Operario-PR, 0.83 for Botafogo SP): over 2.5 goals has a 53% probability and both teams to score 49%. Operario-PR keep a clean sheet in 44% of scenarios, Botafogo SP in 14%.

Probability
Operario-PR expected goals1.98
Botafogo SP expected goals0.83
Both teams to score49%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Operario-PR clean sheet44%
Botafogo SP clean sheet14%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Operario-PR

DateOpponentScore
Oct 3, 2026Juventude · Brasileirão Série B0-3L
Sep 26, 2026Ceara · Brasileirão Série B2-2D
Sep 22, 2026Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B2-0W
Sep 15, 2026Nautico Recife · Brasileirão Série B3-3D
Sep 10, 2026CRB · Brasileirão Série B3-0W

Botafogo SP

DateOpponentScore
Oct 3, 2026Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Sep 29, 2026Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B2-0W
Sep 19, 2026Athletic Club · Brasileirão Série B1-1D
Sep 14, 2026Goias · Brasileirão Série B1-3L
Sep 9, 2026Novorizontino · Brasileirão Série B1-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Operario-PR94831
Botafogo SP163531

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 14, 2026Botafogo SP 2-1 Operario-PRBrasileirão Série B

Out and doubtful

Operario-PR

No absences reported.

Botafogo SP

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Operario-PR

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Boschilia5/5
  • Mikael Doka5/5
  • Vagner5/5
  • Vinicius Diniz5/5
  • Caio Dantas4/5
  • H. Pereira4/5
  • J. Cuenu4/5
  • Joseph4/5
  • Matheus Trindade4/5
  • A. Torres3/5
  • Gabriel Feliciano3/5

Botafogo SP

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Everton Morelli5/5
  • Victor Souza5/5
  • Vilar5/5
  • Ericson4/5
  • Hygor4/5
  • Kelvin4/5
  • Patrick Brey4/5
  • Rafael Gava4/5
  • Leandro Maciel3/5
  • Pedro Henrique3/5
  • Ze Hugo3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Operario-PR a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Botafogo SP 15%. Operario-PR are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP?

1-0 (11.9%), followed by 2-0 (11.8%), 1-1 (9.9%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 3-0 (7.8%).

Will both teams score in Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP?

The probability that both Operario-PR and Botafogo SP score is 49%. Operario-PR have a 44% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Botafogo SP 14%.

How many goals should we expect in Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP?

The model expects 2.81 goals (1.98 for Operario-PR, 0.83 for Botafogo SP). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 53%, over 3.5 goals 31%.

When and where is Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP played?

Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32. Venue: Estadio Germano Kruger, Ponta Grossa.

What form are Operario-PR and Botafogo SP in?

Operario-PR: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 8 conceded). Botafogo SP: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Operario-PR and Botafogo SP?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Operario-PR, 1 for Botafogo SP and 0 draws. The most recent ended Botafogo SP 2-1 Operario-PR (Jun 14, 2026).

What was the Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Operario-PR 1-2 Botafogo SP. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Operario-PR (64%), while victory for Botafogo SP was rated at only 15%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): correct.

How is the Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.98 for Operario-PR, 0.83 for Botafogo SP) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained