Brasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)
Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP: 1-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Operario-PR 1-2 Botafogo SP. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Operario-PR (64%), while victory for Botafogo SP was rated at only 15%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): correct.
Match analysis
Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP was played on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 (Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32). Venue: Estadio Germano Kruger, Ponta Grossa. Before kick-off, our model gave Operario-PR a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Botafogo SP 15%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.9%), ahead of 2-0 (11.8%) and 1-1 (9.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Operario-PR have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Botafogo SP have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 8. Recent momentum is clearly with Operario-PR. On average Operario-PR score 2.00 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Botafogo SP score 1.00 and concede 1.60. In the table, Operario-PR sit 9th with 48 points from 31 games, Botafogo SP 16th with 35 points from 31. 7 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Operario-PR, 1 for Botafogo SP and 0 draws. The most recent ended Botafogo SP 2-1 Operario-PR (Jun 14, 2026). In double chance terms, "Operario-PR or draw" stands at 85%, "Botafogo SP or draw" at 36% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Our model backs Operario-PR to edge Botafogo SP (64% probability). In the table, Operario-PR (9th, 48 pts) host Botafogo SP (16th, 35 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 49%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Operario-PR – Botafogo SP. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Operario-PR 1-0 Botafogo SP | 11.9% |
| Operario-PR 2-0 Botafogo SP | 11.8% |
| Operario-PR 1-1 Botafogo SP | 9.9% |
| Operario-PR 2-1 Botafogo SP | 9.8% |
| Operario-PR 3-0 Botafogo SP | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.81 goals in total (1.98 for Operario-PR, 0.83 for Botafogo SP): over 2.5 goals has a 53% probability and both teams to score 49%. Operario-PR keep a clean sheet in 44% of scenarios, Botafogo SP in 14%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Operario-PR expected goals | 1.98 |
| Botafogo SP expected goals | 0.83 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Operario-PR clean sheet | 44% |
| Botafogo SP clean sheet | 14% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Operario-PR
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juventude · Brasileirão Série B | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ceara · Brasileirão Série B | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Nautico Recife · Brasileirão Série B | 3-3 | D |
| Sep 10, 2026 | CRB · Brasileirão Série B | 3-0 | W |
Botafogo SP
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Athletic Club · Brasileirão Série B | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Goias · Brasileirão Série B | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Novorizontino · Brasileirão Série B | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operario-PR | 9 | 48 | 31 |
| Botafogo SP | 16 | 35 | 31 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Botafogo SP 2-1 Operario-PR | Brasileirão Série B |
Out and doubtful
Operario-PR
No absences reported.
Botafogo SP
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Operario-PR
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Boschilia5/5
- Mikael Doka5/5
- Vagner5/5
- Vinicius Diniz5/5
- Caio Dantas4/5
- H. Pereira4/5
- J. Cuenu4/5
- Joseph4/5
- Matheus Trindade4/5
- A. Torres3/5
- Gabriel Feliciano3/5
Botafogo SP
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Everton Morelli5/5
- Victor Souza5/5
- Vilar5/5
- Ericson4/5
- Hygor4/5
- Kelvin4/5
- Patrick Brey4/5
- Rafael Gava4/5
- Leandro Maciel3/5
- Pedro Henrique3/5
- Ze Hugo3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Sport Recife 2-1 São BernardoOct 6, 2026
- Goias 2-1 Athletic ClubOct 7, 2026
- Ponte Preta 0-2 JuventudeOct 7, 2026
- Avai 2-1 LondrinaOct 7, 2026
- America Mineiro 0-1 Fortaleza ECOct 8, 2026
- CRB 3-1 Atletico GoianienseOct 8, 2026
- Vila Nova 0-0 CuiabaOct 8, 2026
- Ceara 1-0 CriciumaOct 8, 2026
- Nautico Recife 0-2 NovorizontinoOct 8, 2026
- Juventude 2-2 São BernardoOct 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Operario-PR a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Botafogo SP 15%. Operario-PR are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP?
1-0 (11.9%), followed by 2-0 (11.8%), 1-1 (9.9%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 3-0 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP?
The probability that both Operario-PR and Botafogo SP score is 49%. Operario-PR have a 44% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Botafogo SP 14%.
How many goals should we expect in Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP?
The model expects 2.81 goals (1.98 for Operario-PR, 0.83 for Botafogo SP). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 53%, over 3.5 goals 31%.
When and where is Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP played?
Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32. Venue: Estadio Germano Kruger, Ponta Grossa.
What form are Operario-PR and Botafogo SP in?
Operario-PR: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 8 conceded). Botafogo SP: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Operario-PR and Botafogo SP?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Operario-PR, 1 for Botafogo SP and 0 draws. The most recent ended Botafogo SP 2-1 Operario-PR (Jun 14, 2026).
What was the Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Operario-PR 1-2 Botafogo SP. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Operario-PR (64%), while victory for Botafogo SP was rated at only 15%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): correct.
How is the Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.98 for Operario-PR, 0.83 for Botafogo SP) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Operario-PR predictions
- All Botafogo SP predictions
- Brasileirão Série B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

