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Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 01:35 (UK time)

Ponte Preta vs Juventude prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32: Ponte Preta vs Juventude kicks off on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 01:35 (UK time). Venue: Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas. The edge goes to Juventude (50%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a Ponte Preta win (25%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.9%), ahead of 0-1 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.5%).

Ponte Preta have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 12. Over their last 5 matches, Juventude have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Juventude. On average Ponte Preta score 0.20 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Juventude score 1.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, Ponte Preta sit 20th with 13 points from 29 games, Juventude 4th with 50 points from 29. 16 places separate the two sides.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Ponte Preta, 1 for Juventude and 0 draws. The most recent ended Juventude 3-0 Ponte Preta (Jun 14, 2026). In double chance terms, "Ponte Preta or draw" stands at 50%, "Juventude or draw" at 75% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Juventude are tipped by our AI model in this Ponte Preta v Juventude (50%). On recent form, Ponte Preta are struggling (4 losses in 5) while Juventude have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

25%
Ponte Preta (Win)
25%
Draw
50%
Juventude (Win)

Double chance

50%
Ponte Preta or draw
75%
Juventude or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Ponte Preta – Juventude. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Ponte Preta 1-1 Juventude11.9%
Ponte Preta 0-1 Juventude11.4%
Ponte Preta 1-2 Juventude9.5%
Ponte Preta 0-2 Juventude9.1%
Ponte Preta 1-0 Juventude7.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.64 goals in total (1.04 for Ponte Preta, 1.60 for Juventude): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Ponte Preta keep a clean sheet in 20% of scenarios, Juventude in 35%.

Probability
Ponte Preta expected goals1.04
Juventude expected goals1.60
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Ponte Preta clean sheet20%
Juventude clean sheet35%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Ponte Preta

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026CRB · Brasileirão Série B1-0W
Sep 15, 2026Londrina · Brasileirão Série B0-6L
Sep 11, 2026Sport Recife · Brasileirão Série B0-2L
Sep 6, 2026São Bernardo · Brasileirão Série B0-2L
Aug 30, 2026America Mineiro · Brasileirão Série B0-2L

Juventude

DateOpponentScore
Aug 4, 2026Atletico-MG · Copa do Brasil0-1L
Aug 1, 2026Atletico-MG · Copa do Brasil0-0D
Jul 28, 2026Avai · Brasileirão Série B1-0W
Jul 24, 2026Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B2-4L
Jul 17, 2026Cuiaba · Brasileirão Série B2-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Ponte Preta201329
Juventude45029

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 14, 2026Juventude 3-0 Ponte PretaBrasileirão Série B

Out and doubtful

Ponte Preta

No absences reported.

Juventude

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Ponte Preta

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Danilo Barcelos4/5
  • Gustavo Almeida4/5
  • David da Hora3/5
  • Julio3/5
  • Lucas Cunha3/5
  • Murilo3/5
  • S. Palacios3/5
  • Vinicius3/5
  • André Lima2/5
  • Brandão2/5
  • Diego Monteiro Leao2/5

Juventude

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Marcos Paulo6/5
  • Alisson Safira5/5
  • Jandrei5/5
  • Patryck5/5
  • Fabio Lima4/5
  • Lucas Mineiro4/5
  • MP4/5
  • Rai Silva3/5
  • Rodrigo Sam3/5
  • Aderlan2/5
  • Gabriel Pinheiro2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Ponte Preta vs Juventude prediction?

Our AI gives Ponte Preta a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Juventude 50%. Juventude are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Ponte Preta vs Juventude?

1-1 (11.9%), followed by 0-1 (11.4%), 1-2 (9.5%), 0-2 (9.1%) and 1-0 (7.4%).

Will both teams score in Ponte Preta vs Juventude?

The probability that both Ponte Preta and Juventude score is 52%. Ponte Preta have a 20% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Juventude 35%.

How many goals should we expect in Ponte Preta vs Juventude?

The model expects 2.64 goals (1.04 for Ponte Preta, 1.60 for Juventude). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Ponte Preta vs Juventude played?

Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 01:35 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32. Venue: Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas.

What form are Ponte Preta and Juventude in?

Ponte Preta: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (1 scored, 12 conceded). Juventude: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Ponte Preta and Juventude?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Ponte Preta, 1 for Juventude and 0 draws. The most recent ended Juventude 3-0 Ponte Preta (Jun 14, 2026).

How is the Ponte Preta vs Juventude prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.04 for Ponte Preta, 1.60 for Juventude) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained